Aryna Sabalenka and Marie Bouzkova will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Mubadala Citi DC Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 4:30 pm on STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.165
Marie Bouzkova -> 5.15

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Marie Bouzkova

This will be the 2^nd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Marie Bouzkova square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Sabalenka won 6-1 6-2 in the 3^rd round in Miami back in 2023.

Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Marie Bouzkova – Miami 26-March-2023

Aryna Sabalenka

Ranked no. 3, Sabalenka reached the semifinal after beating Unknown Player bye, Kamilla Rakhimova 7-5 4-6 6-4 and Victoria Azarenka 6-4 6-4.

In the quarter, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Azarenka (6-4 6-4). During the match, Sabalenka scored 76 points vs Azarenka’s 67. The Belarussian was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sabalenka managed to score 8 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 54% of her first serves in, winning 77% (30/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (14/33) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Azarenka 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Aryna has dropped 1 set in this competition to win 52% of the points she played.

Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 68% of her matches (350-163). 16-4 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has a compiled205-89 record in the last 9 years on hard.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title at the Australian Open where she beat Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2.

Aryna has an aggregate 32-9 win-loss record in 2024, 16-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Washington

Marie Bouzkova

Ranked no. 43, Bouzkova got to the semifinal after defeating Mccartney Kessler 6-4 4-6 6-2, Taylor Townsend 7-5 7-6(8) and Robin Montgomery 6-3 6-1.

In the quarter, The Czech had a good straight sets win against Montgomery (6-3 6-1). During the match Bouzkova scored 60 points vs Montgomery’s 36. Bouzkova was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.

About the serving games, Bouzkova scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 4 double faults. Marie Bouzkova lost the serve once and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Bouzkova put 63% of her first serves in, winning 78% (29/37) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (9/22) on the 2nd serve. Marie was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Montgomery 5 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Czech has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

The Czech’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Bogota.

Marie has an aggregate 17-14 win-loss record in 2024, 8-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sabalenka	Bouzkova
Match played	2	3
Tot Set	5	7
Tot Games	52	69
Pts	190-177	247-201
Total Points	367	448
Winners	71	98
%Winners	37%	40%

Sabalenka played 2 matches while Bouzkova competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Aryna Sabalenka conceded 1 set, while Marie Bouzkova dropped 1 set. Sabalenka has played 2 set(s) less than Bouzkova (5 vs 7). Therefore, Sabalenka played 17 games less than Bouzkova. The Belarussian scored 71 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Bouzkova blasted 98 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sabalenka	Bouzkova
Aces	21	8
Avg per match	10.5	2.7
1st in	94/181	130/224
%1st in	52%	58%
1st pts	71/94	98/130
%1st pts	76%	75%
2nd pts	40/87	47/94
%2nd pts	46%	50%

Sabalenka struck 21 aces (10.5 per match). Bouzkova struck 8 aces (2.7 per match). Sabalenka won 76% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Bouzkova won 75% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sabalenka	Bouzkova
Won	8	13
Converted	8/26	13/26
% Converted	31%	50%
Conceded	18	15
Saved	13	9
% Saved	72%	60%
Times Broken	5	6

Sabalenka broke her opponents 8 times with a 31% conversion rate. Aryna surrendered her serve 5 times and she saved 72% of the break points that she conceded. Bouzkova broke her opponents 13 times with a 50% conversion rate. Marie conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
	R2 Rakhimova	1/4 Azarenka	Total
Score	7-5 4-6 6-4	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	32	20	52
pts	114-110	76-67	190-177
Total points	224	143	367
Winners	41	30	71
%Winners	36%	39%	37%
SERVE
Aces	13	8	21
Double Faults	14	5	19
1st in	55/109	39/72	94/181
% 1st in	50%	54%	52%
1st pts	41/55	30/39	71/94
% 1st pts	75%	77%	76%
2nd pts	26/54	14/33	40/87
% 2nd pts	48%	42%	46%
Breaks
Won	4	4	8
Converted	4/17	4/9	8/26
Converted %	24%	44%	31%
Conceded	12	6	18
Saved	9/12	4/6	13
Saved %	75%	67%	71%
Times Broken	3	2	5

Bouzkova
	R1 Kessler	R2 Townsend	1/4 Montgomery	Total
Score	6-4 4-6 6-2	7-5 7-68	6-3 6-1
Tot Set	3	2	2	7
Tot Games	28	25	16	69
pts	96-84	91-81	60-36	247-201
Total points	180	172	96	448
Winners	32	37	29	98
%Winners	33%	41%	48%	40%
SERVE
Aces	3	4	1	8
Double Faults	1	3	4	8
1st in	44/84	49/81	37/59	130/224
% 1st in	52%	60%	63%	58%
1st pts	32/44	37/49	29/37	98/130
% 1st pts	73%	76%	78%	75%
2nd pts	20/40	18/32	9/22	47/94
% 2nd pts	50%	56%	41%	50%
Breaks
Won	5	3	5	13
Converted	5/10	3/11	5/5	13/26
Converted %	50%	27%	100%	50%
Conceded	4	6	5	15
Saved	1/4	4/6	4/5	9
Saved %	25%	67%	80%	86%
Times Broken	3	2	1	6

Tennis Scores in Washington

• Xinyu Jiang/Fang-Hsien WuJiang/Fang-Hsien Wu – Miyu Kato/Aldila SutjiadiKato/Aldila Sutjiadi (6-4 7-6⁵) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Francesco VilardoVilardo – Jordan HassonHasson (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Tigre HankHank – Constantin Bittoun KouzmineBittoun Kouzmine (7-6⁴ 6-7¹ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Caroline DolehideDolehide (0-0) – H2H and prediction