Fabio Fognini and Alexandre Muller will play each other in the semifinal of the San Marino Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 9:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexandre Muller who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexandre Muller is the pick to win this match.
Alexandre Muller -> 1.83
Fabio Fognini -> 1.909

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Prediction and head to head Fabio Fognini vs. Alexandre Muller

This will be the 2^nd time that Fabio Fognini and Alexandre Muller clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Muller (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Muller won 3-6 7-6(5) 7-6(3) in the 1^st round in the Olbia Challenger back in 2023.

Fabio Fognini

Ranked no. 74, the Italian got to the semifinal after defeating Pedro Sakamoto 6-7(5) 6-1 6-2, Samuel Vincent Ruggeri 1-6 7-6(5) 6-0 and Matteo Gigante 7-5 6-2.

In the quarter, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Gigante (7-5 6-2). During the match, Fognini scored 68 points vs Gigante’s 55. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about the service games, Fognini blasted 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Fabio Fognini lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Fognini put 60% of his first serves in, winning 79% (27/34) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (11/23) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Gigante 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Fognini has dropped 2 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Fognini has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (275-219). 18-11 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Fognini has an aggregate 145-99 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Fabio has an aggregate 25-18 win-loss record in 2024, 18-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the San Marino Challenger

Alexandre Muller

Ranked no. 99, Muller got to the semifinal after defeating Remy Bertola 6-1 7-6(3), Giovanni Fonio 6-3 6-3 and Juan Manuel Cerundolo 6-2 6-3.

In the quarter, The French player had a good straight sets win against Manuel Cerundolo (6-2 6-3). During the match Muller scored 62 points vs Manuel Cerundolo’s 41. Alexandre was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.

About the serving games, Muller recorded 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alexandre Muller lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Muller put 59% of his first serves in, winning 70% (23/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the 2nd serve. Alexandre broke Manuel Cerundolo 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The French player hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.

The French player best result of the year was reaching the final in the Lyon Challenger.

Muller has an aggregate 27-22 win-loss record in 2024, 18-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the San Marino Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1^st

round in 2022 and 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Fognini	Muller
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	8	6
Tot Games	74	55
Pts	252-213	200-140
Total Points	465	340
Winners	103	78
%Winners	41%	39%

Both Fognini and Muller played 3 matches. At the moment, Fabio Fognini lost 2 sets while Alexandre Muller hasn’t conceded a set so far. Fognini has played 2 sets more than Muller (8 vs 6). Therefore, Fognini played 19 games more than Muller. Fabio scored 103 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Alexandre blasted 78 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Fognini	Muller
Aces	13	8
Avg per match	4.3	2.7
1st in	135/229	106/171
%1st in	59%	62%
1st pts	103/135	78/106
%1st pts	76%	74%
2nd pts	47/94	44/65
%2nd pts	50%	68%

Fognini bagged 13 aces (4.3 per match). Muller recorded 8 aces (2.7 per match). Fognini won 76% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Muller won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Fognini	Muller
Won	15	10
Converted	15/25	10/18
% Converted	60%	56%
Conceded	13	8
Saved	6	7
% Saved	46%	88%
Times Broken	7	1

Fabio broke his opponents 15 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Italian surrendered his serve 7 times and he saved 46% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 10 times with a 56% conversion rate. Muller conceded his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.

Fognini
	R1 Sakamoto	R2 Vincent	1/4 Gigante	Total
Score	6-75 6-1 6-2	1-6 7-65 6-0	7-5 6-2
Tot Set	3	3	2	8
Tot Games	28	26	20	74
pts	104-81	80-77	68-55	252-213
Total points	185	157	123	465
Winners	48	28	27	103
%Winners	46%	35%	40%	41%
SERVE
Aces	8	2	3	13
Double Faults	3	6	5	14
1st in	64/96	37/76	34/57	135/229
% 1st in	67%	49%	60%	59%
1st pts	48/64	28/37	27/34	103/135
% 1st pts	75%	76%	79%	76%
2nd pts	17/32	19/39	11/23	47/94
% 2nd pts	53%	49%	48%	50%
Breaks
Won	6	4	5	15
Converted	6/9	4/6	5/10	15/25
Converted %	67%	67%	50%	60%
Conceded	6	5	2	13
Saved	4/6	2/5	0/2	6
Saved %	67%	40%	0%	36%
Times Broken	2	3	2	7

Muller
	R1 Bertola	R2 Fonio	1/4 Manuel	Total
Score	6-1 7-63	6-3 6-3	6-2 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	20	18	17	55
pts	76-55	62-44	62-41	200-140
Total points	131	106	103	340
Winners	28	27	23	78
%Winners	37%	44%	37%	39%
SERVE
Aces	5	1	2	8
Double Faults	1	2	1	4
1st in	38/62	35/53	33/56	106/171
% 1st in	61%	66%	59%	62%
1st pts	28/38	27/35	23/33	78/106
% 1st pts	74%	77%	70%	74%
2nd pts	17/24	13/18	14/23	44/65
% 2nd pts	71%	72%	61%	68%
Breaks
Won	3	3	4	10
Converted	3/7	3/6	4/5	10/18
Converted %	43%	50%	80%	56%
Conceded	3	2	3	8
Saved	3/3	2/2	2/3	7
Saved %	100%	100%	67%	89%
Times Broken	0	0	1	1

Tennis Scores in San Marino Challenger

• Alexandre MullerMuller – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Fabio FogniniFognini – Matteo GiganteGigante (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng – Gustavo HeideHeide (7-6² 6-2) – See score progression
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Marco Bortolotti/Matthew Christopher RomiosBortolotti/Matthew Christopher Romios – Daniel Dutra Da Silva/Nick HardtDutra Da Silva/Nick Hardt (w/o) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Fabio FogniniFognini – Alexandre MullerMuller (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng – Francisco ComesanaComesana (0-0) – H2H and prediction