Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz will clash against each other in the final of the Olympics for the 7^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 12:00 pm on Court Philippe-Chatrier. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.43
Novak Djokovic -> 2.91

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Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Carlos Alcaraz

This will be the 7^th time that Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz clash against each other. The head to head is 3-3 for Djokovic and Alcaraz (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.

The last time that they fought against each other, Alcaraz won 6-2 6-2 7-6(4) in the final in at the Wimbledon back in July 2024.

Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic – Wimbledon 14-July-2024

Novak Djokovic

Ranked no. 2, Novak reached the final after beating Matthew Ebden 6-0 6-1

, Rafael Nadal 6-1 6-4, Dominik Koepfer 7-5 6-3, Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-3 7-6(3) and Lorenzo Musetti 6-4 6-2.

In the semifinal, Djokovic had a good straight sets win against Musetti (6-4 6-2). During the match, Djokovic scored 68 points vs Musetti’s 52. Novak was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Regarding the service games, Djokovic fired 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Novak Djokovic lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Djokovic put 65% of his first serves in, winning 64% (23/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 63% (12/19) on the 2nd serve. Novak broke Musetti 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Djokovic hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to conquer 59% of the points he played.

Djokovic has a great match record in the last 10 years having won 86% of his matches (511-80). 15-3 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Djokovic has a composed 140-29 record in the last years on clay.

Djokovic’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Wimbledon .

Djokovic has an aggregate 28-7 win-loss record in 2024, 15-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Olympics

Carlos Alcaraz

Ranked no. 3, Carlos got to the final after beating Hady Habib 6-3 6-1, Tallon Griekspoor 6-1 7-6(3), Roman Safiullin 6-4 6-2, Tommy Paul 6-3 7-6(7) and Felix Auger-Aliassime 6-1 6-1.

In the semifinal, Carlos had a good straight sets win against Auger-Aliassime (6-1 6-1). During the match Alcaraz scored 58 points vs Auger-Aliassime’s 35. Alcaraz was very aggressive to blast 17 winners.

About the serving games, Alcaraz struck 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 77% (17/22) of his 1st serve and 69% (11/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Spaniard broke Auger-Aliassime 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alcaraz hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Indian Wells where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(5) 6-1 and at the French Open where he beat Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 2-6 5-7 6-1 6-2 and at the Wimbledon where he overcame Novak Djokovic in the final 6-2 6-2 7-6(4).

The Spaniard has a compiled 38-6 win-loss record in 2024, 17-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Djokovic	Alcaraz
Match played	5	5
Tot Set	10	10
Tot Games	91	90
Pts	331-234	334-249
Total Points	565	583
Winners	129	140
%Winners	39%	42%

Both Djokovic and Alcaraz played 5 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Djokovic and Alcaraz have played the same amount of sets 10. However, Djokovic played 1 game more than Alcaraz. Novak scored 129 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Carlos bagged 140 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Djokovic	Alcaraz
Aces	23	23
Avg per match	4.6	4.6
1st in	176/268	191/280
%1st in	66%	68%
1st pts	129/176	140/191
%1st pts	73%	73%
2nd pts	56/92	57/89
%2nd pts	61%	64%

Djokovic blasted 23 aces (4.6 per match). Alcaraz fired 23 aces (4.6 per match). Djokovic won 73% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Alcaraz won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Djokovic	Alcaraz
Won	22	17
Converted	22/44	17/38
% Converted	50%	45%
Conceded	15	12
Saved	8	10
% Saved	53%	83%
Times Broken	7	2

Djokovic broke his opponents 22 times with a 50% conversion rate. Novak surrendered his serve 7 times and he saved 53% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponents 17 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve twice and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.

Djokovic
	R1 Ebden	R2 Nadal	R3 Koepfer	1/4 Tsitsipas	1/2 Musetti	Total
Score	6-0 6-1	6-1 6-4	7-5 6-3	6-3 7-63	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	2	10
Tot Games	13	17	21	22	18	91
pts	52-21	63-43	66-49	82-69	68-52	331-234
Total points	73	106	115	151	120	565
Winners	15	23	31	37	23	129
%Winners	29%	37%	47%	45%	34%	39%
SERVE
Aces	4	5	5	6	3	23
Double Faults	0	1	0	1	1	3
1st in	18/30	29/47	36/56	57/80	36/55	176/268
% 1st in	60%	62%	64%	71%	65%	66%
1st pts	15/18	23/29	31/36	37/57	23/36	129/176
% 1st pts	83%	79%	86%	65%	64%	73%
2nd pts	10/12	10/18	11/20	13/23	12/19	56/92
% 2nd pts	83%	56%	55%	57%	63%	61%
Breaks
Won	6	5	3	3	5	22
Converted	6/9	5/12	3/4	3/6	5/13	22/44
Converted %	67%	42%	75%	50%	38%	50%
Conceded	0	3	2	6	4	15
Saved	0/0	1/3	1/2	4/6	2/4	8
Saved %	–	33%	50%	67%	50%	40%
Times Broken	0	2	1	2	2	7

Alcaraz
	R1 Habib	R2 Griekspoor	R3 Safiullin	1/4 Paul	1/2 Auger-Aliassime	Total
Score	6-3 6-1	6-1 7-63	6-4 6-2	6-3 7-67	6-1 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	2	10
Tot Games	16	20	18	22	14	90
pts	68-42	71-57	61-44	76-71	58-35	334-249
Total points	110	128	105	147	93	583
Winners	26	31	24	42	17	140
%Winners	38%	44%	39%	55%	29%	42%
SERVE
Aces	5	5	5	6	2	23
Double Faults	2	1	0	2	2	7
1st in	33/47	47/69	30/47	59/79	22/38	191/280
% 1st in	70%	68%	64%	75%	58%	68%
1st pts	26/33	31/47	24/30	42/59	17/22	140/191
% 1st pts	79%	66%	80%	71%	77%	73%
2nd pts	10/14	17/22	8/17	11/20	11/16	57/89
% 2nd pts	71%	77%	47%	55%	69%	64%
Breaks
Won	4	2	4	2	5	17
Converted	4/13	2/3	4/8	2/5	5/9	17/38
Converted %	31%	67%	50%	40%	56%	45%
Conceded	4	2	1	5	0	12
Saved	4/4	2/2	0/1	4/5	0/0	10
Saved %	100%	100%	0%	80%	–	56%
Times Broken	0	0	1	1	0	2

Tennis Scores in Paris

• Matthew Ebden/John PeersEbden/John Peers – Austin Krajicek/Rajeev RamKrajicek/Rajeev Ram (6-7⁶ 7-6¹ 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (3-3) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (2-3) – H2H and prediction