Fabio Fognini and Alexandre Muller will play each other in the semifinal of the San Marino Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 9:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexandre Muller who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alexandre Muller is the pick to win this match.
Alexandre Muller -> 1.83
Fabio Fognini -> 1.909
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Prediction and head to head Fabio Fognini vs. Alexandre Muller
This will be the 2nd time that Fabio Fognini and Alexandre Muller clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Muller (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Muller won 3-6 7-6(5) 7-6(3) in the 1st round in the Olbia Challenger back in 2023.
Fabio Fognini
25 - 19win/loss
74
9
LWWLLLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-27 | 7-10 | 18-12 | 2-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-23 | 0-8 | 23-12 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-26 | 10-9 | 12-12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-24 | 12-12 | 7-8 | 0-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 74, the Italian got to the semifinal after defeating Pedro Sakamoto 6-7(5) 6-1 6-2, Samuel Vincent Ruggeri 1-6 7-6(5) 6-0 and Matteo Gigante 7-5 6-2.
In the quarter, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Gigante (7-5 6-2). During the match, Fognini scored 68 points vs Gigante’s 55. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about the service games, Fognini blasted 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Fabio Fognini lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Fognini put 60% of his first serves in, winning 79% (27/34) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (11/23) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Gigante 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Fognini has dropped 2 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Fognini has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (275-219). 18-11 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Fognini has an aggregate 145-99 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Fabio has an aggregate 25-18 win-loss record in 2024, 18-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the San Marino Challenger
Alexandre Muller
28 - 22win/loss
68
68
LLLWLWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35-32 | 11-14 | 20-12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-33 | 20-13 | 18-12 | 7-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-31 | 6-6 | 27-20 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-31 | 6-7 | 16-15 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-13 | 3-2 | 15-9 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 99, Muller got to the semifinal after defeating Remy Bertola 6-1 7-6(3), Giovanni Fonio 6-3 6-3 and Juan Manuel Cerundolo 6-2 6-3.
In the quarter, The French player had a good straight sets win against Manuel Cerundolo (6-2 6-3). During the match Muller scored 62 points vs Manuel Cerundolo’s 41. Alexandre was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.
About the serving games, Muller recorded 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alexandre Muller lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Muller put 59% of his first serves in, winning 70% (23/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the 2nd serve. Alexandre broke Manuel Cerundolo 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
The French player best result of the year was reaching the final in the Lyon Challenger.
Muller has an aggregate 27-22 win-loss record in 2024, 18-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the San Marino Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022 and 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Fognini | Muller |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 74 | 55 |
| Pts | 252-213 | 200-140 |
| Total Points | 465 | 340 |
| Winners | 103 | 78 |
| %Winners | 41% | 39% |
Both Fognini and Muller played 3 matches. At the moment, Fabio Fognini lost 2 sets while Alexandre Muller hasn’t conceded a set so far. Fognini has played 2 sets more than Muller (8 vs 6). Therefore, Fognini played 19 games more than Muller. Fabio scored 103 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Alexandre blasted 78 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Fognini | Muller |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 4.3 | 2.7 |
| 1st in | 135/229 | 106/171 |
| %1st in | 59% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 103/135 | 78/106 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 47/94 | 44/65 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 68% |
Fognini bagged 13 aces (4.3 per match). Muller recorded 8 aces (2.7 per match). Fognini won 76% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Muller won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Fognini | Muller |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 10 |
| Converted | 15/25 | 10/18 |
| % Converted | 60% | 56% |
| Conceded | 13 | 8 |
| Saved | 6 | 7 |
| % Saved | 46% | 88% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 1 |
Fabio broke his opponents 15 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Italian surrendered his serve 7 times and he saved 46% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 10 times with a 56% conversion rate. Muller conceded his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.
| Fognini | |||||
| R1 Sakamoto |
R2 Vincent |
1/4 Gigante |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 6-1 6-2 | 1-6 7-65 6-0 | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 26 | 20 | 74 | |
| pts | 104-81 | 80-77 | 68-55 | 252-213 | |
| Total points | 185 | 157 | 123 | 465 | |
| Winners | 48 | 28 | 27 | 103 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 35% | 40% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 2 | 3 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 64/96 | 37/76 | 34/57 | 135/229 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 49% | 60% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 48/64 | 28/37 | 27/34 | 103/135 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 76% | 79% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/32 | 19/39 | 11/23 | 47/94 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 49% | 48% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 5 | 15 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 4/6 | 5/10 | 15/25 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | 50% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 5 | 2 | 13 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 2/5 | 0/2 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 40% | 0% | 36% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Muller | |||||
| R1 Bertola |
R2 Fonio |
1/4 Manuel |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-63 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 18 | 17 | 55 | |
| pts | 76-55 | 62-44 | 62-41 | 200-140 | |
| Total points | 131 | 106 | 103 | 340 | |
| Winners | 28 | 27 | 23 | 78 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 44% | 37% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 38/62 | 35/53 | 33/56 | 106/171 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 66% | 59% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 28/38 | 27/35 | 23/33 | 78/106 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 77% | 70% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/24 | 13/18 | 14/23 | 44/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 72% | 61% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/6 | 4/5 | 10/18 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 50% | 80% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 2/2 | 2/3 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 67% | 89% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLLLWWLW
LLLWLWLWWL Tennis Scores in San Marino Challenger
- Alexandre MullerMuller – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Matteo GiganteGigante (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng – Gustavo HeideHeide (7-62 6-2) – See score progression
- Francisco ComesanaComesana – Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Marco Bortolotti/Matthew Christopher RomiosBortolotti/Matthew Christopher Romios – Daniel Dutra Da Silva/Nick HardtDutra Da Silva/Nick Hardt (w/o) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Alexandre MullerMuller (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng – Francisco ComesanaComesana (0-0) – H2H and prediction
