Sebastian Korda and Flavio Cobolli will clash against each other in the final of the Citi Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 5:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Korda who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sebastian Korda is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Korda -> 1.59
Flavio Cobolli -> 2.375
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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Korda vs. Flavio Cobolli
This will be the 2nd time that Sebastian Korda and Flavio Cobolli face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Korda (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Korda won 7-6(6) 4-6 6-4 in the 2nd round in Rome back in May 2024.
Highlights Sebastian Korda vs Flavio Cobolli – Rome 10-May-2024
Sebastian Korda
27 - 16win/loss
22
15
LWLLWWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-19 | 17-9 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-16 | 18-8 | 1-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-22 | 13-9 | 8-6 | 12-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-20 | 12-8 | 6-5 | 13-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 22-10 | 6-4 | 6-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7-1 |
Ranked no. 22, Korda reached the final after defeating Unknown Player bye, Cristian Garin 6-3 6-2, Thanasi Kokkinakis 6-7(1) 7-5 3-2 ret., Jordan Thompson 6-4 6-2 and Frances Tiafoe 6-4 6-4.
In the semifinal, The American had a good straight sets win against Tiafoe (6-4 6-4). During the match, Korda scored 72 points vs Tiafoe’s 57. Korda was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about the service games, Korda bagged 12 aces and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults. Sebastian Korda was extremely efficient on serve to win 79% (27/34) of his 1st serve and 80% (16/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Tiafoe twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sebastian hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 58% of the points he played.
Korda has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 61% of his matches (237-153). 12-6 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Korda has a composed94-62 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
Korda’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Hertogenbosch.
The American has a compiled 26-16 win-loss record in 2024, 12-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Washington
Flavio Cobolli
33 - 22win/loss
32
30
LWLWLWWWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-29 | 26-13 | 10-9 | 4-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-36 | 10-6 | 43-23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-34 | 6-4 | 24-21 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 46-30 | 5-4 | 39-21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 48 (career-high), Cobolli got to the final after defeating David Goffin 7-6(4) 6-3, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 1-6 7-6(0) 7-6(7), Alex Michelsen 7-5 3-6 7-6(2) and Ben Shelton 4-6 7-5 6-3.
In the semifinal against Shelton, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-5 6-3). During the match Cobolli and Shelton scored the same amount of points (87). However, the world no. 22 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Flavio was exceptionally aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about serving, Cobolli fired 6 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Flavio Cobolli lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Cobolli put 58% of his first serves in, winning 81% (42/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (18/37) on the 2nd serve. Flavio broke Shelton 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 50% of the points he played.
The Italian’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Geneva and Washington.
Flavio has an overall 33-21 win-loss record in 2024, 18-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Washington
Flavio has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Korda | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 85 | 120 |
| Pts | 285-230 | 388-385 |
| Total Points | 515 | 773 |
| Winners | 115 | 156 |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% |
Both Korda and Cobolli played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Sebastian Korda dropped 1 set, while Flavio Cobolli surrendered 3 sets. Korda has played 1 set(s) less than Cobolli (10 vs 11). Therefore, Korda played 35 games less than Cobolli. The American scored 115 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian managed to score 156 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Korda | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 41 | 41 |
| Avg per match | 10.3 | 10.3 |
| 1st in | 145/250 | 193/390 |
| %1st in | 58% | 49% |
| 1st pts | 115/145 | 156/193 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 70/105 | 90/197 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 46% |
Korda bagged 41 aces (10.3 per match). Cobolli bagged 41 aces (10.3 per match). Korda won 79% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Cobolli won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Korda | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 12 |
| Converted | 11/19 | 12/34 |
| % Converted | 58% | 35% |
| Conceded | 8 | 32 |
| Saved | 7 | 21 |
| % Saved | 88% | 66% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 11 |
The American broke his opponents 11 times with a 58% conversion rate. Korda lost his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded. Flavio broke his opponents 12 times with a 35% conversion rate. Flavio conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 66% of the break points that he conceded.
| Korda | ||||||
| R2 Garin |
R3 Kokkinakis |
1/4 Thompson |
1/2 Tiafoe |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-71 7-5 3-2 ret. | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 30 | 18 | 20 | 85 | |
| pts | 63-43 | 92-89 | 58-41 | 72-57 | 285-230 | |
| Total points | 106 | 181 | 99 | 129 | 515 | |
| Winners | 24 | 37 | 27 | 27 | 115 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 40% | 47% | 38% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 7 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 41 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 29/58 | 51/92 | 31/46 | 34/54 | 145/250 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 55% | 67% | 63% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 24/29 | 37/51 | 27/31 | 27/34 | 115/145 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 73% | 87% | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/29 | 26/41 | 10/15 | 16/20 | 70/105 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 63% | 67% | 80% | 67% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/3 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 11/19 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 100% | 60% | 40% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 67% | 100% | 100% | 92% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Cobolli | ||||||
| R2 Goffin |
R3 Davidovich Fokina |
1/4 Michelsen |
1/2 Shelton |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-3 | 1-6 7-60 7-67 | 7-5 3-6 7-62 | 4-6 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 33 | 34 | 31 | 120 | |
| pts | 78-68 | 118-121 | 105-109 | 87-87 | 388-385 | |
| Total points | 146 | 239 | 214 | 174 | 773 | |
| Winners | 28 | 41 | 45 | 42 | 156 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 35% | 43% | 48% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 11 | 7 | 17 | 6 | 41 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 34 | |
| 1st in | 32/66 | 55/123 | 54/112 | 52/89 | 193/390 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 45% | 48% | 58% | 49% | |
| 1st pts | 28/32 | 41/55 | 45/54 | 42/52 | 156/193 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 75% | 83% | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/34 | 30/68 | 24/58 | 18/37 | 90/197 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 44% | 41% | 49% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/12 | 3/9 | 3/5 | 12/34 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 25% | 33% | 60% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 32 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 8/13 | 8/11 | 3/5 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 62% | 73% | 60% | 66% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLWWWWWW
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Flavio CobolliCobolli (1-0) – H2H and prediction
