Tommy Paul and Brandon Nakashima will play each other in the 2nd round of the National Bank Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:00 am on COURT 5. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.4
Brandon Nakashima -> 2.96
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Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Brandon Nakashima
This will be the 4th time that Tommy Paul and Brandon Nakashima face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Nakashima (see full H2H stats), but Paul has a winning record of 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Nakashima won 6-3 7-6(4) in the quarter in Lyon back in 2023.
Highlights Brandon Nakashima vs Tommy Paul – Lyon 25-May-2023
Tommy Paul
35 - 13win/loss
12
12
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 45-19 | 17-11 | 10-4 | 8-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2020 | 21-14 | 12-6 | 5-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12 (career-high), Tommy got to the 2nd round after defeating Luciano Darderi 6-4 7-6(2).
In the 1st round, Paul had a good straight sets win against Darderi (6-4 7-62). During the match, Paul scored 83 points vs Darderi’s 71. Paul was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Paul bagged 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Tommy Paul was exceptionally effective on serve to win 79% (31/39) of his 1st serve and 65% (22/34) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Paul broke Darderi once after converting 33% of his break points (1/3).
Paul has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (385-217). 11-6 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Paul has a compiled 186-107 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Dallas where he beat Marcos Giron in the final 7-6(3) 5-7 6-3 and in London where he overcame Lorenzo Musetti in the final 6-1 7-6(8).
Paul has a composed 35-12 win-loss record in 2024, 11-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Toronto
Brandon Nakashima
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 61-32 | 24-12 | 13-7 | 15-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
2023 | 21-26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 8-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
2022 | 41-26 | 17-13 | 5-5 | 9-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
2021 | 45-25 | 17-10 | 4-7 | 20-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 52, Nakashima got to the 2nd round after defeating Nicolas Arseneault 6-3 6-2, Billy Harris 6-4 7-6(2) and Denis Shapovalov 6-4 7-5.
In the 1st round, Nakashima had a good straight sets win against Shapovalov (6-4 7-5). During the match Nakashima scored 74 points vs Shapovalov’s 69. Brandon was exceptionally aggressive to blast 40 winners.
About the serving games, Nakashima fired 4 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Brandon Nakashima was pretty effective on serve to win 74% (40/54) of his 1st serve and 52% (13/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Brandon broke Shapovalov twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
His best result of the season was winning the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he beat Pedro Martinez Portero in the final 6-3 6-4.
Nakashima has an overall 48-22 win-loss record in 2024, 15-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Toronto
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022 and 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Paul | Nakashima |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 3 |
Tot Set | 2 | 6 |
Tot Games | 23 | 62 |
Pts | 83-71 | 212-172 |
Total Points | 154 | 384 |
Winners | 31 | 96 |
%Winners | 37% | 45% |
Paul played 1 match while Nakashima competed in 3 matches. Nakashima started his run from the qualifications while Paul had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Paul has played 4 set(s) less than Nakashima (2 vs 6). Therefore, Paul played 39 games less than Nakashima. Tommy scored 31 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Nakashima fired 96 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Paul | Nakashima |
---|---|---|
Aces | 9 | 19 |
Avg per match | 9 | 6.3 |
1st in | 39/73 | 127/191 |
%1st in | 53% | 66% |
1st pts | 31/39 | 96/127 |
%1st pts | 79% | 76% |
2nd pts | 22/34 | 39/64 |
%2nd pts | 65% | 61% |
Paul scored 9 aces . Nakashima recorded 19 aces (6.3 per match). Paul won 79% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Nakashima won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Paul | Nakashima |
---|---|---|
Won | 1 | 8 |
Converted | 1/3 | 8/15 |
% Converted | 33% | 53% |
Conceded | 3 | 10 |
Saved | 3 | 8 |
% Saved | 100% | 80% |
Times Broken | 0 | 2 |
Tommy broke his opponent once with a 33% conversion rate. Paul pretty solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points. Nakashima broke his opponents 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. Brandon conceded his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
Paul | |||
R1 Darderi |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-4 7-62 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
pts | 83-71 | 83-71 | |
Total points | 154 | 154 | |
Winners | 31 | 31 | |
%Winners | 37% | 37% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 9 | 9 | |
Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
1st in | 39/73 | 39/73 | |
% 1st in | 53% | 53% | |
1st pts | 31/39 | 31/39 | |
% 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
2nd pts | 22/34 | 22/34 | |
% 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 1 | 1 | |
Converted | 1/3 | 1/3 | |
Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Nakashima | |||||
Q1 Arseneault |
Q3 Harris |
R1 Shapovalov |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 7-62 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
Tot Games | 17 | 23 | 22 | 62 | |
pts | 63-39 | 75-64 | 74-69 | 212-172 | |
Total points | 102 | 139 | 143 | 384 | |
Winners | 28 | 28 | 40 | 96 | |
%Winners | 44% | 37% | 54% | 45% | |
SERVE | |||||
Aces | 6 | 9 | 4 | 19 | |
Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | |
1st in | 32/49 | 41/63 | 54/79 | 127/191 | |
% 1st in | 65% | 65% | 68% | 66% | |
1st pts | 28/32 | 28/41 | 40/54 | 96/127 | |
% 1st pts | 88% | 68% | 74% | 76% | |
2nd pts | 11/17 | 15/22 | 13/25 | 39/64 | |
% 2nd pts | 65% | 68% | 52% | 61% | |
Breaks | |||||
Won | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
Converted | 3/7 | 3/5 | 2/3 | 8/15 | |
Converted % | 43% | 60% | 67% | 53% | |
Conceded | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | |
Saved | 3/3 | 1/3 | 4/4 | 8 | |
Saved % | 100% | 33% | 100% | 233% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Head 2 Head
Tennis Scores in Montreal
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (4-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Borna CoricCoric – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-4 7-62) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Alexander BublikBublik (7-64 6-2) – See score progression
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Marcos GironGiron (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (6-4 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Vasek PospisilPospisil (2-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Mariano NavoneNavone (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz – Liam Draxl/Benjamin SigouinDraxl/Benjamin Sigouin (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Tomas MachacMachac (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Arthur FilsFils (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Jack DraperDraper (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Taro DanielDaniel (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Nicolas JarryJarry (7-65 6-75 6-2) – See score progression
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (7-67 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Simone Bolelli/Andrea VavassoriBolelli/Andrea Vavassori – Vasek Pospisil/Denis ShapovalovPospisil/Denis Shapovalov (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Jack Draper/Jannik SinnerDraper/Jannik Sinner – Sander Gille/Joran VliegenGille/Joran Vliegen (6-0 6-73 10-8) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-78 7-66 6-3) – See score progression
- Santiago Gonzalez/Edouard Roger-VasselinGonzalez/Edouard Roger-Vasselin – Tallon Griekspoor/Sebastian KordaGriekspoor/Sebastian Korda (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (3-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-2 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Max Purcell/Jordan ThompsonPurcell/Jordan Thompson – Felix Auger Aliassime/Alexis GalarneauAuger Aliassime/Alexis Galarneau (6-0 6-1) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Gabriel DialloDiallo (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Borna CoricCoric – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Tomas MachacMachac (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (6-4 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Marcos GironGiron (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Vasek PospisilPospisil (2-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Mariano NavoneNavone (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Rinky HijikataHijikata (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Alexander ZverevZverev (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (4-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – James DuckworthDuckworth (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Andrey RublevRublev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Nuno BorgesBorges (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Borna CoricCoric (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (0-3) – H2H and prediction