Ryan Nijboer and Luca Castagnola will play each other in the qualifications of the Cordenons Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:30 pm on SERENA MANIVA CENTER. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ryan Nijboer who should win in 3 sets.
Ryan Nijboer -> 1.533
Luca Castagnola -> 2.39
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Prediction and head to head Ryan Nijboer vs. Luca Castagnola
There is no head to head record between Ryan Nijboer and Luca Castagnola since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Ryan Nijboer
31 - 23win/loss
389
371
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49-36 | 8-3 | 41-30 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-32 | 12-9 | 41-21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-23 | 1-6 | 22-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-28 | 9-13 | 18-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-17 | 13-7 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-2 |
Ranked no. 386 (career-high), the Dutch reached the qualifications after beating Lorenzo Berto 7-6(9) 3-6 6-1.
In the qualifications, Nijboer defeated Berto (7-69 3-6 6-1). During the match, Nijboer scored 106 points vs Berto’s 90. Nijboer was very aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about the service games, Nijboer struck 5 aces and he was not very solid on his 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Ryan Nijboer lost the serve 5 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Nijboer put 63% of his first serves in, winning 67% (43/64) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (17/38) on the 2nd serve. Ryan broke Berto 6 times after converting 86% of his break points (6/7).
Nijboer has a winning win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 57% of his matches (229-175). 22-17 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Nijboer has an overall132-98 match record in the last 8 years on clay.
The Dutch’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M15 Manacor and Laukariz.
Ryan has a compiled 30-23 win-loss record in 2024, 22-17 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cordenons Challenger
Nijboer has never competed in this tournament before.
Luca Castagnola
20 - 20win/loss
712
625
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-30 | 14-11 | 10-17 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-31 | 10-6 | 31-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-31 | 5-3 | 44-27 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-20 | 14-9 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 6-4 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 662, Castagnola reached the qualifications after beating Gabriele Piraino 2-6 6-2 7-6(5).
In the qualifications against Piraino, Castagnola recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-2 7-65). During the match Castagnola scored 101 points vs Piraino’s 95. Castagnola was pretty aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about serving, Castagnola couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 7 double faults. Luca Castagnola lost the serve 4 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Castagnola put 51% of his first serves in, winning 70% (40/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (24/55) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Piraino 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Luca’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in M15 Monastir and M15 Litija.
Luca has a composed 20-19 win-loss record in 2024, 7-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nijboer | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 |
| Pts | 106-90 | 101-95 |
| Total Points | 196 | 196 |
| Winners | 43 | 40 |
| %Winners | 41% | 40% |
Both Nijboer and Castagnola played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Ryan Nijboer conceded 1 set, while Luca Castagnola conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Nijboer and Castagnola have played the same amount of sets 3. They also played the same amount of games (29). Ryan scored 43 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian made 40 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nijboer | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 0 |
| 1st in | 64/102 | 57/112 |
| %1st in | 63% | 51% |
| 1st pts | 43/64 | 40/57 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 17/38 | 24/55 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 44% |
Nijboer made 5 aces . Castagnola didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Nijboer won 67% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Castagnola won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 44% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nijboer | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 4 |
| Converted | 6/7 | 4/7 |
| % Converted | 86% | 57% |
| Conceded | 8 | 12 |
| Saved | 3 | 8 |
| % Saved | 38% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 4 |
Ryan broke his opponent 6 times with a 86% conversion rate. The Dutch lost his serve 5 times and he saved 38% of the break points that he conceded. Castagnola broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Luca conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nijboer | |||
| Q1 Berto | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-69 3-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 106-90 | 106-90 | |
| Total points | 196 | 196 | |
| Winners | 43 | 43 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 11 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 64/102 | 64/102 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 43/64 | 43/64 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/38 | 17/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/7 | 6/7 | |
| Converted % | 86% | 86% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/8 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 38% | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
| Castagnola | |||
| Q1 Piraino | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-2 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 101-95 | 101-95 | |
| Total points | 196 | 196 | |
| Winners | 40 | 40 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 57/112 | 57/112 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 40/57 | 40/57 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/55 | 24/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 12 | |
| Saved | 8/12 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
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