Andrey Rublev and Alexei Popyrin will face off in the final of the National Bank Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 5:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.36
Alexei Popyrin -> 3.25
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Alexei Popyrin
This will be the 3rd time that Andrey Rublev and Alexei Popyrin clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Rublev and Popyrin (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they played, Popyrin won 6-4 6-4 in the 2nd round in Monte carlo back in April 2024.
Highlights Alexei Popyrin vs Andrey Rublev – Monte carlo 10-April-2024
Andrey Rublev
32 - 16win/loss
8
5
LLLWLLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-26 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-10 | 17-4 | 10-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, Andrey reached the final after beating Tomas Martin Etcheverry 7-6(3) 6-2, Brandon Nakashima 6-2 6-2, Jannik Sinner 6-3 1-6 6-2 and Matteo Arnaldi 6-4 6-2.
In the semifinal, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Arnaldi (6-4 6-2). During the match, Rublev scored 60 points vs Arnaldi’s 45. Rublev was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rublev scored 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Andrey Rublev was exceptionally effective on serve to win 79% (27/34) of his 1st serve and 61% (11/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Russian was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Arnaldi 3 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has lost 1 set in this competition to win 56% of the points he played.
Rublev has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (422-235). 19-6 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rublev has a compiled 172-88 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Hong Kong where he overcame Emil Ruusuvuori in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Madrid where he beat Felix Auger-Aliassime in the final 4-6 7-5 7-5.
Andrey has an overall 32-15 win-loss record in 2024, 19-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Toronto
Alexei Popyrin
22 - 15win/loss
24
23
LWWLLWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-22 | 17-8 | 4-8 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-29 | 18-14 | 15-6 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-31 | 7-16 | 7-4 | 3-5 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-26 | 13-11 | 8-6 | 10-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-16 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 62, Popyrin got to the final after beating Tomas Machac 6-3 6-4, Ben Shelton 6-4 7-6(4), Grigor Dimitrov 4-6 7-6(5) 6-3, Hubert Hurkacz 3-6 7-6(5) 7-5 and Sebastian Korda 7-6(0) 6-3.
In the semifinal, Alexei had a good straight sets win against Korda (7-60 6-3). During the match Popyrin scored 78 points vs Korda’s 65. Popyrin was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.
About the serving games, Popyrin scored 2 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Alexei Popyrin lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Popyrin put 59% of his first serves in, winning 83% (34/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 34% (10/29) on the 2nd serve. Alexei broke Korda 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Australian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Alexei’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Doha and Montreal.
The Australian has a compiled 21-15 win-loss record in 2024, 12-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Toronto
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rublev | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 79 | 130 |
| Pts | 267-210 | 459-408 |
| Total Points | 477 | 867 |
| Winners | 109 | 193 |
| %Winners | 41% | 42% |
Rublev played 4 matches while Popyrin competed in 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Andrey Rublev surrendered 1 set, while Alexei Popyrin conceded 2 sets. Rublev has played 3 set(s) less than Popyrin (9 vs 12). Therefore, Rublev played 51 games less than Popyrin. Rublev scored 109 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Alexei fired 193 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rublev | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 21 | 34 |
| Avg per match | 5.3 | 6.8 |
| 1st in | 136/228 | 237/413 |
| %1st in | 60% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 109/136 | 193/237 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 52/92 | 88/176 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 50% |
Rublev bagged 21 aces (5.3 per match). Popyrin scored 34 aces (6.8 per match). Rublev won 80% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Popyrin won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rublev | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 12 |
| Converted | 13/23 | 12/43 |
| % Converted | 57% | 28% |
| Conceded | 14 | 26 |
| Saved | 11 | 19 |
| % Saved | 79% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 7 |
The Russian broke his opponents 13 times with a 57% conversion rate. Andrey lost his serve 3 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded. Popyrin broke his opponents 12 times with a 28% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rublev | ||||||
| R2 Etcheverry |
R3 Nakashima |
1/4 Sinner |
1/2 Arnaldi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-2 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-3 1-6 6-2 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 16 | 24 | 18 | 79 | |
| pts | 70-54 | 59-37 | 78-74 | 60-45 | 267-210 | |
| Total points | 124 | 96 | 152 | 105 | 477 | |
| Winners | 25 | 21 | 36 | 27 | 109 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | 46% | 45% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 9 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 29/56 | 24/41 | 49/79 | 34/52 | 136/228 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 59% | 62% | 65% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 25/29 | 21/24 | 36/49 | 27/34 | 109/136 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 88% | 73% | 79% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/27 | 11/17 | 14/30 | 11/18 | 52/92 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 65% | 47% | 61% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 4/10 | 3/7 | 3/3 | 13/23 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 40% | 43% | 100% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 14 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0/0 | 10/12 | 1/1 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 0% | – | 83% | 100% | 46% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| Popyrin | |||||||
| R1 Machac |
R2 Shelton |
R3 Dimitrov |
1/4 Hurkacz |
1/2 Korda |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 7-64 | 4-6 7-65 6-3 | 3-6 7-65 7-5 | 7-60 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 23 | 32 | 34 | 22 | 130 | |
| pts | 65-46 | 80-69 | 111-107 | 125-121 | 78-65 | 459-408 | |
| Total points | 111 | 149 | 218 | 246 | 143 | 867 | |
| Winners | 23 | 33 | 52 | 51 | 34 | 193 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 41% | 47% | 41% | 44% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 34 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24 | |
| 1st in | 24/48 | 39/69 | 65/121 | 68/105 | 41/70 | 237/413 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 57% | 54% | 65% | 59% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 23/24 | 33/39 | 52/65 | 51/68 | 34/41 | 193/237 | |
| % 1st pts | 96% | 85% | 80% | 75% | 83% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/24 | 19/30 | 28/56 | 17/37 | 10/29 | 88/176 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 63% | 50% | 46% | 34% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 1/6 | 1/1 | 3/20 | 4/11 | 12/43 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 17% | 100% | 15% | 36% | 28% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 26 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 0/0 | 8/9 | 8/11 | 2/4 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 89% | 73% | 50% | 66% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (1-1) – H2H and prediction
