Tommy Paul and Brandon Nakashima will play each other in the 2nd round of the National Bank Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:00 am on COURT 5. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.4
Brandon Nakashima -> 2.96

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Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Brandon Nakashima

This will be the 4th time that Tommy Paul and Brandon Nakashima face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Nakashima (see full H2H stats), but Paul has a winning record of 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Nakashima won 6-3 7-6(4) in the quarter in Lyon back in 2023.

Highlights Brandon Nakashima vs Tommy Paul – Lyon 25-May-2023

Tommy Paul

Tommy Paul

35 - 12win/loss

Hard
11-6
I Hard
4-0
Clay
10-4
Grass
10-2
Rank
12
High
12
WLWWWLWWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 35-12 11-6 10-4 4-0 10-2 0-0
2023 46-29 29-13 5-6 3-5 9-5 0-0
2022 39-27 21-12 2-6 9-5 7-4 0-0
2021 33-23 12-12 9-7 12-4 0-0 0-0
2020 21-14 12-6 5-4 4-4 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 12 (career-high), Tommy got to the 2nd round after defeating Luciano Darderi 6-4 7-6(2).

In the 1st round, Paul had a good straight sets win against Darderi (6-4 7-62). During the match, Paul scored 83 points vs Darderi’s 71. Paul was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Regarding the service games, Paul bagged 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Tommy Paul was exceptionally effective on serve to win 79% (31/39) of his 1st serve and 65% (22/34) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Paul broke Darderi once after converting 33% of his break points (1/3).

Paul has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (385-217). 11-6 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Paul has a compiled 186-107 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Dallas where he beat Marcos Giron in the final 7-6(3) 5-7 6-3 and in London where he overcame Lorenzo Musetti in the final 6-1 7-6(8).

Paul has a composed 35-12 win-loss record in 2024, 11-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Toronto

Montreal
Paul's Record

Brandon Nakashima

Brandon Nakashima

48 - 22win/loss

Hard
15-6
I Hard
11-4
Clay
13-7
Grass
9-5
Rank
52
High
43
WWWLWLLWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 48-22 15-6 13-7 11-4 9-5 0-0
2023 21-26 9-15 3-4 8-3 1-4 0-0
2022 41-26 17-13 5-5 9-4 10-4 0-0
2021 45-25 17-10 4-7 20-5 4-3 0-0
2020 28-14 19-6 4-4 5-3 0-0 0-1
See all years

Ranked no. 52, Nakashima got to the 2nd round after defeating Nicolas Arseneault 6-3 6-2, Billy Harris 6-4 7-6(2) and Denis Shapovalov 6-4 7-5.

In the 1st round, Nakashima had a good straight sets win against Shapovalov (6-4 7-5). During the match Nakashima scored 74 points vs Shapovalov’s 69. Brandon was exceptionally aggressive to blast 40 winners.

About the serving games, Nakashima fired 4 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Brandon Nakashima was pretty effective on serve to win 74% (40/54) of his 1st serve and 52% (13/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Brandon broke Shapovalov twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).

His best result of the season was winning the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he beat Pedro Martinez Portero in the final 6-3 6-4.

Nakashima has an overall 48-22 win-loss record in 2024, 15-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Toronto

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022 and 2023. See his history.

Montreal
Nakashima's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

T.Paul
B.Nakashima
1h:45
1h:45
Time on court​
!
4h:42
4h:42
1h:45
1h:45
Last match​
1h:37
1h:37
1
1
Match played
!
3
3
23
23
Games Played​
62
62
2
2
Set played​​
6
6
83
83
Total points​
212
212
83
83
Avg point​
70.7
70.7
31
31
Winners
96
96
31
31
Avg Winners​
32
32
37%
37%
Ratio winners
45%
45%
-- Serve --
9
9
Aces
19
19
9
9
Avg Aces
6.3
6.3
3
3
Double Faults
8
8
3
3
Avg Double Faults
2.7
2.7
31/39
31/39
1st won total​
96/127
96/127
!
79%
79%
1st won %
!
76%
76%
22/34
22/34
2nd won total​
39/64
39/64
!
65%
65%
2nd won %
!
61%
61%
-- Break Points --
1/3
1/3
BP won
8/15
8/15
1/3
1/3
Avg BP won
2.7/5
2.7/5
33%
33%
Won
!
53%
53%
3
3
Conceded
10
10
3
3
Avg Conceded
3.3
3.3
0
0
Broken
2
2
!
0
0
Avg Broken
!
0.7
0.7
3
3
Saved
8
8
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Paul Nakashima
Match played 1 3
Tot Set 2 6
Tot Games 23 62
Pts 83-71 212-172
Total Points 154 384
Winners 31 96
%Winners 37% 45%

Paul played 1 match while Nakashima competed in 3 matches. Nakashima started his run from the qualifications while Paul had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Paul has played 4 set(s) less than Nakashima (2 vs 6). Therefore, Paul played 39 games less than Nakashima. Tommy scored 31 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Nakashima fired 96 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve Paul Nakashima
Aces 9 19
Avg per match 9 6.3
1st in 39/73 127/191
%1st in 53% 66%
1st pts 31/39 96/127
%1st pts 79% 76%
2nd pts 22/34 39/64
%2nd pts 65% 61%

Paul scored 9 aces . Nakashima recorded 19 aces (6.3 per match). Paul won 79% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Nakashima won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Paul Nakashima
Won 1 8
Converted 1/3 8/15
% Converted 33% 53%
Conceded 3 10
Saved 3 8
% Saved 100% 80%
Times Broken 0 2

Tommy broke his opponent once with a 33% conversion rate. Paul pretty solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points. Nakashima broke his opponents 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. Brandon conceded his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.

Paul
R1
Darderi		 Total
Score 6-4 7-62
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 23 23
pts 83-71 83-71
Total points 154 154
Winners 31 31
%Winners 37% 37%
SERVE
Aces 9 9
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 39/73 39/73
% 1st in 53% 53%
1st pts 31/39 31/39
% 1st pts 79% 79%
2nd pts 22/34 22/34
% 2nd pts 65% 65%
Breaks
Won 1 1
Converted 1/3 1/3
Converted % 33% 33%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 3/3 3
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Nakashima
Q1
Arseneault		 Q3
Harris		 R1
Shapovalov		 Total
Score 6-3 6-2 6-4 7-62 6-4 7-5
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 17 23 22 62
pts 63-39 75-64 74-69 212-172
Total points 102 139 143 384
Winners 28 28 40 96
%Winners 44% 37% 54% 45%
SERVE
Aces 6 9 4 19
Double Faults 2 1 5 8
1st in 32/49 41/63 54/79 127/191
% 1st in 65% 65% 68% 66%
1st pts 28/32 28/41 40/54 96/127
% 1st pts 88% 68% 74% 76%
2nd pts 11/17 15/22 13/25 39/64
% 2nd pts 65% 68% 52% 61%
Breaks
Won 3 3 2 8
Converted 3/7 3/5 2/3 8/15
Converted % 43% 60% 67% 53%
Conceded 3 3 4 10
Saved 3/3 1/3 4/4 8
Saved % 100% 33% 100% 233%
Times Broken 0 2 0 2

Tennis Scores in Montreal

Upcoming matches in the draw

Paul
More Stats
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Nakashima

Click for FULL STATS