Liudmila Samsonova and Diana Shnaider will fight against each other in the quarter of the National Bank Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 7:00 pm on Centre Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Liudmila Samsonova who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Liudmila Samsonova is the pick to win this match.
Liudmila Samsonova -> 1.74
Diana Shnaider -> 2.1

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Prediction and head to head Liudmila Samsonova vs. Diana Shnaider

This will be the 2nd time that Liudmila Samsonova and Diana Shnaider play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Shnaider (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Shnaider won 6-1 6-3 in the 2nd round in Rome back in May 2024.

Liudmila Samsonova

Liudmila Samsonova

20 - 18win/loss

Hard
6-10
I Hard
0-0
Clay
6-5
Grass
8-3
Rank
27
High
12
LLLLWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 26-23 12-15 6-5 0-0 8-3 0-0
2023 34-24 25-15 4-4 1-1 4-4 0-0
2022 30-17 26-10 3-4 0-0 1-3 0-0
2021 39-22 15-9 6-9 8-3 10-1 0-0
2020 20-12 10-6 4-4 6-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 13, the Russian reached the quarter after beating Moyuka Uchijima 6-4 6-2 and Elise Mertens 6-2 6-4.

In the 3rd round, Samsonova had a good straight sets win against Mertens (6-2 6-4). During the match, Samsonova scored 71 points vs Mertens’s 60. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Regarding the service games, Samsonova scored 4 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Liudmila Samsonova was exceptionally effective on serve to win 74% (26/35) of her 1st serve and 55% (21/38) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Samsonova broke Mertens 3 times after converting 33% of her break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ludmilla hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 57% of the points she played.

Samsonova has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 63% of her matches (288-169). 6-9 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Samsonova has an aggregate104-63 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.

Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Hertogenbosch where she beat Bianca Vanessa Andreescu in the final 4-6 6-3 7-5.

The Russian has a compiled 20-17 win-loss record in 2024, 6-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Montreal

Toronto
Samsonova's Record

Diana Shnaider

Diana Shnaider

41 - 15win/loss

Hard
17-7
I Hard
0-0
Clay
15-5
Grass
9-3
Rank
13
High
12
WWWWWLWLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 55-23 31-15 15-5 0-0 9-3 0-0
2023 25-22 14-13 10-8 0-0 1-1 0-0
2022 58-17 11-4 46-11 1-2 0-0 0-0
2021 9-3 0-0 8-2 1-1 0-0 0-0
2020 2-2 0-0 2-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 24, the Russian reached the quarter after beating Harriet Dart 6-3 3-6 7-6(2), Magdalena Frech 2-6 6-3 7-6(5) and Cori Gauff 6-4 6-1.

In the 3rd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Gauff (6-4 6-1). During the match Shnaider scored 64 points vs Gauff’s 47. The Russian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about serving, Shnaider scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 4 double faults. Diana Shnaider was pretty efficient on serve to win 81% (26/32) of her 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Diana broke Gauff 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Hua Hin where she overcame Lin Zhu in the final 6-3 2-6 6-1 and the Paris where she beat Emma Navarro in the final 6-2 3-6 6-4 and in Bad Homburg where she defeated Donna Vekic in the final 6-3 2-6 6-3 and in Budapest where she beat Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the final 6-4 6-4.

Shnaider has an overall 40-15 win-loss record in 2024, 16-7 on hard (See FULL STATS)

.

Previously in Montreal

The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.

Toronto
Shnaider's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

L.Samsonova
D.Shnaider
3h:09
3h:09
Time on court​
!
5h:45
5h:45
1h:43
1h:43
Last match​
1h:10
1h:10
2
2
Match played
!
3
3
36
36
Games Played​
78
78
4
4
Set played​​
8
8
139
139
Total points​
274
274
69.5
69.5
Avg point​
91.3
91.3
44
44
Winners
107
107
22
22
Avg Winners​
35.7
35.7
32%
32%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
12
12
Aces
6
6
6
6
Avg Aces
2
2
14
14
Double Faults
15
15
!
7
7
Avg Double Faults
5
5
44/57
44/57
1st won total​
107/151
107/151
!
77%
77%
1st won %
!
71%
71%
46/76
46/76
2nd won total​
46/96
46/96
!
61%
61%
2nd won %
48%
48%
-- Break Points --
6/16
6/16
BP won
12/36
12/36
3/8
3/8
Avg BP won
4/12
4/12
38%
38%
Won
33%
33%
9
9
Conceded
20
20
4.5
4.5
Avg Conceded
6.7
6.7
0
0
Broken
10
10
!
0
0
Avg Broken
3.3
3.3
9
9
Saved
10
10

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Samsonova Shnaider
Match played 2 3
Tot Set 4 8
Tot Games 36 78
Pts 139-106 274-248
Total Points 245 522
Winners 44 107
%Winners 32% 39%

Samsonova played 2 matches while Shnaider competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Diana Shnaider surrendered 2 sets while Liudmila Samsonova hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Samsonova has played 4 set(s) less than Shnaider (4 vs 8). Therefore, Samsonova played 42 games less than Shnaider. The Russian scored 44 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Diana bagged 107 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Samsonova Shnaider
Aces 12 6
Avg per match 6 2
1st in 57/133 151/247
%1st in 43% 61%
1st pts 44/57 107/151
%1st pts 77% 71%
2nd pts 46/76 46/96
%2nd pts 61% 48%

Samsonova fired 12 aces (6 per match). Shnaider blasted 6 aces (2 per match). Samsonova won 77% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Shnaider won 71% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Samsonova Shnaider
Won 6 12
Converted 6/16 12/36
% Converted 38% 33%
Conceded 9 20
Saved 9 10
% Saved 100% 50%
Times Broken 0 10

The Russian broke her opponents 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. Samsonova pretty effective on her serve as she has never dropped a single service game after saving 9 break points. The Russian broke her opponents 12 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.

Samsonova
R2
Uchijima
R3
Mertens
Total
Score 6-4 6-2 6-2 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 18 18 36
pts 68-46 71-60 139-106
Total points 114 131 245
Winners 18 26 44
%Winners 26% 37% 32%
SERVE
Aces 8 4 12
Double Faults 7 7 14
1st in 22/60 35/73 57/133
% 1st in 37% 48% 43%
1st pts 18/22 26/35 44/57
% 1st pts 82% 74% 77%
2nd pts 25/38 21/38 46/76
% 2nd pts 66% 55% 61%
Breaks
Won 3 3 6
Converted 3/7 3/9 6/16
Converted % 43% 33% 38%
Conceded 3 6 9
Saved 3/3 6/6 9
Saved % 100% 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0 0
Shnaider
R1
Dart
R2
Frech
R3
Gauff
Total
Score 6-3 3-6 7-62 2-6 6-3 7-65 6-4 6-1
Tot Set 3 3 2 8
Tot Games 31 30 17 78
pts 113-109 97-92 64-47 274-248
Total points 222 189 111 522
Winners 38 43 26 107
%Winners 34% 44% 41% 39%
SERVE
Aces 4 1 1 6
Double Faults 7 4 4 15
1st in 56/93 63/95 32/59 151/247
% 1st in 60% 66% 54% 61%
1st pts 38/56 43/63 26/32 107/151
% 1st pts 68% 68% 81% 71%
2nd pts 14/37 18/32 14/27 46/96
% 2nd pts 38% 56% 52% 48%
Breaks
Won 6 3 3 12
Converted 6/23 3/5 3/8 12/36
Converted % 26% 60% 38% 33%
Conceded 9 10 1 20
Saved 3/9 6/10 1/1 10
Saved % 33% 60% 100% 97%
Times Broken 6 4 0 10

Tennis Scores in Toronto

Upcoming matches in the draw