Qinwen Zheng and Donna Vekic will face off in the final of the Olympics for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 12:00 pm on Court Philippe Chatrier. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Qinwen Zheng who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Qinwen Zheng is the pick to win this match.
Qinwen Zheng -> 1.51
Donna Vekic -> 2.625

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Prediction and head to head Qinwen Zheng vs. Donna Vekic

This will be the 3^rd time that Qinwen Zheng and Donna Vekic play each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Zheng and Vekic (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Zheng won 6-4 6-7(6) 6-4 in the R in Zhuhai back in 2023.

Highlights Qinwen Zheng vs Donna Vekic – Zhuhai 25-October-2023

Qinwen Zheng

Ranked no. 7 (career-high), the Chinese reached the final after defeating Sara Errani 6-0 6-0, Arantxa Rus 6-2 6-4, Emma Navarro 6-7(7) 7-6(4) 6-1, Angelique Kerber 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(6) and Iga Swiatek 6-2 7-5.

In the semifinal, Zheng had a good straight sets win against Swiatek (6-2 7-5). During the match, Zheng scored 68 points vs Swiatek’s 55. The Chinese was exceptionally aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Talking about the service games, Zheng struck 6 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Qinwen Zheng lost the serve 3 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Zheng put 56% of her first serves in, winning 66% (23/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (11/27) on the 2nd serve. The Chinese broke Swiatek 6 times after converting 46% of her break points (6/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Qinwen has conceded 2 set in this competition to win 55% of the points she played.

Zheng has a fantastic match record in the last 8 years having won 70% of her matches (207-89). 16-4 on clay in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Zheng has a compiled81-25 win-loss record in the last 8 years on clay.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Palermo where she overcame Karolina Muchova in the final 6-4 4-6 6-2.

Qinwen has a compiled 31-12 win-loss record in 2024, 16-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Olympics

The Chinese has never competed in this tournament before.

Donna Vekic

Ranked no. 21, Vekic reached the final after defeating Lucia Bronzetti 6-2 7-5, Bianca Vanessa Andreescu 6-3 6-4, Cori Gauff 7-6(7) 6-2, Marta Kostyuk 6-4 2-6 7-6(8) and Anna Schmiedlova 6-4 6-0.

In the semifinal, Vekic had a good straight sets win against Anna Schmiedlova (6-4 6-0). During the match Vekic scored 58 points vs Anna Schmiedlova’s 34. The Croatian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 23 winners.

About the serving games, Vekic recorded 6 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Donna Vekic was quite efficient on serve to win 79% (23/29) of her 1st serve and 63% (10/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Vekic broke Anna Schmiedlova 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Donna has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

The Croatian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Bad Homburg.

The Croatian has an aggregate 27-15 win-loss record in 2024, 8-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Zheng	Vekic
Match played	5	5
Tot Set	12	11
Tot Games	119	107
Pts	421-340	402-334
Total Points	761	736
Winners	133	134
%Winners	32%	33%

Both Zheng and Vekic played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Qinwen Zheng lost 2 sets, while Donna Vekic conceded 1 set. Zheng has played 1 set more than Vekic (12 vs 11). Therefore, Zheng played 12 games more than Vekic. The Chinese scored 133 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Vekic struck 134 winners (33%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Zheng	Vekic
Aces	34	17
Avg per match	6.8	3.4
1st in	187/360	201/382
%1st in	52%	53%
1st pts	133/187	134/201
%1st pts	71%	67%
2nd pts	86/174	87/174
%2nd pts	49%	50%

Zheng fired 34 aces (6.8 per match). Vekic managed to score 17 aces (3.4 per match). Zheng won 71% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Vekic won 67% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Zheng	Vekic
Won	29	26
Converted	29/57	26/53
% Converted	51%	49%
Conceded	28	39
Saved	15	24
% Saved	54%	62%
Times Broken	13	15

Qinwen broke her opponents 29 times with a 51% conversion rate. Zheng lost her serve 13 times and she saved 54% of the break points that she conceded. Vekic broke her opponents 26 times with a 49% conversion rate. The Croatian conceded her serve 15 times and she saved 62% of the break points that she conceded.

Zheng
	R1 Errani	R2 Rus	R3 Navarro	1/4 Kerber	1/2 Swiatek	Total
Score	6-0 6-0	6-2 6-4	6-77 7-64 6-1	6-74 6-4 7-66	6-2 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	3	3	2	12
Tot Games	12	18	33	36	20	119
pts	51-20	60-47	123-106	119-112	68-55	421-340
Total points	71	107	229	231	123	761
Winners	14	20	39	37	23	133
%Winners	27%	33%	32%	31%	34%	32%
SERVE
Aces	4	4	12	8	6	34
Double Faults	0	4	6	4	3	17
1st in	18/38	27/55	59/103	48/102	35/62	187/360
% 1st in	47%	49%	57%	47%	56%	52%
1st pts	14/18	20/27	39/59	37/48	23/35	133/187
% 1st pts	78%	74%	66%	77%	66%	71%
2nd pts	13/20	16/28	20/45	26/54	11/27	86/174
% 2nd pts	65%	57%	44%	48%	41%	49%
Breaks
Won	6	4	7	6	6	29
Converted	6/6	4/7	7/18	6/13	6/13	29/57
Converted %	100%	57%	39%	46%	46%	51%
Conceded	4	2	11	5	6	28
Saved	4/4	1/2	7/11	0/5	3/6	15
Saved %	100%	50%	64%	0%	50%	53%
Times Broken	0	1	4	5	3	13

Vekic
	R1 Bronzetti	R2 Andreescu	R3 Gauff	1/4 Kostyuk	1/2 Anna Schmiedlova	Total
Score	6-2 7-5	6-3 6-4	7-67 6-2	6-4 2-6 7-68	6-4 6-0
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	2	11
Tot Games	20	19	21	31	16	107
pts	78-56	77-65	80-65	109-114	58-34	402-334
Total points	134	142	145	223	92	736
Winners	19	23	32	37	23	134
%Winners	24%	30%	40%	34%	40%	33%
SERVE
Aces	2	2	5	2	6	17
Double Faults	4	4	3	7	3	21
1st in	29/62	39/76	42/78	62/121	29/45	201/382
% 1st in	47%	51%	54%	51%	64%	53%
1st pts	19/29	23/39	32/42	37/62	23/29	134/201
% 1st pts	66%	59%	76%	60%	79%	67%
2nd pts	18/33	17/33	15/33	27/59	10/16	87/174
% 2nd pts	55%	52%	45%	46%	63%	50%
Breaks
Won	6	7	4	5	4	26
Converted	6/16	7/13	4/6	5/12	4/6	26/53
Converted %	38%	54%	67%	42%	67%	49%
Conceded	3	10	9	17	0	39
Saved	0/3	6/10	7/9	11/17	0/0	24
Saved %	0%	60%	78%	65%	–	41%
Times Broken	3	4	2	6	0	15

Tennis Scores in Paris

• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Anna SchmiedlovaSchmiedlova (6-2 6-1) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Qinwen ZhengZheng – Donna VekicVekic (1-1) – H2H and prediction