Sebastian Korda and Flavio Cobolli will clash against each other in the final of the Citi Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 5:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Korda who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Sebastian Korda is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Korda -> 1.59
Flavio Cobolli -> 2.375

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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Korda vs. Flavio Cobolli

This will be the 2^nd time that Sebastian Korda and Flavio Cobolli face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Korda (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Korda won 7-6(6) 4-6 6-4 in the 2^nd round in Rome back in May 2024.

Highlights Sebastian Korda vs Flavio Cobolli – Rome 10-May-2024

Sebastian Korda

Ranked no. 22, Korda reached the final after defeating Unknown Player bye, Cristian Garin 6-3 6-2, Thanasi Kokkinakis 6-7(1) 7-5 3-2 ret., Jordan Thompson 6-4 6-2 and Frances Tiafoe 6-4 6-4.

In the semifinal, The American had a good straight sets win against Tiafoe (6-4 6-4). During the match, Korda scored 72 points vs Tiafoe’s 57. Korda was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about the service games, Korda bagged 12 aces and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults. Sebastian Korda was extremely efficient on serve to win 79% (27/34) of his 1st serve and 80% (16/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Tiafoe twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sebastian hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 58% of the points he played.

Korda has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 61% of his matches (237-153). 12-6 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Korda has a composed94-62 match record in the last 9 years on hard.

Korda’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Hertogenbosch.

The American has a compiled 26-16 win-loss record in 2024, 12-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Washington

Flavio Cobolli

Ranked no. 48 (career-high), Cobolli got to the final after defeating David Goffin 7-6(4) 6-3, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 1-6 7-6(0) 7-6(7), Alex Michelsen 7-5 3-6 7-6(2) and Ben Shelton 4-6 7-5 6-3.

In the semifinal against Shelton, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-5 6-3). During the match Cobolli and Shelton scored the same amount of points (87). However, the world no. 22 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Flavio was exceptionally aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Talking about serving, Cobolli fired 6 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Flavio Cobolli lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Cobolli put 58% of his first serves in, winning 81% (42/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (18/37) on the 2nd serve. Flavio broke Shelton 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 50% of the points he played.

The Italian’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Geneva and Washington.

Flavio has an overall 33-21 win-loss record in 2024, 18-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Washington

Flavio has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Korda	Cobolli
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	10	11
Tot Games	85	120
Pts	285-230	388-385
Total Points	515	773
Winners	115	156
%Winners	40%	40%

Both Korda and Cobolli played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Sebastian Korda dropped 1 set, while Flavio Cobolli surrendered 3 sets. Korda has played 1 set(s) less than Cobolli (10 vs 11). Therefore, Korda played 35 games less than Cobolli. The American scored 115 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian managed to score 156 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Korda	Cobolli
Aces	41	41
Avg per match	10.3	10.3
1st in	145/250	193/390
%1st in	58%	49%
1st pts	115/145	156/193
%1st pts	79%	81%
2nd pts	70/105	90/197
%2nd pts	67%	46%

Korda bagged 41 aces (10.3 per match). Cobolli bagged 41 aces (10.3 per match). Korda won 79% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Cobolli won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Korda	Cobolli
Won	11	12
Converted	11/19	12/34
% Converted	58%	35%
Conceded	8	32
Saved	7	21
% Saved	88%	66%
Times Broken	1	11

The American broke his opponents 11 times with a 58% conversion rate. Korda lost his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded. Flavio broke his opponents 12 times with a 35% conversion rate. Flavio conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 66% of the break points that he conceded.

Korda
	R2 Garin	R3 Kokkinakis	1/4 Thompson	1/2 Tiafoe	Total
Score	6-3 6-2	6-71 7-5 3-2 ret.	6-4 6-2	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	2	2	9
Tot Games	17	30	18	20	85
pts	63-43	92-89	58-41	72-57	285-230
Total points	106	181	99	129	515
Winners	24	37	27	27	115
%Winners	38%	40%	47%	38%	40%
SERVE
Aces	7	12	10	12	41
Double Faults	1	1	1	0	3
1st in	29/58	51/92	31/46	34/54	145/250
% 1st in	50%	55%	67%	63%	58%
1st pts	24/29	37/51	27/31	27/34	115/145
% 1st pts	83%	73%	87%	79%	79%
2nd pts	18/29	26/41	10/15	16/20	70/105
% 2nd pts	62%	63%	67%	80%	67%
Breaks
Won	3	3	3	2	11
Converted	3/6	3/3	3/5	2/5	11/19
Converted %	50%	100%	60%	40%	58%
Conceded	3	3	1	1	8
Saved	3/3	2/3	1/1	1/1	7
Saved %	100%	67%	100%	100%	92%
Times Broken	0	1	0	0	1

Cobolli
	R2 Goffin	R3 Davidovich Fokina	1/4 Michelsen	1/2 Shelton	Total
Score	7-64 6-3	1-6 7-60 7-67	7-5 3-6 7-62	4-6 7-5 6-3
Tot Set	2	3	3	3	11
Tot Games	22	33	34	31	120
pts	78-68	118-121	105-109	87-87	388-385
Total points	146	239	214	174	773
Winners	28	41	45	42	156
%Winners	36%	35%	43%	48%	40%
SERVE
Aces	11	7	17	6	41
Double Faults	6	8	13	7	34
1st in	32/66	55/123	54/112	52/89	193/390
% 1st in	48%	45%	48%	58%	49%
1st pts	28/32	41/55	45/54	42/52	156/193
% 1st pts	88%	75%	83%	81%	81%
2nd pts	18/34	30/68	24/58	18/37	90/197
% 2nd pts	53%	44%	41%	49%	46%
Breaks
Won	3	3	3	3	12
Converted	3/8	3/12	3/9	3/5	12/34
Converted %	38%	25%	33%	60%	35%
Conceded	3	13	11	5	32
Saved	2/3	8/13	8/11	3/5	21
Saved %	67%	62%	73%	60%	66%
Times Broken	1	5	3	2	11

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Sebastian KordaKorda – Flavio CobolliCobolli (1-0) – H2H and prediction