Aidan Mayo and Colton Smith will fight against each other in the 2^nd round of the Lincoln Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 4:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aidan Mayo who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aidan Mayo is the pick to win this match.
Aidan Mayo -> 1.75
Colton Smith -> 2

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Prediction and head to head Aidan Mayo vs. Colton Smith

There is no head to head record between Aidan Mayo and Colton Smith since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Aidan Mayo

Ranked no. 296, Aidan reached the 2^nd round after beating Borna Gojo 7-6(5) 6-1.

In the 1^st round, Aidan had a good straight sets win against Gojo (7-6⁵ 6-1). During the match, Mayo scored 83 points vs Gojo’s 66. Aidan was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Regarding the service games, Mayo blasted 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Aidan Mayo was very effective on serve to win 73% (24/33) of his 1st serve and 69% (22/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Mayo broke Gojo 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).

Mayo has a winning match record in the last 6 years having won 56% of his matches (108-85). 10-11 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mayo has an aggregate71-52 record in the last 6 years on hard.

The American has an aggregate 15-20 win-loss record in 2024, 10-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lincoln Challenger

Aidan has never competed in this tournament before.

Colton Smith

Ranked no. 631 (career-high), Colton reached the 2^nd round after defeating Quinn Vandecasteele 6-4 4-6 6-3, Shintaro Mochizuki 7-5 6-0 and Joshua Lapadat 6-0 6-0.

In the 1^st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Lapadat (6-0 6-0). During the match Smith scored 52 points vs Lapadat’s 20. Colton was very aggressive to blast 18 winners.

About the serving games, Smith scored 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Colton Smith was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 86% (18/21) of his 1st serve and 67% (6/9) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Smith broke Lapadat 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).

Smith’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M15 Los Angeles,M25 Dallas and M25 Champaign.

Smith has an aggregate 25-4 win-loss record in 2024, 19-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Mayo	Smith
Match played	1	3
Tot Set	2	7
Tot Games	20	59
Pts	83-66	226-168
Total Points	149	394
Winners	24	83
%Winners	29%	37%

Mayo played 1 match while Smith competed in 3 matches. Smith started his run from the qualifications while Mayo had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Colton Smith dropped 1 set while Aidan Mayo hasn’t dropped a set so far. Mayo has played 5 set(s) less than Smith (2 vs 7). Therefore, Mayo played 39 games less than Smith. Aidan scored 24 winners (29% of the total points). On the other side, Colton fired 83 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Mayo	Smith
Aces	5	10
Avg per match	5	3.3
1st in	33/65	114/181
%1st in	51%	63%
1st pts	24/33	83/114
%1st pts	73%	73%
2nd pts	22/32	34/67
%2nd pts	69%	51%

Mayo made 5 aces . Smith blasted 10 aces (3.3 per match). Mayo won 73% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Smith won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Mayo	Smith
Won	3	17
Converted	3/10	17/32
% Converted	30%	53%
Conceded	2	13
Saved	1	8
% Saved	50%	62%
Times Broken	1	5

Aidan broke his opponent 3 times with a 30% conversion rate. Aidan surrendered his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Colton broke his opponents 17 times with a 53% conversion rate. Colton conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.

Mayo
	R1 Gojo	Total
Score	7-65 6-1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	20	20
pts	83-66	83-66
Total points	149	149
Winners	24	24
%Winners	29%	29%
SERVE
Aces	5	5
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	33/65	33/65
% 1st in	51%	51%
1st pts	24/33	24/33
% 1st pts	73%	73%
2nd pts	22/32	22/32
% 2nd pts	69%	69%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/10	3/10
Converted %	30%	30%
Conceded	2	2
Saved	1/2	1
Saved %	50%	50%
Times Broken	1	1

Smith
	Q1 Vandecasteele	Q3 Mochizuki	R1 Lapadat	Total
Score	6-4 4-6 6-3	7-5 6-0	6-0 6-0
Tot Set	3	2	2	7
Tot Games	29	18	12	59
pts	105-98	69-50	52-20	226-168
Total points	203	119	72	394
Winners	36	29	18	83
%Winners	34%	42%	35%	37%
SERVE
Aces	2	4	4	10
Double Faults	6	1	2	9
1st in	53/93	40/58	21/30	114/181
% 1st in	57%	69%	70%	63%
1st pts	36/53	29/40	18/21	83/114
% 1st pts	68%	73%	86%	73%
2nd pts	16/40	12/18	6/9	34/67
% 2nd pts	40%	67%	67%	51%
Breaks
Won	7	4	6	17
Converted	7/16	4/7	6/9	17/32
Converted %	44%	57%	67%	53%
Conceded	11	2	0	13
Saved	6/11	2/2	0/0	8
Saved %	55%	100%	–	155%
Times Broken	5	0	0	5

Tennis Scores in Lincoln Challenger

• Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – Harold MayotMayot (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Paul JubbJubb – Luca Van AsscheVan Assche (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Nishesh BasavareddyBasavareddy – Cooper WilliamsWilliams (6-3 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Li TuTu – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Christopher EubanksEubanks – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (0-0) – H2H and prediction