Liudmila Samsonova and Diana Shnaider will fight against each other in the quarter of the National Bank Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 7:00 pm on Centre Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Liudmila Samsonova who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Liudmila Samsonova is the pick to win this match.
Liudmila Samsonova -> 1.74
Diana Shnaider -> 2.1
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Prediction and head to head Liudmila Samsonova vs. Diana Shnaider
This will be the 2nd time that Liudmila Samsonova and Diana Shnaider play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Shnaider (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Shnaider won 6-1 6-3 in the 2nd round in Rome back in May 2024.
Liudmila Samsonova
20 - 18win/loss
25
12
LLLLWWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-23 | 12-15 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-24 | 25-15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-17 | 26-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-22 | 15-9 | 6-9 | 8-3 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-12 | 10-6 | 4-4 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, the Russian reached the quarter after beating Moyuka Uchijima 6-4 6-2 and Elise Mertens 6-2 6-4.
In the 3rd round, Samsonova had a good straight sets win against Mertens (6-2 6-4). During the match, Samsonova scored 71 points vs Mertens’s 60. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Samsonova scored 4 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Liudmila Samsonova was exceptionally effective on serve to win 74% (26/35) of her 1st serve and 55% (21/38) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Samsonova broke Mertens 3 times after converting 33% of her break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ludmilla hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 57% of the points she played.
Samsonova has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 63% of her matches (288-169). 6-9 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Samsonova has an aggregate104-63 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Hertogenbosch where she beat Bianca Vanessa Andreescu in the final 4-6 6-3 7-5.
The Russian has a compiled 20-17 win-loss record in 2024, 6-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montreal
Diana Shnaider
41 - 15win/loss
12
12
WWWWWLWLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 55-23 | 31-15 | 15-5 | 0-0 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-22 | 14-13 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 58-17 | 11-4 | 46-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 8-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 24, the Russian reached the quarter after beating Harriet Dart 6-3 3-6 7-6(2), Magdalena Frech 2-6 6-3 7-6(5) and Cori Gauff 6-4 6-1.
In the 3rd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Gauff (6-4 6-1). During the match Shnaider scored 64 points vs Gauff’s 47. The Russian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Shnaider scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 4 double faults. Diana Shnaider was pretty efficient on serve to win 81% (26/32) of her 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Diana broke Gauff 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Hua Hin where she overcame Lin Zhu in the final 6-3 2-6 6-1 and the Paris where she beat Emma Navarro in the final 6-2 3-6 6-4 and in Bad Homburg where she defeated Donna Vekic in the final 6-3 2-6 6-3 and in Budapest where she beat Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the final 6-4 6-4.
Shnaider has an overall 40-15 win-loss record in 2024, 16-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montreal
The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Samsonova | Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 36 | 78 |
| Pts | 139-106 | 274-248 |
| Total Points | 245 | 522 |
| Winners | 44 | 107 |
| %Winners | 32% | 39% |
Samsonova played 2 matches while Shnaider competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Diana Shnaider surrendered 2 sets while Liudmila Samsonova hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Samsonova has played 4 set(s) less than Shnaider (4 vs 8). Therefore, Samsonova played 42 games less than Shnaider. The Russian scored 44 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Diana bagged 107 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Samsonova | Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 2 |
| 1st in | 57/133 | 151/247 |
| %1st in | 43% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 44/57 | 107/151 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 46/76 | 46/96 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 48% |
Samsonova fired 12 aces (6 per match). Shnaider blasted 6 aces (2 per match). Samsonova won 77% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Shnaider won 71% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Samsonova | Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 12 |
| Converted | 6/16 | 12/36 |
| % Converted | 38% | 33% |
| Conceded | 9 | 20 |
| Saved | 9 | 10 |
| % Saved | 100% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 10 |
The Russian broke her opponents 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. Samsonova pretty effective on her serve as she has never dropped a single service game after saving 9 break points. The Russian broke her opponents 12 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Samsonova | ||||
| R2 Uchijima |
R3 Mertens |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | 36 | |
| pts | 68-46 | 71-60 | 139-106 | |
| Total points | 114 | 131 | 245 | |
| Winners | 18 | 26 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 26% | 37% | 32% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 4 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 22/60 | 35/73 | 57/133 | |
| % 1st in | 37% | 48% | 43% | |
| 1st pts | 18/22 | 26/35 | 44/57 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 74% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/38 | 21/38 | 46/76 | |
| % 2nd pts | 66% | 55% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/9 | 6/16 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 33% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 6/6 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shnaider | |||||
| R1 Dart |
R2 Frech |
R3 Gauff |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 7-62 | 2-6 6-3 7-65 | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 30 | 17 | 78 | |
| pts | 113-109 | 97-92 | 64-47 | 274-248 | |
| Total points | 222 | 189 | 111 | 522 | |
| Winners | 38 | 43 | 26 | 107 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 44% | 41% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 4 | 4 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 56/93 | 63/95 | 32/59 | 151/247 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 66% | 54% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 38/56 | 43/63 | 26/32 | 107/151 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | 81% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/37 | 18/32 | 14/27 | 46/96 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 56% | 52% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 6/23 | 3/5 | 3/8 | 12/36 | |
| Converted % | 26% | 60% | 38% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 10 | 1 | 20 | |
| Saved | 3/9 | 6/10 | 1/1 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 60% | 100% | 97% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 4 | 0 | 10 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWWWLWW
WWWWWLWLLL Tennis Scores in Toronto
- Caroline Dolehide/Desirae KrawczykDolehide/Desirae Krawczyk – Giuliana Olmos/Jessica PegulaOlmos/Jessica Pegula (7-65 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Antonio MassaraMassara – Alessandro PetronePetrone (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri – Luka PavlovicPavlovic (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Pablo PazPablo Paz – Alessandro CeppelliniCeppellini (7-63 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Mirko CutuliCutuli – Kirill KivattsevKivattsev (7-66 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Peyton StearnsStearns (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Taylor TownsendTownsend (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (4-2) – H2H and prediction
