Jelena Ostapenko and Taylor Townsend will face off in the 3rd round of the National Bank Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 12:30 pm on Centre Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jelena Ostapenko who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jelena Ostapenko is the pick to win this match.
Jelena Ostapenko -> 1.49
Taylor Townsend -> 2.625

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Prediction and head to head Jelena Ostapenko vs. Taylor Townsend

This will be the 2nd time that Jelena Ostapenko and Taylor Townsend play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Ostapenko (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Ostapenko won 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the 2nd round in New York back in 2018.

Jelena Ostapenko

Jelena Ostapenko

31 - 16win/loss

Hard
14-7
I Hard
4-0
Clay
8-6
Grass
5-3
Rank
15
High
5
LLLLWLLWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 31-19 14-10 8-6 4-0 5-3 0-0
2023 37-22 21-15 7-4 1-1 8-2 0-0
2022 33-19 19-10 3-3 3-3 8-3 0-0
2021 32-19 12-9 5-4 7-4 8-2 0-0
2020 9-8 3-2 4-3 2-3 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 11, the Latvian got to the 3rd round after beating Paula Badosa Gibert 3-6 7-6(3) 6-2.

In the 2nd round against Badosa, Ostapenko recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-63 6-2). During the match, Ostapenko scored 94 points vs Badosa’s 91. The Latvian was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Regarding the service games, Ostapenko fired 3 aces and she was not very consistent on her 2nd serve to score 12 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko lost the serve 4 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Ostapenko put 55% of her first serves in, winning 67% (34/51) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (17/41) on the 2nd serve. Ostapenko broke Badosa 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).

Ostapenko has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of her matches (313-205). 14-6 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Ostapenko has a composed 133-104 record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Adelaide where she defeated Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Linz where she overcame Ekaterina Alexandrova in the final 6-2 6-3.

Ostapenko has a composed 31-15 win-loss record in 2024, 14-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Montreal

Toronto
Ostapenko's Record

Taylor Townsend

Taylor Townsend

17 - 16win/loss

Hard
15-9
I Hard
0-0
Clay
2-4
Grass
0-3
Rank
69
High
46
LWLWLWWWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 23-20 21-13 2-4 0-0 0-3 0-0
2023 32-16 16-9 12-4 2-1 2-2 0-0
2022 23-8 14-5 9-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 4-6 4-6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 71, Taylor got to the 3rd round after beating Emina Bektas 6-2 6-2, Dayana Yastremska 6-3 3-1 ret. and Marina Stakusic 6-0 6-2.

In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Stakusic (6-0 6-2). During the match Townsend scored 58 points vs Stakusic’s 31. Townsend was very aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Talking about serving, Townsend recorded 3 aces and she was pretty solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Taylor Townsend lost the serve once. Furthermore, Townsend put 58% of her first serves in, winning 95% (20/21) of the points behind her 1st serve and 40% (6/15) on the 2nd serve. Townsend broke Stakusic 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Townsend started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to conquer 63% of the points she played.

Townsend has a compiled 16-16 win-loss record in 2024, 14-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Montreal

The American has never competed in this tournament before.

Toronto
Townsend's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Ostapenko
T.Townsend
2h:04
2h:04
Time on court​
2h:49
2h:49
!
2h:04
2h:04
Last match​
1h:00
1h:00
1
1
Match played
!
4
4
30
30
Games Played​
66
66
3
3
Set played​​
9
9
94
94
Total points​
165
165
94
94
Avg point​
41.3
41.3
34
34
Winners
63
63
34
34
Avg Winners​
15.8
15.8
36%
36%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
14
14
3
3
Avg Aces
3.5
3.5
12
12
Double Faults
5
5
!
12
12
Avg Double Faults
1.3
1.3
34/51
34/51
1st won total​
63/75
63/75
67%
67%
1st won %
!
84%
84%
17/41
17/41
2nd won total​
24/49
24/49
41%
41%
2nd won %
49%
49%
-- Break Points --
5/6
5/6
BP won
13/21
13/21
5/6
5/6
Avg BP won
3.3/5.3
3.3/5.3
!
83%
83%
Won
!
62%
62%
7
7
Conceded
7
7
7
7
Avg Conceded
1.8
1.8
4
4
Broken
2
2
4
4
Avg Broken
!
0.5
0.5
3
3
Saved
5
5
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Ostapenko Townsend
Match played 1 3
Tot Set 3 7
Tot Games 30 43
Pts 94-91 165-102
Total Points 185 267
Winners 34 63
%Winners 36% 38%

Ostapenko played 1 match while Townsend competed in 3 matches. Townsend started her run from the qualifications while Ostapenko had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Jelena Ostapenko conceded 1 set while Taylor Townsend hasn’t conceded a set so far. Ostapenko has played 4 set(s) less than Townsend (3 vs 7). Therefore, Ostapenko played 13 games less than Townsend. The Latvian scored 34 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Taylor managed to score 63 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Ostapenko Townsend
Aces 3 14
Avg per match 3 4.7
1st in 51/92 75/124
%1st in 55% 60%
1st pts 34/51 63/75
%1st pts 67% 84%
2nd pts 17/41 24/49
%2nd pts 41% 49%

Ostapenko scored 3 aces . Townsend blasted 14 aces (4.7 per match). Ostapenko won 67% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Townsend won 84% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Ostapenko Townsend
Won 5 13
Converted 5/6 13/21
% Converted 83% 62%
Conceded 7 7
Saved 3 5
% Saved 43% 71%
Times Broken 4 2

The Latvian broke her opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. Ostapenko dropped her serve 4 times and she saved 43% of the break points that she conceded. Townsend broke her opponents 13 times with a 62% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve twice and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.

Ostapenko
R2
Badosa		 Total
Score 3-6 7-63 6-2
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 30 30
pts 94-91 94-91
Total points 185 185
Winners 34 34
%Winners 36% 36%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 12 12
1st in 51/92 51/92
% 1st in 55% 55%
1st pts 34/51 34/51
% 1st pts 67% 67%
2nd pts 17/41 17/41
% 2nd pts 41% 41%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/6 5/6
Converted % 83% 83%
Conceded 7 7
Saved 3/7 3
Saved % 43% 43%
Times Broken 4 4
Townsend
Q1
Bektas		 Q3
Andreeva		 R1
Yastremska		 R2
Stakusic		 Total
Score 6-2 6-2 7-66 6-4 6-3 3-1 ret. 6-0 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 8
Tot Games 16 23 13 14 66
pts 55-34 – 52-37 58-31 165-102
Total points 89 0 89 89 267
Winners 24 19 20 63
%Winners 44% 0% 37% 34% 38%
SERVE
Aces 9 0 2 3 14
Double Faults 2 3 0 5
1st in 28/47 / 26/41 21/36 75/124
% 1st in 60% 0% 63% 58% 60%
1st pts 24/28 / 19/26 20/21 63/75
% 1st pts 86% 0% 73% 95% 84%
2nd pts 10/19 / 8/15 6/15 24/49
% 2nd pts 53% 0% 53% 40% 49%
Breaks
Won 4 3 6 13
Converted 4/5 / 3/6 6/10 13/21
Converted % 80% 0% 50% 60% 62%
Conceded 3 3 1 7
Saved 3/3 0/ 2/3 0/1 5
Saved % 100% – 67% 0% 167%
Times Broken 0 1 1 2

Tennis Scores in Toronto

Upcoming matches in the draw

Ostapenko
More Stats
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Townsend

Click for FULL STATS