Bu Yunchaokete and Jacob Fearnley will play each other in the semifinal of the Lincoln Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jacob Fearnley who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jacob Fearnley is the pick to win this match.
Jacob Fearnley -> 1.82
Bu Yunchaokete -> 1.92
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Prediction and head to head Bu Yunchaokete vs. Jacob Fearnley
This will be the 2nd time that Bu Yunchaokete and Jacob Fearnley fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Fearnley (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Fearnley won 6-2 7-5 in the 1st round in the Nottingham 2 Challenger back in June 2024.
Bu Yunchaokete
36 - 16win/loss
66
66
LWLWWLWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 51-27 | 40-14 | 3-2 | 7-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 27-15 | 0-0 | 6-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 87-28 | 84-24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-1 |
| 2021 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 134 (career-high), Yunchaokete reached the semifinal after defeating Shintaro Mochizuki 6-4 6-2, Beibit Zhukayev 6-3 6-2 and Tristan Schoolkate 7-6(3) 6-2.
In the quarter, Bu had a good straight sets win against Schoolkate (7-63 6-2). During the match, Yunchaokete scored 83 points vs Schoolkate’s 64. The Chinese was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Yunchaokete recorded 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Bu Yunchaokete lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Yunchaokete put 51% of his first serves in, winning 68% (26/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (22/37) on the 2nd serve. Bu broke Schoolkate 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Bu hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Yunchaokete has a fantastic match record in the last 5 years having won 70% of his matches (161-70). 31-8 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Yunchaokete has a compiled143-49 win-loss record in the last 5 years on hard.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Wuxi Challenger where he overcame Egor Gerasimov in the final 6-4 6-1 and the Granby Challenger where he overcame Terence Atmane in the final 6-3 6-7(7) 6-4.
Bu has a composed 36-15 win-loss record in 2024, 31-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lincoln Challenger
Bu has never competed in this tournament before.
Jacob Fearnley
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45-9 | 10-2 | 0-0 | 26-4 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 17-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 206 (career-high), Jacob got to the semifinal after beating Gijs Brouwer 6-1 6-1, Christopher Eubanks 7-5 4-6 6-2 and Aidan Mayo 5-7 6-4 6-3.
In the quarter against Mayo, Fearnley recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-3). During the match Fearnley scored 101 points vs Mayo’s 98. The Brit was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about serving, Fearnley recorded 2 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Jacob Fearnley lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Fearnley put 60% of his first serves in, winning 69% (38/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 51% (19/37) on the 2nd serve. Jacob broke Mayo 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jacob has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Nottingham 2 Challenger where he overcame Charles Broom in the final 4-6 6-4 6-3.
Jacob has a composed 25-4 win-loss record in 2024, 8-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Yunchaokete | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 56 | 75 |
| Pts | 232-173 | 258-218 |
| Total Points | 405 | 476 |
| Winners | 83 | 99 |
| %Winners | 36% | 38% |
Both Yunchaokete and Fearnley played 3 matches. At the moment, Jacob Fearnley surrendered 2 sets while Bu Yunchaokete hasn’t lost a set so far. Yunchaokete has played 2 set(s) less than Fearnley (6 vs 8). Therefore, Yunchaokete played 19 games less than Fearnley. Yunchaokete scored 83 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit made 99 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Yunchaokete | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 3.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st in | 123/218 | 135/226 |
| %1st in | 56% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 83/123 | 99/135 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 54/95 | 46/91 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 51% |
Yunchaokete recorded 10 aces (3.3 per match). Fearnley fired 11 aces (3.7 per match). Yunchaokete won 67% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Fearnley won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Yunchaokete | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 16 |
| Converted | 13/37 | 16/28 |
| % Converted | 35% | 57% |
| Conceded | 27 | 19 |
| Saved | 22 | 11 |
| % Saved | 81% | 58% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 8 |
Bu broke his opponents 13 times with a 35% conversion rate. Bu conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 81% of the break points that he conceded. Jacob broke his opponents 16 times with a 57% conversion rate. Jacob conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded.
| Yunchaokete | |||||
| R1 Mochizuki |
R2 Zhukayev |
1/4 Schoolkate |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | 7-63 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 17 | 21 | 56 | |
| pts | 85-67 | 64-42 | 83-64 | 232-173 | |
| Total points | 152 | 106 | 147 | 405 | |
| Winners | 32 | 25 | 26 | 83 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 39% | 31% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 52/87 | 33/56 | 38/75 | 123/218 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 59% | 51% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 32/52 | 25/33 | 26/38 | 83/123 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 76% | 68% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/35 | 14/23 | 22/37 | 54/95 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 61% | 59% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/14 | 4/11 | 4/12 | 13/37 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 36% | 33% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 15 | 4 | 8 | 27 | |
| Saved | 13/15 | 3/4 | 6/8 | 22 | |
| Saved % | 87% | 75% | 75% | 79% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
| Fearnley | |||||
| R1 Brouwer |
R2 Eubanks |
1/4 Mayo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | 7-5 4-6 6-2 | 5-7 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 30 | 31 | 75 | |
| pts | 56-28 | 101-92 | 101-98 | 258-218 | |
| Total points | 84 | 193 | 199 | 476 | |
| Winners | 20 | 41 | 38 | 99 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 41% | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 6 | 7 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 22/34 | 58/100 | 55/92 | 135/226 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 58% | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 20/22 | 41/58 | 38/55 | 99/135 | |
| % 1st pts | 91% | 71% | 69% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/12 | 19/42 | 19/37 | 46/91 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 45% | 51% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 5 | 16 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 6/8 | 5/14 | 16/28 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 75% | 36% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 12 | 7 | 19 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 8/12 | 3/7 | 11 | |
| Saved % | – | 67% | 43% | 37% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWLWLLW
LWWLWWLWLW Tennis Scores in Lincoln Challenger
- Nishesh BasavareddyBasavareddy – Paul JubbJubb (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong – Li TuTu (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (7-63 6-2) – See score progression
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Aidan MayoMayo (5-7 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Robert Cash/James TracyCash/James Tracy – George Goldhoff/Christian HarrisonGoldhoff/Christian Harrison (4-6 6-4 13-11) – See score progression
- Anirudh Chandrasekar/Niki Kaliyanda PoonachaChandrasekar/Niki Kaliyanda Poonacha – Alex Lawson/Ethan QuinnLawson/Ethan Quinn (6-2 6-74 10-7) – See score progression
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Aidan MayoMayo (5-7 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Nishesh BasavareddyBasavareddy – Paul JubbJubb (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong – Li TuTu (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (1-0) – H2H and prediction
