Jessica Pegula and Peyton Stearns will face off in the quarter of the National Bank Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 5:00 pm on Centre Court. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.27
Peyton Stearns -> 3.78

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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Peyton Stearns

This will be the 2nd time that Jessica Pegula and Peyton Stearns play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Pegula won 6-3 6-4 in the 2nd round in Washington back in 2023.

Highlights Jessica Pegula vs Peyton Stearns – Washington 03-August-2023

Jessica Pegula

Jessica Pegula

24 - 10win/loss

Hard
14-5
I Hard
0-0
Clay
4-2
Grass
6-3
Rank
7
High
3
LLLWLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2020 17-9 16-7 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 6, Jessica got to the quarter after beating Unknown Player bye, Karolina Pliskova 7-5 6-4 and Ashlyn Krueger 6-2 6-4.

In the 3rd round, Pegula had a good straight sets win against Krueger (6-2 6-4). During the match, Pegula scored 68 points vs Krueger’s 58. Jessica was very aggressive to blast 16 winners.

Talking about the service games, Pegula blasted 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve 4 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 48% of her first serves in, winning 57% (16/28) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (14/30) on the 2nd serve. Pegula broke Krueger 7 times after converting 44% of her break points (7/16).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jessica hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points she played.

Pegula has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (321-175). 13-5 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pegula has an overall 199-95 record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Berlin where she overcame Anna Kalinskaya in the final 6-7(0) 6-4 7-6(3).

Jessica has an overall 23-10 win-loss record in 2024, 13-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Montreal

Toronto
Pegula's Record

Peyton Stearns

Peyton Stearns

19 - 18win/loss

Hard
7-10
I Hard
0-0
Clay
11-6
Grass
1-2
Rank
47
High
43
LWWLLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 25-23 13-15 11-6 0-0 1-2 0-0
2023 45-23 19-13 19-7 6-1 1-2 0-0
2022 33-15 29-12 1-2 3-1 0-0 0-0
2021 8-9 8-7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0
2020 6-6 4-4 0-0 2-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 53, the American got to the quarter after beating Anna Blinkova 6-4 6-3, Madison Keys 3-6 7-5 3-0 ret. and Victoria Azarenka 6-4 4-2 ret..

In the 3rd round against Azarenka, Peyton had a free pass after Azarenka retired on a 6-4 4-2 . scoreline.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Rabat where she defeated Mayar Sherif in the final 6-2 6-1.

The American has an aggregate 19-17 win-loss record in 2024, 7-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Montreal

Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See her history.

Toronto
Stearns's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Pegula
P.Stearns
2h:52
2h:52
Time on court​
!
4h:31
4h:31
1h:22
1h:22
Last match​
1h:29
1h:29
2
2
Match played
!
3
3
40
40
Games Played​
59
59
4
4
Set played​​
9
9
145
145
Total points​
208
208
72.5
72.5
Avg point​
69.3
69.3
43
43
Winners
84
84
21.5
21.5
Avg Winners​
28
28
30%
30%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
10
10
2.5
2.5
Avg Aces
3.3
3.3
4
4
Double Faults
10
10
2
2
Avg Double Faults
3.3
3.3
43/69
43/69
1st won total​
84/124
84/124
62%
62%
1st won %
68%
68%
30/63
30/63
2nd won total​
33/64
33/64
48%
48%
2nd won %
52%
52%
-- Break Points --
12/26
12/26
BP won
13/31
13/31
6/13
6/13
Avg BP won
4.3/10.3
4.3/10.3
46%
46%
Won
42%
42%
17
17
Conceded
21
21
8.5
8.5
Avg Conceded
7
7
7
7
Broken
8
8
3.5
3.5
Avg Broken
2.7
2.7
10
10
Saved
13
13

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Pegula Stearns
Match played 2 3
Tot Set 4 9
Tot Games 40 59
Pts 145-125 208-171
Total Points 270 379
Winners 43 84
%Winners 30% 40%

Pegula played 2 matches while Stearns competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Peyton Stearns dropped 1 set while Jessica Pegula hasn’t lost a set so far. Pegula has played 5 set(s) less than Stearns (4 vs 9). Therefore, Pegula played 19 games less than Stearns. Pegula scored 43 winners (30% of the total points). On the other side, Peyton recorded 84 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Pegula Stearns
Aces 5 10
Avg per match 2.5 3.3
1st in 69/132 124/188
%1st in 52% 66%
1st pts 43/69 84/124
%1st pts 62% 68%
2nd pts 30/63 33/64
%2nd pts 48% 52%

Pegula recorded 5 aces (2.5 per match). Stearns managed to score 10 aces (3.3 per match). Pegula won 62% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Stearns won 68% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Pegula Stearns
Won 12 13
Converted 12/26 13/31
% Converted 46% 42%
Conceded 17 21
Saved 10 13
% Saved 59% 62%
Times Broken 7 8

Pegula broke her opponents 12 times with a 46% conversion rate. The American lost her serve 7 times and she saved 59% of the break points that she conceded. Stearns broke her opponents 13 times with a 42% conversion rate. Peyton conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 62% of the break points that she conceded.

Pegula
R2
Pliskova
R3
Krueger
Total
Score 7-5 6-4 6-2 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 22 18 40
pts 77-67 68-58 145-125
Total points 144 126 270
Winners 27 16 43
%Winners 35% 24% 30%
SERVE
Aces 2 3 5
Double Faults 2 2 4
1st in 41/74 28/58 69/132
% 1st in 55% 48% 52%
1st pts 27/41 16/28 43/69
% 1st pts 66% 57% 62%
2nd pts 16/33 14/30 30/63
% 2nd pts 48% 47% 48%
Breaks
Won 5 7 12
Converted 5/10 7/16 12/26
Converted % 50% 44% 46%
Conceded 8 9 17
Saved 5/8 5/9 10
Saved % 63% 56% 60%
Times Broken 3 4 7
Stearns
R1
Blinkova
R2
Keys
R3
Azarenka
Total
Score 6-4 6-3 3-6 7-5 3-0 ret. 6-4 4-2 ret.
Tot Set 2 3 2 7
Tot Games 19 24 16 59
pts 64-51 90-75 54-45 208-171
Total points 115 165 99 379
Winners 21 37 26 84
%Winners 33% 41% 48% 40%
SERVE
Aces 3 4 3 10
Double Faults 2 4 4 10
1st in 35/55 50/76 39/57 124/188
% 1st in 64% 66% 68% 66%
1st pts 21/35 37/50 26/39 84/124
% 1st pts 60% 74% 67% 68%
2nd pts 12/20 13/26 8/18 33/64
% 2nd pts 60% 50% 44% 52%
Breaks
Won 5 4 4 13
Converted 5/12 4/14 4/5 13/31
Converted % 42% 29% 80% 42%
Conceded 5 9 7 21
Saved 2/5 6/9 5/7 13
Saved % 40% 67% 71% 89%
Times Broken 3 3 2 8

Tennis Scores in Toronto

Upcoming matches in the draw