Holger Rune and Pablo Carreno-Busta will fight against each other in the 2^nd round of the National Bank Open for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 4:00 pm on COURT 5. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.24
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 4.1

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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta

This will be the 4^th time that Holger Rune and Pablo Carreno-Busta clash against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Carreno-Busta (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Carreno-Busta won 6-0 6-3 in the 2^nd round in Montreal back in 2022.

Holger Rune

Ranked no. 17, the Dane got to the 2^nd round after defeating Roberto Bautista Agut 6-2 3-6 6-2.

In the 1^st round, The Dane defeated Bautista-Agut (6-2 3-6 6-2). During the match, Rune scored 91 points vs Bautista-Agut’s 83. Rune was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rune blasted 8 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Overall, Holger Rune was exceptionally effective on serve to win 74% (31/42) of his 1st serve and 55% (23/42) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Dane broke Bautista-Agut 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Rune has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 66% of his matches (234-121). 11-5 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Rune has an overall41-35 match record in the last 7 years on hard.

The Dane’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Brisbane.

Rune has a composed 28-15 win-loss record in 2024, 11-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Toronto

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Ranked no. 799, Pablo got to the 2^nd round after defeating Fabian Marozsan 6-7(8) 7-6(6) 6-3.

In the 1^st round against Marozsan, Carreno-Busta recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7⁸ 7-6⁶ 6-3). During the match Carreno-Busta scored 123 points vs Marozsan’s 122. Carreno-Busta was exceptionally aggressive to blast 44 winners.

About the serving games, Carreno-Busta blasted 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Pablo Carreno-Busta lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Carreno-Busta put 63% of his first serves in, winning 64% (44/69) of the points behind his 1st serve and 51% (21/41) on the 2nd serve. Pablo broke Marozsan 6 times after converting 43% of his break points (6/14).

Pablo has a composed 2-4 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Toronto

Previously, he won this tournament once in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rune	Carreno-Busta
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	25	35
Pts	91-83	123-122
Total Points	174	245
Winners	31	44
%Winners	34%	36%

Both Rune and Carreno-Busta played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Holger Rune dropped 1 set, while Pablo Carreno-Busta lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Rune and Carreno-Busta have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Rune played 10 games less than Carreno-Busta. Rune scored 31 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Pablo blasted 44 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rune	Carreno-Busta
Aces	8	4
Avg per match	8	4
1st in	42/84	69/110
%1st in	50%	63%
1st pts	31/42	44/69
%1st pts	74%	64%
2nd pts	23/42	21/41
%2nd pts	55%	51%

Rune struck 8 aces . Carreno-Busta fired 4 aces . Rune won 74% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Carreno-Busta won 64% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rune	Carreno-Busta
Won	4	6
Converted	4/8	6/14
% Converted	50%	43%
Conceded	4	7
Saved	3	3
% Saved	75%	43%
Times Broken	1	4

The Dane broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Holger conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Carreno-Busta broke his opponent 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. Carreno-Busta conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded.

Rune
	R1 Bautista-Agut	Total
Score	6-2 3-6 6-2
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	25	25
pts	91-83	91-83
Total points	174	174
Winners	31	31
%Winners	34%	34%
SERVE
Aces	8	8
Double Faults	7	7
1st in	42/84	42/84
% 1st in	50%	50%
1st pts	31/42	31/42
% 1st pts	74%	74%
2nd pts	23/42	23/42
% 2nd pts	55%	55%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/8	4/8
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	4	4
Saved	3/4	3
Saved %	75%	75%
Times Broken	1	1

Carreno-Busta
	R1 Marozsan	Total
Score	6-78 7-66 6-3
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	35	35
pts	123-122	123-122
Total points	245	245
Winners	44	44
%Winners	36%	36%
SERVE
Aces	4	4
Double Faults	4	4
1st in	69/110	69/110
% 1st in	63%	63%
1st pts	44/69	44/69
% 1st pts	64%	64%
2nd pts	21/41	21/41
% 2nd pts	51%	51%
Breaks
Won	6	6
Converted	6/14	6/14
Converted %	43%	43%
Conceded	7	7
Saved	3/7	3
Saved %	43%	43%
Times Broken	4	4

Tennis Scores in Montreal

• Tommy PaulPaul – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-4 7-6²) – See score progression
• Borna CoricCoric – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz – Liam Draxl/Benjamin SigouinDraxl/Benjamin Sigouin (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (4-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Rinky HijikataHijikata – Taro DanielDaniel (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Arthur FilsFils (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Vasek PospisilPospisil (2-1 ret.) – See score progression
• James DuckworthDuckworth – Marcos GironGiron (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Mariano NavoneNavone (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Jack DraperDraper (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (6-4 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Ben SheltonShelton – Alexander BublikBublik (7-6⁴ 6-2) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Tomas MachacMachac (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Holger RuneRune – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-2 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Max Purcell/Jordan ThompsonPurcell/Jordan Thompson – Felix Auger Aliassime/Alexis GalarneauAuger Aliassime/Alexis Galarneau (6-0 6-1) – See score progression
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Kei NishikoriNishikori – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (3-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Simone Bolelli/Andrea VavassoriBolelli/Andrea Vavassori – Vasek Pospisil/Denis ShapovalovPospisil/Denis Shapovalov (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Jack Draper/Jannik SinnerDraper/Jannik Sinner – Sander Gille/Joran VliegenGille/Joran Vliegen (6-0 6-7³ 10-8) – See score progression
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-7⁸ 7-6⁶ 6-3) – See score progression
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Nicolas JarryJarry (7-6⁵ 6-7⁵ 6-2) – See score progression
• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (7-6⁷ 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
• Santiago Gonzalez/Edouard Roger-VasselinGonzalez/Edouard Roger-Vasselin – Tallon Griekspoor/Sebastian KordaGriekspoor/Sebastian Korda (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Gabriel DialloDiallo (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Vasek PospisilPospisil (2-1 ret.) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Kei NishikoriNishikori – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Rinky HijikataHijikata (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Alexander ZverevZverev (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (4-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tommy PaulPaul – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Casper RuudRuud – James DuckworthDuckworth (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Andrey RublevRublev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Nuno BorgesBorges (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Borna CoricCoric (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (0-3) – H2H and prediction