Naoki Nakagawa and Jack Pinnington Jones will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Lincoln Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 11:00 am on COURT 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jack Pinnington Jones who should win in 2 sets.
Jack Pinnington Jones -> 1.4
Naoki Nakagawa -> 2.8
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Prediction and head to head Naoki Nakagawa vs. Jack Pinnington Jones
There is no head to head record between Naoki Nakagawa and Jack Pinnington Jones since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Naoki Nakagawa
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-15 | 12-11 | 1-1 | 11-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-23 | 42-19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-27 | 16-16 | 10-9 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-15 | 32-13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-4 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 423, Naoki got to the qualifications after defeating Niki Kaliyanda Poonacha 6-3 6-2.
In the qualifications, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Kaliyanda Poonacha (6-3 6-2). During the match, Nakagawa scored 63 points vs Kaliyanda Poonacha’s 44. Naoki was exceptionally aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Talking about the service games, Nakagawa couldn’t to score even 1 ace during the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Naoki Nakagawa conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Nakagawa put 52% of his first serves in, winning 70% (19/27) of the points behind his 1st serve and 64% (16/25) on the 2nd serve. Nakagawa broke Kaliyanda Poonacha 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Nakagawa has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (266-173). 6-6 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Nakagawa has an aggregate 166-105 match record in the last years on hard.
The Japanese’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in M25 Changwon and M15 Tokyo.
The Japanese has a compiled 9-6 win-loss record in 2024, 6-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lincoln Challenger
The Japanese has never competed in this tournament before.
Jack Pinnington Jones
14 - 5win/loss
377
377
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29-12 | 21-8 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 11-8 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 19-12 | 9-7 | 8-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-13 | 6-5 | 14-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 545, Pinnington reached the qualifications after beating Nikolay Sysoev 7-6(2) 6-2.
In the qualifications, Pinnington had a good straight sets win against Sysoev (7-62 6-2). During the match Pinnington scored 73 points vs Sysoev’s 60. The Brit was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.
About the serving games, Pinnington made 6 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Overall, Jack Pinnington Jones was extremely effective on serve to win 79% (23/29) of his 1st serve and 61% (25/41) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Brit broke Sysoev 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Pinnington’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M25 Nottingham.
Pinnington has an aggregate 13-5 win-loss record in 2024, 9-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nakagawa | Pinnington |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 21 |
| Pts | 63-44 | 73-60 |
| Total Points | 107 | 133 |
| Winners | 19 | 23 |
| %Winners | 30% | 32% |
Both Nakagawa and Pinnington played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Nakagawa and Pinnington have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Nakagawa played 4 games less than Pinnington. Naoki scored 19 winners (30% of the total points). On the other side, Jack scored 23 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nakagawa | Pinnington |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 6 |
| 1st in | 27/52 | 29/70 |
| %1st in | 52% | 41% |
| 1st pts | 19/27 | 23/29 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 16/25 | 25/41 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 61% |
Nakagawa didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Pinnington bagged 6 aces . Nakagawa won 70% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Pinnington won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nakagawa | Pinnington |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 3 |
| Converted | 4/9 | 3/8 |
| % Converted | 44% | 38% |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 |
| Saved | 3 | 1 |
| % Saved | 100% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
The Japanese broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Nakagawa quite strong on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 3 break points. The Brit broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Jack conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nakagawa | |||
| Q1 Kaliyanda | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 63-44 | 63-44 | |
| Total points | 107 | 107 | |
| Winners | 19 | 19 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 30% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 27/52 | 27/52 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 19/27 | 19/27 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/25 | 16/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Pinnington | |||
| Q1 Sysoev | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 73-60 | 73-60 | |
| Total points | 133 | 133 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 29/70 | 29/70 | |
| % 1st in | 41% | 41% | |
| 1st pts | 23/29 | 23/29 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/41 | 25/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
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- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Gijs BrouwerBrouwer (1-0) – H2H and prediction