Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luca Castagnola who should win in 3 sets.
Luca Castagnola -> 1.666
Matthew Dellavedova -> 2.13
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Prediction and head to head Matthew Dellavedova vs. Luca Castagnola
There is no head to head record between Matthew Dellavedova and Luca Castagnola since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Matthew Dellavedova
32 - 28win/loss
387
377
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41-35 | 7-12 | 33-23 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-35 | 35-17 | 15-15 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 63-40 | 56-29 | 7-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-33 | 18-18 | 14-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 390 (career-high), the Australian reached the qualifications after beating Gabriele Maria Noce 5-7 7-6(1) 7-6(4).
In the qualifications against Maria Noce, Matthew recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 7-61 7-64).During the match, Dellavedova scored less points (7) than Maria Noce. In fact, the world no. 390 won 135 points vs Maria Noce’s. That means that Dellavedova was more focused during the important points. The Australian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 69 winners.
Regarding the service games, Dellavedova struck 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Matthew Dellavedova lost the serve 5 times and he saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Dellavedova put 78% of his first serves in, winning 56% (69/123) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (20/35) on the 2nd serve. Dellavedova broke Maria Noce 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Dellavedova has a winning match record in the last 9 years having won 54% of his matches (256-214). 27-18 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Dellavedova has a composed123-103 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.
Matthew’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M15 Kursumlijska Banja.
Dellavedova has a compiled 32-28 win-loss record in 2024, 27-18 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Todi Challenger
Dellavedova has never competed in this tournament before.
Luca Castagnola
21 - 20win/loss
714
625
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-24 | 13-7 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-31 | 10-6 | 31-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-31 | 5-3 | 44-27 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-20 | 14-9 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 6-4 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 662, the Italian reached the qualifications after beating Lautaro Midon 6-4 7-6(9).
In the qualifications, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Midon (6-4 7-69). During the match Castagnola scored 80 points vs Midon’s 76. Luca was quite aggressive to blast 35 winners.
About the serving games, Castagnola scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Luca Castagnola conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 6 break points. Furthermore, Castagnola put 61% of his first serves in, winning 69% (35/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (22/33) on the 2nd serve. Luca broke Midon once after converting 20% of his break points (1/5).
Castagnola’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in M15 Monastir and M15 Litija.
Castagnola has a compiled 21-20 win-loss record in 2024, 8-13 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Dellavedova | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 38 | 23 |
| Pts | 135-142 | 80-76 |
| Total Points | 277 | 156 |
| Winners | 69 | 35 |
| %Winners | 51% | 44% |
Both Dellavedova and Castagnola played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Matthew Dellavedova surrendered 1 set while Luca Castagnola hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Dellavedova has played 1 set more than Castagnola (3 vs 2). Therefore, Dellavedova played 15 games more than Castagnola. Dellavedova scored 69 winners (51% of the total points). On the other side, Luca managed to score 35 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Dellavedova | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 1 |
| 1st in | 123/158 | 51/84 |
| %1st in | 78% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 69/123 | 35/51 |
| %1st pts | 56% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 20/35 | 22/33 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 67% |
Dellavedova recorded 2 aces . Castagnola made 1 ace . Dellavedova won 56% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Castagnola won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Dellavedova | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 1 |
| Converted | 4/9 | 1/5 |
| % Converted | 44% | 20% |
| Conceded | 16 | 6 |
| Saved | 11 | 6 |
| % Saved | 69% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 0 |
Dellavedova broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Dellavedova conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. Luca broke his opponent once with a 20% conversion rate. Luca was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 6 break points.
| Dellavedova | |||
| Q1 Maria Noce | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 7-61 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 38 | 38 | |
| pts | 135-142 | 135-142 | |
| Total points | 277 | 277 | |
| Winners | 69 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 51% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 123/158 | 123/158 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 78% | |
| 1st pts | 69/123 | 69/123 | |
| % 1st pts | 56% | 56% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/35 | 20/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 16 | 16 | |
| Saved | 11/16 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 69% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
| Castagnola | |||
| Q1 Midon | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-69 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 80-76 | 80-76 | |
| Total points | 156 | 156 | |
| Winners | 35 | 35 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 51/84 | 51/84 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 35/51 | 35/51 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/33 | 22/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/5 | 1/5 | |
| Converted % | 20% | 20% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 6/6 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
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- Santiago Fa Rodriguez TavernaFa Rodriguez Taverna – Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Matthew DellavedovaDellavedova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
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- Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – Andrea PicchionePicchione (1-0) – H2H and prediction