Stefano Travaglia and Gastao Elias will square off in the quarter of the Todi Challenger for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 8:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gastao Elias who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Gastao Elias is the pick to win this match.
Gastao Elias -> 1.87
Stefano Travaglia -> 1.87

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Prediction and head to head Stefano Travaglia vs. Gastao Elias

This will be the 3^rd time that Stefano Travaglia and Gastao Elias play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Travaglia (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Travaglia won 6-4 6-2 in the 3^rd round in the Sopot Challenger back in 2019.

Stefano Travaglia

Ranked no. 226, the Italian reached the quarter after defeating Juan Bautista Torres 5-7 6-3 6-4 and Carlos Lopez Montagud 6-4 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Stefano had a good straight sets win against Lopez Montagud (6-4 6-4). During the match, Travaglia scored 64 points vs Lopez Montagud’s 51. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Talking about the service games, Travaglia fired 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Stefano Travaglia lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Travaglia put 54% of his first serves in, winning 68% (21/31) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (15/26) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Lopez Montagud 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to conquer 52% of the points he played.

Travaglia has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (356-241). 15-18 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Travaglia has an overall 241-140 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Stefano’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Tenerife 2 Challenger.

The Italian has an overall 22-26 win-loss record in 2024, 15-18 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Todi Challenger

Gastao Elias

Ranked no. 329, the Portuguese got to the quarter after defeating Matthew Dellavedova 6-1 6-1 and Franco Agamenone 6-4 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Elias had a good straight sets win against Agamenone (6-4 6-3). During the match Elias scored 68 points vs Agamenone’s 49. Elias was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.

About the serving games, Elias scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Gastao Elias lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Elias put 57% of his first serves in, winning 67% (22/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 68% (17/25) on the 2nd serve. The Portuguese broke Agamenone 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Portuguese hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 61% of the points he played.

Gastao’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Oeiras 1 Challenger.

Elias has a compiled 33-19 win-loss record in 2024, 18-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Travaglia	Elias
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	4
Tot Games	51	33
Pts	156-145	128-83
Total Points	301	211
Winners	61	44
%Winners	39%	34%

Both Travaglia and Elias played 2 matches. At the moment, Stefano Travaglia dropped 1 set while Gastao Elias hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Travaglia has played 1 set more than Elias (5 vs 4). Therefore, Travaglia played 18 games more than Elias. The Italian scored 61 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Gastao made 44 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Travaglia	Elias
Aces	3	1
Avg per match	1.5	0.5
1st in	95/154	60/95
%1st in	62%	63%
1st pts	61/95	44/60
%1st pts	64%	73%
2nd pts	28/59	23/35
%2nd pts	47%	66%

Travaglia made 3 aces (1.5 per match). Elias struck 1 ace (0.5 per match). Travaglia won 64% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Elias won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 66% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Travaglia	Elias
Won	11	9
Converted	11/21	9/21
% Converted	52%	43%
Conceded	10	4
Saved	2	3
% Saved	20%	75%
Times Broken	8	1

Stefano broke his opponents 11 times with a 52% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 20% of the break points that he conceded. The Portuguese broke his opponents 9 times with a 43% conversion rate. Elias conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Travaglia
	R1 Bautista	R2 Lopez	Total
Score	5-7 6-3 6-4	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	31	20	51
pts	92-94	64-51	156-145
Total points	186	115	301
Winners	40	21	61
%Winners	43%	33%	39%
SERVE
Aces	1	2	3
Double Faults	4	3	7
1st in	64/97	31/57	95/154
% 1st in	66%	54%	62%
1st pts	40/64	21/31	61/95
% 1st pts	63%	68%	64%
2nd pts	13/33	15/26	28/59
% 2nd pts	39%	58%	47%
Breaks
Won	6	5	11
Converted	6/9	5/12	11/21
Converted %	67%	42%	52%
Conceded	5	5	10
Saved	0/5	2/5	2
Saved %	0%	40%	20%
Times Broken	5	3	8

Elias
	R1 Dellavedova	R2 Agamenone	Total
Score	6-1 6-1	6-4 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	14	19	33
pts	60-34	68-49	128-83
Total points	94	117	211
Winners	22	22	44
%Winners	37%	32%	34%
SERVE
Aces	0	1	1
Double Faults	0	2	2
1st in	27/37	33/58	60/95
% 1st in	73%	57%	63%
1st pts	22/27	22/33	44/60
% 1st pts	81%	67%	73%
2nd pts	6/10	17/25	23/35
% 2nd pts	60%	68%	66%
Breaks
Won	5	4	9
Converted	5/14	4/7	9/21
Converted %	36%	57%	43%
Conceded	0	4	4
Saved	0/0	3/4	3
Saved %	–	75%	38%
Times Broken	0	1	1

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Lorenzo GiustinoGiustino – Santiago Fa Rodriguez TavernaFa Rodriguez Taverna (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Stefano TravagliaTravaglia – Gastao EliasElias (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Cezar Cretu (ROU)Cretu (ROU) – Facundo JuarezJuarez (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Luka PavlovicPavlovic – Carlos TabernerTaberner (0-0) – H2H and prediction