Stefan Kozlov and Ernesto Escobedo will square off in the qualifications of the Lincoln Challenger for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Stefan Kozlov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Stefan Kozlov is the pick to win this match.
Stefan Kozlov -> 1.49
Ernesto Escobedo -> 2.5
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Prediction and head to head Stefan Kozlov vs. Ernesto Escobedo
This will be the 5th time that Stefan Kozlov and Ernesto Escobedo play each other. The head to head is 4-0 for Escobedo (see full H2H stats), 4-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Escobedo won 6-4 7-6(2) in the 1st round in the Chicago Challenger back in 2022.
Stefan Kozlov
36 - 17win/loss
349
103
LWLWWLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-19 | 16-9 | 17-8 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 6-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-34 | 14-18 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-15 | 20-12 | 5-2 | 16-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-13 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 367, Stefan got to the qualifications after defeating Collin Altamirano 6-4 7-6(4).
In the qualifications, The American had a good straight sets win against Altamirano (6-4 7-64). During the match, Kozlov scored 77 points vs Altamirano’s 67. Kozlov was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kozlov managed to score 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Stefan Kozlov lost the serve 4 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Kozlov put 75% of his first serves in, winning 63% (33/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 29% (5/17) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Altamirano 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Kozlov has good record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (284-222). 15-8 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Kozlov has an overall 133-114 record in the last years on hard.
Kozlov’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Kigali 1 Challenger,the Tallahassee Challenger and the Bloomfield Hills Challenger.
Kozlov has a compiled 35-17 win-loss record in 2024, 15-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lincoln Challenger
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
Ernesto Escobedo
23 - 19win/loss
460
67
LLLWWWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29-24 | 19-14 | 1-6 | 9-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-17 | 19-12 | 4-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 25-31 | 16-16 | 4-5 | 5-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 28-25 | 17-12 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-8 | 6-4 | 0-2 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 446, Escobedo reached the qualifications after defeating Henry Bilicic 6-0 6-0.
In the qualifications, The American had a good straight sets win against Bilicic (6-0 6-0). During the match Escobedo scored 50 points vs Bilicic’s 13. Ernesto was pretty aggressive to blast 19 winners.
About the serving games, Escobedo bagged 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Ernesto Escobedo was very efficient on serve to win 95% (19/20) of his 1st serve and 71% (5/7) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Escobedo broke Bilicic 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
The American’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M15 Villahermosa.
Escobedo has a compiled 23-18 win-loss record in 2024, 16-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kozlov | Escobedo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 12 |
| Pts | 77-67 | 50-13 |
| Total Points | 144 | 63 |
| Winners | 33 | 19 |
| %Winners | 43% | 38% |
Both Kozlov and Escobedo played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Kozlov and Escobedo have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Kozlov played 11 games more than Escobedo. Kozlov scored 33 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Escobedo made 19 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kozlov | Escobedo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 6 |
| 1st in | 52/69 | 20/27 |
| %1st in | 75% | 74% |
| 1st pts | 33/52 | 19/20 |
| %1st pts | 63% | 95% |
| 2nd pts | 5/17 | 5/7 |
| %2nd pts | 29% | 71% |
Kozlov made 2 aces . Escobedo blasted 6 aces . Kozlov won 63% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 29% of the points. On the other side, Escobedo won 95% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 71% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kozlov | Escobedo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 6 |
| Converted | 5/9 | 6/9 |
| % Converted | 56% | 67% |
| Conceded | 5 | 0 |
| Saved | 1 | 0 |
| % Saved | 20% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 |
Stefan broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. The American lost his serve 4 times and he saved 20% of the break points that he conceded. Escobedo broke his opponent 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. The American was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Kozlov | |||
| Q1 Altamirano |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 77-67 | 77-67 | |
| Total points | 144 | 144 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 52/69 | 52/69 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 33/52 | 33/52 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/17 | 5/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 29% | 29% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 1/5 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 20% | 20% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Escobedo | |||
| Q1 Bilicic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 12 | 12 | |
| pts | 50-13 | 50-13 | |
| Total points | 63 | 63 | |
| Winners | 19 | 19 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 20/27 | 20/27 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 74% | |
| 1st pts | 19/20 | 19/20 | |
| % 1st pts | 95% | 95% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 71% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 6/9 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
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