Marta Kostyuk and Elina Svitolina will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the National Bank Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:00 am on Cashmere Grandstand. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elina Svitolina who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elina Svitolina is the pick to win this match.
Elina Svitolina -> 1.53
Marta Kostyuk -> 2.51
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Prediction and head to head Marta Kostyuk vs. Elina Svitolina
This will be the 2nd time that Marta Kostyuk and Elina Svitolina clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Svitolina (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Svitolina won 6-2 6-2 in the 3rd round in Melbourne back in 2018.
Marta Kostyuk
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-10 | 10-8 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 34-22 | 24-14 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-22 | 22-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-20 | 18-11 | 3-4 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-17 | 8-9 | 10-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 20, Kostyuk got to the 2nd round after defeating Tatjana Maria 6-0 6-2.
In the 1st round, Kostyuk had a good straight sets win against Maria (6-0 6-2). During the match, Kostyuk scored 52 points vs Maria’s 24. Marta was quite aggressive to blast 14 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kostyuk managed to score 4 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Marta Kostyuk was pretty effective on serve to win 82% (14/17) of her 1st serve and 75% (15/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Kostyuk broke Maria 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Kostyuk has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 63% of her matches (210-122). 16-6 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Kostyuk has a composed107-60 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
The Ukrainian’s best result of the season was getting to the final in San Diego and Stuttgart.
Marta has a composed 26-14 win-loss record in 2024, 16-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montreal
Elina Svitolina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22-7 | 11-5 | 11-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-18 | 16-9 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-12 | 4-3 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-20 | 31-13 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 34, Svitolina reached the 2nd round after defeating Shelby Rogers 6-0 6-2.
In the 1st round, Elina had a good straight sets win against Rogers (6-0 6-2). During the match Svitolina scored 63 points vs Rogers’s 41. Svitolina was pretty aggressive to blast 19 winners.
About the serving games, Svitolina blasted 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Elina Svitolina lost the serve once and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Svitolina put 51% of her first serves in, winning 70% (19/27) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (13/26) on the 2nd serve. The Ukrainian broke Rogers 6 times after converting 55% of her break points (6/11).
The Ukrainian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Auckland.
Elina has an overall 25-14 win-loss record in 2024, 11-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montreal
Previously, she won this tournament once in 2017. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kostyuk | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 |
| Pts | 52-24 | 63-41 |
| Total Points | 76 | 104 |
| Winners | 14 | 19 |
| %Winners | 27% | 30% |
Both Kostyuk and Svitolina played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Kostyuk and Svitolina have played the same amount of sets 2. They also played the same amount of games (14). The Ukrainian scored 14 winners (27% of the total points). On the other side, Elina struck 19 winners (30%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kostyuk | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 3 |
| 1st in | 17/37 | 27/53 |
| %1st in | 46% | 51% |
| 1st pts | 14/17 | 19/27 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 15/20 | 13/26 |
| %2nd pts | 75% | 50% |
Kostyuk recorded 4 aces . Svitolina recorded 3 aces . Kostyuk won 82% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 75% of the points. On the other side, Svitolina won 70% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kostyuk | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 6 |
| Converted | 5/8 | 6/11 |
| % Converted | 63% | 55% |
| Conceded | 0 | 7 |
| Saved | 0 | 6 |
| % Saved | 0% | 86% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Marta broke her opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. The Ukrainian had a solid display on her serve as she has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. Svitolina broke her opponent 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. Svitolina conceded her serve once and she saved 86% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kostyuk | |||
| R1 Maria |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | |
| pts | 52-24 | 52-24 | |
| Total points | 76 | 76 | |
| Winners | 14 | 14 | |
| %Winners | 27% | 27% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 17/37 | 17/37 | |
| % 1st in | 46% | 46% | |
| 1st pts | 14/17 | 14/17 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/20 | 15/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 75% | 75% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Svitolina | |||
| R1 Rogers |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | |
| pts | 63-41 | 63-41 | |
| Total points | 104 | 104 | |
| Winners | 19 | 19 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 30% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 27/53 | 27/53 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 19/27 | 19/27 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/26 | 13/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 6/11 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWLWWL
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Shuai ZhangZhang – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Yafan WangWang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Magdalena FrechFrech – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Elise MertensMertens (4-2) – H2H and prediction
- Moyuka UchijimaUchijima – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Greetje MinnenMinnen (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Peyton StearnsStearns – Madison KeysKeys (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Magda LinetteLinette (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Marta KostyukKostyuk (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor TownsendTownsend – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Katie BoulterBoulter (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Yue YuanYuan – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
