Aslan Karatsev and Mikhail Kukushkin will square off in the 2nd round of the Cary Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 5:00 pm on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aslan Karatsev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aslan Karatsev is the pick to win this match.
Aslan Karatsev -> 1.41
Mikhail Kukushkin -> 2.76
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Prediction and head to head Aslan Karatsev vs. Mikhail Kukushkin
This will be the 2nd time that Aslan Karatsev and Mikhail Kukushkin play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Karatsev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Karatsev won 6-4 6-3 in the 2nd round in Miami back in 2021.
Aslan Karatsev
3 - 11win/loss
287
14
LLWWLWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-18 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-22 | 13-10 | 14-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-31 | 8-9 | 5-9 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-20 | 23-9 | 9-6 | 4-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 36-11 | 7-4 | 17-2 | 12-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 99, Aslan got to the 2nd round after beating Francesco Passaro 6-2 3-6 6-2.
In the 1st round, The Russian defeated Passaro (6-2 3-6 6-2). During the match, Karatsev scored 85 points vs Passaro’s 66. Karatsev was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Karatsev recorded 3 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults. Overall, Aslan Karatsev was quite efficient on serve to win 77% (30/39) of his 1st serve and 70% (14/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Karatsev broke Passaro 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).
Karatsev has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (294-215). 2-4 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Karatsev has a composed 135-75 record in the last years on hard.
The Russian has an overall 3-10 win-loss record in 2024, 2-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cary Challenger
The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.
Mikhail Kukushkin
42 - 21win/loss
113
39
LLLWLWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 52-32 | 24-10 | 10-9 | 12-9 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-24 | 17-11 | 3-5 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-28 | 18-11 | 0-2 | 13-11 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-24 | 8-9 | 0-6 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-12 | 3-5 | 3-2 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 121, Mikhail got to the 2nd round after beating Cooper Williams 5-7 6-4 6-4.
In the 1st round against Williams, The Kazakhstani recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-4). During the match Kukushkin scored 95 points vs Williams’s 88. Kukushkin was very aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Talking about serving, Kukushkin managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Mikhail Kukushkin was extremely efficient on serve to win 71% (45/63) of his 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Kukushkin broke Williams 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Manama Challenger where he defeated Richard Gasquet in the final 7-6(5) 6-4 and the Tenerife 3 Challenger where he beat Matteo Gigante in the final 6-2 2-0 ret..
The Kazakhstani has an overall 41-21 win-loss record in 2024, 18-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Karatsev | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 25 | 32 |
| Pts | 85-66 | 95-88 |
| Total Points | 151 | 183 |
| Winners | 30 | 45 |
| %Winners | 35% | 47% |
Both Karatsev and Kukushkin played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Aslan Karatsev conceded 1 set, while Mikhail Kukushkin conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Karatsev and Kukushkin have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Karatsev played 7 games less than Kukushkin. Aslan scored 30 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Mikhail struck 45 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Karatsev | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 3 |
| 1st in | 39/59 | 63/90 |
| %1st in | 66% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 30/39 | 45/63 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 14/20 | 15/27 |
| %2nd pts | 70% | 56% |
Karatsev made 3 aces . Kukushkin bagged 3 aces . Karatsev won 77% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 70% of the points. On the other side, Kukushkin won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Karatsev | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 4 |
| Converted | 5/13 | 4/6 |
| % Converted | 38% | 67% |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 |
| Saved | 1 | 1 |
| % Saved | 33% | 25% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
Aslan broke his opponent 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. Mikhail broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded.
| Karatsev | |||
| R1 Passaro |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 3-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 85-66 | 85-66 | |
| Total points | 151 | 151 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 39/59 | 39/59 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 30/39 | 30/39 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/20 | 14/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 70% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 5/13 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Kukushkin | |||
| R1 Williams |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 95-88 | 95-88 | |
| Total points | 183 | 183 | |
| Winners | 45 | 45 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 63/90 | 63/90 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 45/63 | 45/63 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/27 | 15/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWWLW
LLLWLWWLWW Tennis Scores in Cary Challenger
- David GoffinGoffin – Ethan QuinnQuinn (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Otto VirtanenVirtanen – Kyrian JacquetJacquet (3-6 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Terence AtmaneAtmane (6-4 3-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- David GoffinGoffin – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Billy HarrisHarris (0-0) – H2H and prediction
