Andrey Rublev and Alexei Popyrin will face off in the final of the National Bank Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 5:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.36
Alexei Popyrin -> 3.25

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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Alexei Popyrin

This will be the 3^rd time that Andrey Rublev and Alexei Popyrin clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Rublev and Popyrin (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they played, Popyrin won 6-4 6-4 in the 2^nd round in Monte carlo back in April 2024.

Highlights Alexei Popyrin vs Andrey Rublev – Monte carlo 10-April-2024

Andrey Rublev

Ranked no. 8, Andrey reached the final after beating Tomas Martin Etcheverry 7-6(3) 6-2, Brandon Nakashima 6-2 6-2, Jannik Sinner 6-3 1-6 6-2 and Matteo Arnaldi 6-4 6-2.

In the semifinal, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Arnaldi (6-4 6-2). During the match, Rublev scored 60 points vs Arnaldi’s 45. Rublev was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rublev scored 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Andrey Rublev was exceptionally effective on serve to win 79% (27/34) of his 1st serve and 61% (11/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Russian was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Arnaldi 3 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian has lost 1 set in this competition to win 56% of the points he played.

Rublev has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (422-235). 19-6 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rublev has a compiled 172-88 record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Hong Kong where he overcame Emil Ruusuvuori in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Madrid where he beat Felix Auger-Aliassime in the final 4-6 7-5 7-5.

Andrey has an overall 32-15 win-loss record in 2024, 19-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Toronto

Alexei Popyrin

Ranked no. 62, Popyrin got to the final after beating Tomas Machac 6-3 6-4, Ben Shelton 6-4 7-6(4), Grigor Dimitrov 4-6 7-6(5) 6-3, Hubert Hurkacz 3-6 7-6(5) 7-5 and Sebastian Korda 7-6(0) 6-3.

In the semifinal, Alexei had a good straight sets win against Korda (7-6⁰ 6-3). During the match Popyrin scored 78 points vs Korda’s 65. Popyrin was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.

About the serving games, Popyrin scored 2 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Alexei Popyrin lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Popyrin put 59% of his first serves in, winning 83% (34/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 34% (10/29) on the 2nd serve. Alexei broke Korda 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Australian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Alexei’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Doha and Montreal.

The Australian has a compiled 21-15 win-loss record in 2024, 12-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Toronto

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rublev	Popyrin
Match played	4	5
Tot Set	9	12
Tot Games	79	130
Pts	267-210	459-408
Total Points	477	867
Winners	109	193
%Winners	41%	42%

Rublev played 4 matches while Popyrin competed in 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Andrey Rublev surrendered 1 set, while Alexei Popyrin conceded 2 sets. Rublev has played 3 set(s) less than Popyrin (9 vs 12). Therefore, Rublev played 51 games less than Popyrin. Rublev scored 109 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Alexei fired 193 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rublev	Popyrin
Aces	21	34
Avg per match	5.3	6.8
1st in	136/228	237/413
%1st in	60%	57%
1st pts	109/136	193/237
%1st pts	80%	81%
2nd pts	52/92	88/176
%2nd pts	57%	50%

Rublev bagged 21 aces (5.3 per match). Popyrin scored 34 aces (6.8 per match). Rublev won 80% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Popyrin won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rublev	Popyrin
Won	13	12
Converted	13/23	12/43
% Converted	57%	28%
Conceded	14	26
Saved	11	19
% Saved	79%	73%
Times Broken	3	7

The Russian broke his opponents 13 times with a 57% conversion rate. Andrey lost his serve 3 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded. Popyrin broke his opponents 12 times with a 28% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.

Rublev
	R2 Etcheverry	R3 Nakashima	1/4 Sinner	1/2 Arnaldi	Total
Score	7-63 6-2	6-2 6-2	6-3 1-6 6-2	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	9
Tot Games	21	16	24	18	79
pts	70-54	59-37	78-74	60-45	267-210
Total points	124	96	152	105	477
Winners	25	21	36	27	109
%Winners	36%	36%	46%	45%	41%
SERVE
Aces	9	4	4	4	21
Double Faults	1	2	1	1	5
1st in	29/56	24/41	49/79	34/52	136/228
% 1st in	52%	59%	62%	65%	60%
1st pts	25/29	21/24	36/49	27/34	109/136
% 1st pts	86%	88%	73%	79%	80%
2nd pts	16/27	11/17	14/30	11/18	52/92
% 2nd pts	59%	65%	47%	61%	57%
Breaks
Won	3	4	3	3	13
Converted	3/3	4/10	3/7	3/3	13/23
Converted %	100%	40%	43%	100%	57%
Conceded	1	0	12	1	14
Saved	0/1	0/0	10/12	1/1	11
Saved %	0%	–	83%	100%	46%
Times Broken	1	0	2	0	3

Popyrin
	R1 Machac	R2 Shelton	R3 Dimitrov	1/4 Hurkacz	1/2 Korda	Total
Score	6-3 6-4	6-4 7-64	4-6 7-65 6-3	3-6 7-65 7-5	7-60 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	3	3	2	12
Tot Games	19	23	32	34	22	130
pts	65-46	80-69	111-107	125-121	78-65	459-408
Total points	111	149	218	246	143	867
Winners	23	33	52	51	34	193
%Winners	35%	41%	47%	41%	44%	42%
SERVE
Aces	6	6	9	11	2	34
Double Faults	5	1	6	6	6	24
1st in	24/48	39/69	65/121	68/105	41/70	237/413
% 1st in	50%	57%	54%	65%	59%	57%
1st pts	23/24	33/39	52/65	51/68	34/41	193/237
% 1st pts	96%	85%	80%	75%	83%	81%
2nd pts	14/24	19/30	28/56	17/37	10/29	88/176
% 2nd pts	58%	63%	50%	46%	34%	50%
Breaks
Won	3	1	1	3	4	12
Converted	3/5	1/6	1/1	3/20	4/11	12/43
Converted %	60%	17%	100%	15%	36%	28%
Conceded	2	0	9	11	4	26
Saved	1/2	0/0	8/9	8/11	2/4	19
Saved %	50%	–	89%	73%	50%	66%
Times Broken	1	0	1	3	2	7

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Andrey RublevRublev – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (1-1) – H2H and prediction