Bu Yunchaokete and Jacob Fearnley will play each other in the semifinal of the Lincoln Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jacob Fearnley who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jacob Fearnley is the pick to win this match.
Jacob Fearnley -> 1.82
Bu Yunchaokete -> 1.92

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Bu Yunchaokete vs. Jacob Fearnley

This will be the 2^nd time that Bu Yunchaokete and Jacob Fearnley fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Fearnley (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Fearnley won 6-2 7-5 in the 1^st round in the Nottingham 2 Challenger back in June 2024.

Bu Yunchaokete

Ranked no. 134 (career-high), Yunchaokete reached the semifinal after defeating Shintaro Mochizuki 6-4 6-2, Beibit Zhukayev 6-3 6-2 and Tristan Schoolkate 7-6(3) 6-2.

In the quarter, Bu had a good straight sets win against Schoolkate (7-6³ 6-2). During the match, Yunchaokete scored 83 points vs Schoolkate’s 64. The Chinese was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Regarding the service games, Yunchaokete recorded 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Bu Yunchaokete lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Yunchaokete put 51% of his first serves in, winning 68% (26/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (22/37) on the 2nd serve. Bu broke Schoolkate 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Bu hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

Yunchaokete has a fantastic match record in the last 5 years having won 70% of his matches (161-70). 31-8 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Yunchaokete has a compiled143-49 win-loss record in the last 5 years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Wuxi Challenger where he overcame Egor Gerasimov in the final 6-4 6-1 and the Granby Challenger where he overcame Terence Atmane in the final 6-3 6-7(7) 6-4.

Bu has a composed 36-15 win-loss record in 2024, 31-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lincoln Challenger

Bu has never competed in this tournament before.

Jacob Fearnley

Ranked no. 206 (career-high), Jacob got to the semifinal after beating Gijs Brouwer 6-1 6-1, Christopher Eubanks 7-5 4-6 6-2 and Aidan Mayo 5-7 6-4 6-3.

In the quarter against Mayo, Fearnley recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-3). During the match Fearnley scored 101 points vs Mayo’s 98. The Brit was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about serving, Fearnley recorded 2 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Jacob Fearnley lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Fearnley put 60% of his first serves in, winning 69% (38/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 51% (19/37) on the 2nd serve. Jacob broke Mayo 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jacob has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Nottingham 2 Challenger where he overcame Charles Broom in the final 4-6 6-4 6-3.

Jacob has a composed 25-4 win-loss record in 2024, 8-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Yunchaokete	Fearnley
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	6	8
Tot Games	56	75
Pts	232-173	258-218
Total Points	405	476
Winners	83	99
%Winners	36%	38%

Both Yunchaokete and Fearnley played 3 matches. At the moment, Jacob Fearnley surrendered 2 sets while Bu Yunchaokete hasn’t lost a set so far. Yunchaokete has played 2 set(s) less than Fearnley (6 vs 8). Therefore, Yunchaokete played 19 games less than Fearnley. Yunchaokete scored 83 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit made 99 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Yunchaokete	Fearnley
Aces	10	11
Avg per match	3.3	3.7
1st in	123/218	135/226
%1st in	56%	60%
1st pts	83/123	99/135
%1st pts	67%	73%
2nd pts	54/95	46/91
%2nd pts	57%	51%

Yunchaokete recorded 10 aces (3.3 per match). Fearnley fired 11 aces (3.7 per match). Yunchaokete won 67% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Fearnley won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Yunchaokete	Fearnley
Won	13	16
Converted	13/37	16/28
% Converted	35%	57%
Conceded	27	19
Saved	22	11
% Saved	81%	58%
Times Broken	5	8

Bu broke his opponents 13 times with a 35% conversion rate. Bu conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 81% of the break points that he conceded. Jacob broke his opponents 16 times with a 57% conversion rate. Jacob conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded.

Yunchaokete
	R1 Mochizuki	R2 Zhukayev	1/4 Schoolkate	Total
Score	6-4 6-2	6-3 6-2	7-63 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	18	17	21	56
pts	85-67	64-42	83-64	232-173
Total points	152	106	147	405
Winners	32	25	26	83
%Winners	38%	39%	31%	36%
SERVE
Aces	3	4	3	10
Double Faults	2	2	2	6
1st in	52/87	33/56	38/75	123/218
% 1st in	60%	59%	51%	56%
1st pts	32/52	25/33	26/38	83/123
% 1st pts	62%	76%	68%	67%
2nd pts	18/35	14/23	22/37	54/95
% 2nd pts	51%	61%	59%	57%
Breaks
Won	5	4	4	13
Converted	5/14	4/11	4/12	13/37
Converted %	36%	36%	33%	35%
Conceded	15	4	8	27
Saved	13/15	3/4	6/8	22
Saved %	87%	75%	75%	79%
Times Broken	2	1	2	5

Fearnley
	R1 Brouwer	R2 Eubanks	1/4 Mayo	Total
Score	6-1 6-1	7-5 4-6 6-2	5-7 6-4 6-3
Tot Set	2	3	3	8
Tot Games	14	30	31	75
pts	56-28	101-92	101-98	258-218
Total points	84	193	199	476
Winners	20	41	38	99
%Winners	36%	41%	38%	38%
SERVE
Aces	7	2	2	11
Double Faults	2	6	7	15
1st in	22/34	58/100	55/92	135/226
% 1st in	65%	58%	60%	60%
1st pts	20/22	41/58	38/55	99/135
% 1st pts	91%	71%	69%	73%
2nd pts	8/12	19/42	19/37	46/91
% 2nd pts	67%	45%	51%	51%
Breaks
Won	5	6	5	16
Converted	5/6	6/8	5/14	16/28
Converted %	83%	75%	36%	57%
Conceded	0	12	7	19
Saved	0/0	8/12	3/7	11
Saved %	–	67%	43%	37%
Times Broken	0	4	4	8

Tennis Scores in Lincoln Challenger

• Nishesh BasavareddyBasavareddy – Paul JubbJubb (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong – Li TuTu (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (7-6³ 6-2) – See score progression
• Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Aidan MayoMayo (5-7 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Robert Cash/James TracyCash/James Tracy – George Goldhoff/Christian HarrisonGoldhoff/Christian Harrison (4-6 6-4 13-11) – See score progression
• Anirudh Chandrasekar/Niki Kaliyanda PoonachaChandrasekar/Niki Kaliyanda Poonacha – Alex Lawson/Ethan QuinnLawson/Ethan Quinn (6-2 6-7⁴ 10-7) – See score progression
• Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Aidan MayoMayo (5-7 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Nishesh BasavareddyBasavareddy – Paul JubbJubb (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong – Li TuTu (7-5 6-1) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (1-0) – H2H and prediction