Andrey Rublev and Brandon Nakashima will square off in the 3^rd round of the National Bank Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 5:00 pm on COURT ROGERS. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.444
Brandon Nakashima -> 2.78

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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Brandon Nakashima

This will be the 3^rd time that Andrey Rublev and Brandon Nakashima clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Nakashima won 6-4 7-6(6) in the 2^nd round in Barcelona back in April 2024.

Highlights Brandon Nakashima vs Andrey Rublev – Barcelona 16-April-2024

Andrey Rublev

Ranked no. 8, Rublev reached the 3^rd round after defeating Tomas Martin Etcheverry 7-6(3) 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Andrey had a good straight sets win against Etcheverry (7-6³ 6-2). During the match, Rublev scored 70 points vs Etcheverry’s 54. Rublev was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rublev made 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Andrey Rublev was pretty effective on serve to win 86% (25/29) of his 1st serve and 59% (16/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Andrey was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Etcheverry 3 times.

Rublev has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (419-235). 16-6 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rublev has a compiled 169-88 record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Hong Kong where he overcame Emil Ruusuvuori in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Madrid where he beat Felix Auger-Aliassime in the final 4-6 7-5 7-5.

Andrey has an aggregate 29-15 win-loss record in 2024, 16-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Toronto

Brandon Nakashima

Ranked no. 52, Nakashima reached the 3^rd round after defeating Nicolas Arseneault 6-3 6-2, Billy Harris 6-4 7-6(2), Denis Shapovalov 6-4 7-5 and Tommy Paul 6-2 6-7(5) 6-1.

In the 2^nd round, Nakashima defeated Paul (6-2 6-7⁵ 6-1). During the match Nakashima scored 105 points vs Paul’s 81. Brandon was pretty aggressive to blast 43 winners.

About the serving games, Nakashima made 9 aces and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Brandon Nakashima was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 72% (43/60) of his 1st serve and 73% (19/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Paul 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he defeated Pedro Martinez Portero in the final 6-3 6-4.

Brandon has a composed 49-22 win-loss record in 2024, 16-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Toronto

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2022 and 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rublev	Nakashima
Match played	1	4
Tot Set	2	9
Tot Games	21	90
Pts	70-54	317-253
Total Points	124	570
Winners	25	139
%Winners	36%	44%

Rublev played 1 match while Nakashima competed in 4 matches. Nakashima started his run from the qualifications while Rublev had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Brandon Nakashima lost 1 set while Andrey Rublev hasn’t lost a set so far. Rublev has played 7 set(s) less than Nakashima (2 vs 9). Therefore, Rublev played 69 games less than Nakashima. The Russian scored 25 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Nakashima blasted 139 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rublev	Nakashima
Aces	9	28
Avg per match	9	7
1st in	29/56	187/277
%1st in	52%	68%
1st pts	25/29	139/187
%1st pts	86%	74%
2nd pts	16/27	58/90
%2nd pts	59%	64%

Rublev managed to score 9 aces . Nakashima bagged 28 aces (7 per match). Rublev won 86% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Nakashima won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rublev	Nakashima
Won	3	13
Converted	3/3	13/28
% Converted	100%	46%
Conceded	1	12
Saved	0	10
% Saved	0%	83%
Times Broken	1	2

Andrey broke his opponent 3 times with a 100% conversion rate. Rublev surrendered his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Brandon broke his opponents 13 times with a 46% conversion rate. Nakashima conceded his serve twice and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.

Rublev
	R2 Etcheverry	Total
Score	7-63 6-2
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	21	21
pts	70-54	70-54
Total points	124	124
Winners	25	25
%Winners	36%	36%
SERVE
Aces	9	9
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	29/56	29/56
% 1st in	52%	52%
1st pts	25/29	25/29
% 1st pts	86%	86%
2nd pts	16/27	16/27
% 2nd pts	59%	59%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/3	3/3
Converted %	100%	100%
Conceded	1	1
Saved	0/1	0
Saved %	0%	0%
Times Broken	1	1

Nakashima
	Q1 Arseneault	Q3 Harris	R1 Shapovalov	R2 Paul	Total
Score	6-3 6-2	6-4 7-62	6-4 7-5	6-2 6-75 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	9
Tot Games	17	23	22	28	90
pts	63-39	75-64	74-69	105-81	317-253
Total points	102	139	143	186	570
Winners	28	28	40	43	139
%Winners	44%	37%	54%	41%	44%
SERVE
Aces	6	9	4	9	28
Double Faults	2	1	5	0	8
1st in	32/49	41/63	54/79	60/86	187/277
% 1st in	65%	65%	68%	70%	68%
1st pts	28/32	28/41	40/54	43/60	139/187
% 1st pts	88%	68%	74%	72%	74%
2nd pts	11/17	15/22	13/25	19/26	58/90
% 2nd pts	65%	68%	52%	73%	64%
Breaks
Won	3	3	2	5	13
Converted	3/7	3/5	2/3	5/13	13/28
Converted %	43%	60%	67%	38%	46%
Conceded	3	3	4	2	12
Saved	3/3	1/3	4/4	2/2	10
Saved %	100%	33%	100%	100%	333%
Times Broken	0	2	0	0	2

Tennis Scores in Montreal

• Casper RuudRuud – James DuckworthDuckworth (6-2 6-7⁵ 6-3) – See score progression
• Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Ben SheltonShelton (6-4 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Tommy PaulPaul (6-2 6-7⁵ 6-1) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-4 1-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Borna CoricCoric (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-6³ 6-2) – See score progression
• Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury – Lloyd Glasspool/Nikola MekticGlasspool/Nikola Mektic (6-3 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Hugo Nys/Jan ZielinskiNys/Jan Zielinski – Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden (4-6 6-3 10-7) – See score progression
• Holger RuneRune – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Ugo HumbertHumbert (3-6 7-6² 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
• Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic – Neal Skupski/Michael VenusSkupski/Michael Venus (7-6⁴ 6-3) – See score progression
• Kei NishikoriNishikori – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Borna CoricCoric (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Ben SheltonShelton (6-4 7-6(4)) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – James DuckworthDuckworth (6-2 6-7(5) 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Kei NishikoriNishikori (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Andrey RublevRublev (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Alexander ZverevZverev (1-1) – H2H and prediction