Grigor Dimitrov and Alexei Popyrin will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the National Bank Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:00 pm on COURT ROGERS. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Grigor Dimitrov who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Grigor Dimitrov is the pick to win this match.
Grigor Dimitrov -> 1.41
Alexei Popyrin -> 2.92
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Prediction and head to head Grigor Dimitrov vs. Alexei Popyrin
This will be the 3rd time that Grigor Dimitrov and Alexei Popyrin clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Dimitrov and Popyrin (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Popyrin won 7-6(4) 7-6(4) 4-0 ret. in the 2nd round in at the U.S. Open back in 2021.
Highlights Alexei Popyrin vs Grigor Dimitrov – U.S. Open 01-September-2021
Grigor Dimitrov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-9 | 9-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-18 | 21-7 | 8-4 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 16-10 | 10-5 | 10-4 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-22 | 10-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, Dimitrov reached the 3rd round after beating Unknown Player bye and Rinky Hijikata 6-1 6-0.
In the 2nd round, Dimitrov had a good straight sets win against Hijikata (6-1 6-0). During the match, Dimitrov scored 59 points vs Hijikata’s 27. Dimitrov was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Regarding the service games, Dimitrov recorded 6 aces and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults. Grigor Dimitrov was extremely efficient on serve to win 86% (24/28) of his 1st serve and 63% (5/8) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Dimitrov broke Hijikata 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Dimitrov has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (314-190). 15-3 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Dimitrov has an aggregate 157-91 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Brisbane where he defeated Holger Rune in the final 7-6(5) 6-4.
Grigor has a compiled 33-11 win-loss record in 2024, 15-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Toronto
Alexei Popyrin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8-11 | 2-6 | 6-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-22 | 17-8 | 4-8 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-29 | 18-14 | 15-6 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-31 | 7-16 | 7-4 | 3-5 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-26 | 13-11 | 8-6 | 10-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 62, Popyrin got to the 3rd round after defeating Tomas Machac 6-3 6-4 and Ben Shelton 6-4 7-6(4).
In the 2nd round, Popyrin had a good straight sets win against Shelton (6-4 7-64). During the match Popyrin scored 80 points vs Shelton’s 69. The Australian was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about serving, Popyrin managed to score 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alexei Popyrin was exceptionally effective on serve to win 85% (33/39) of his 1st serve and 63% (19/30) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Popyrin broke Shelton once after converting 17% of his break points (1/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alexei hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
The Australian’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Doha.
The Australian has an overall 18-15 win-loss record in 2024, 9-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Dimitrov | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 13 | 42 |
| Pts | 59-27 | 145-115 |
| Total Points | 86 | 260 |
| Winners | 24 | 56 |
| %Winners | 41% | 39% |
Dimitrov played 1 match while Popyrin competed in 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Dimitrov has played 2 set(s) less than Popyrin (2 vs 4). Therefore, Dimitrov played 29 games less than Popyrin. Dimitrov scored 24 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Alexei bagged 56 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Dimitrov | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 6 |
| 1st in | 28/36 | 63/117 |
| %1st in | 78% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 24/28 | 56/63 |
| %1st pts | 86% | 89% |
| 2nd pts | 5/8 | 33/54 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 61% |
Dimitrov recorded 6 aces . Popyrin bagged 12 aces (6 per match). Dimitrov won 86% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Popyrin won 89% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Dimitrov | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 4 |
| Converted | 5/10 | 4/11 |
| % Converted | 50% | 36% |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 |
| Saved | 0 | 1 |
| % Saved | 0% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Grigor broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. Dimitrov was rock solid on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 0 break points. Alexei broke his opponents 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Dimitrov | |||
| R2 Hijikata |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 13 | |
| pts | 59-27 | 59-27 | |
| Total points | 86 | 86 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 28/36 | 28/36 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 78% | |
| 1st pts | 24/28 | 24/28 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Popyrin | ||||
| R1 Machac |
R2 Shelton |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 23 | 42 | |
| pts | 65-46 | 80-69 | 145-115 | |
| Total points | 111 | 149 | 260 | |
| Winners | 23 | 33 | 56 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 41% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 24/48 | 39/69 | 63/117 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 57% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 23/24 | 33/39 | 56/63 | |
| % 1st pts | 96% | 85% | 89% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/24 | 19/30 | 33/54 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 63% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 1/6 | 4/11 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 17% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWWLW
WWLWLLLWWW Tennis Scores in Montreal
- Hugo Nys/Jan ZielinskiNys/Jan Zielinski – Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden (4-6 6-3 10-7) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Ugo HumbertHumbert (3-6 7-62 7-64) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic – Neal Skupski/Michael VenusSkupski/Michael Venus (7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – James DuckworthDuckworth (6-2 6-75 6-3) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Ben SheltonShelton (6-4 7-64) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Tommy PaulPaul (6-2 6-75 6-1) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-4 1-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Borna CoricCoric (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-63 6-2) – See score progression
- Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury – Lloyd Glasspool/Nikola MekticGlasspool/Nikola Mektic (6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Borna CoricCoric (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Ben SheltonShelton (6-4 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – James DuckworthDuckworth (6-2 6-7(5) 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Kei NishikoriNishikori (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Andrey RublevRublev (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Alexander ZverevZverev (1-1) – H2H and prediction
