Gabriel Diallo and Joao Fonseca will play each other in the quarter of the Lexington Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 10:00 am on STADIUM 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gabriel Diallo who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Gabriel Diallo is the pick to win this match.
Gabriel Diallo -> 1.533
Joao Fonseca -> 2.39
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Prediction and head to head Gabriel Diallo vs. Joao Fonseca
This will be the 2nd time that Gabriel Diallo and Joao Fonseca fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Diallo (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Diallo won 7-6(1) 6-1 in the 2nd round in the Chicago Challenger back in July 2024.
Gabriel Diallo
26 - 17win/loss
86
86
LWWLWWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49-25 | 30-12 | 7-6 | 9-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-28 | 8-11 | 2-2 | 24-10 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 17-6 | 0-0 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-4 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 148, the Canadian reached the quarter after defeating Ryan Seggerman 7-6(3) 3-6 6-1 and Ethan Quinn 6-3 7-6(6).
In the 2nd round, Gabriel had a good straight sets win against Quinn (6-3 7-66). During the match, Diallo scored 73 points vs Quinn’s 59. Gabriel was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Diallo blasted 12 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Gabriel Diallo was extremely efficient on serve to win 84% (32/38) of his 1st serve and 77% (17/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Diallo broke Quinn once after converting 20% of his break points (1/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Gabriel has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Diallo has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 62% of his matches (110-66). 13-5 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Diallo has a composed53-29 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Chicago Challenger where he beat Bu Yunchaokete in the final 6-3 7-6(3).
Diallo has an overall 26-16 win-loss record in 2024, 13-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lexington Challenger
Joao Fonseca
21 - 16win/loss
149
149
WWLWLLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-22 | 8-3 | 14-11 | 7-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 11-6 | 1-1 | 10-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 214 (career-high), the Brazilian got to the quarter after beating Kaichi Uchida 6-3 6-3 and Liam Draxl 7-6(3) 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Joao had a good straight sets win against Draxl (7-63 7-5). During the match Fonseca scored 94 points vs Draxl’s 84. The Brazilian was quite aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Fonseca fired 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Joao Fonseca lost the serve 4 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Fonseca put 63% of his first serves in, winning 67% (37/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (17/33) on the 2nd serve. Joao broke Draxl 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Fonseca hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Joao’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Asuncion Challenger.
The Brazilian has a composed 19-16 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Diallo | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 51 | 43 |
| Pts | 164-138 | 158-137 |
| Total Points | 302 | 295 |
| Winners | 70 | 64 |
| %Winners | 43% | 41% |
Both Diallo and Fonseca played 2 matches. At the moment, Gabriel Diallo conceded 1 set while Joao Fonseca hasn’t dropped a set so far. Diallo has played 1 set more than Fonseca (5 vs 4). Therefore, Diallo played 8 games more than Fonseca. Diallo scored 70 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Fonseca struck 64 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Diallo | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 24 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 12 | 6 |
| 1st in | 89/142 | 91/145 |
| %1st in | 63% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 70/89 | 64/91 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 40/53 | 30/54 |
| %2nd pts | 75% | 56% |
Diallo managed to score 24 aces (12 per match). Fonseca blasted 12 aces (6 per match). Diallo won 79% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 75% of the points. On the other side, Fonseca won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Diallo | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 8 |
| Converted | 3/10 | 8/18 |
| % Converted | 30% | 44% |
| Conceded | 3 | 19 |
| Saved | 2 | 15 |
| % Saved | 67% | 79% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
Diallo broke his opponents 3 times with a 30% conversion rate. The Canadian dropped his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Joao broke his opponents 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Brazilian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded.
| Diallo | ||||
| R1 Seggerman |
R2 Quinn |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 3-6 6-1 | 6-3 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 22 | 51 | |
| pts | 91-79 | 73-59 | 164-138 | |
| Total points | 170 | 132 | 302 | |
| Winners | 38 | 32 | 70 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 44% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 51/82 | 38/60 | 89/142 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 38/51 | 32/38 | 70/89 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 84% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/31 | 17/22 | 40/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 74% | 77% | 75% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 1/5 | 3/10 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 20% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 0/0 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | – | 34% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Fonseca | ||||
| R1 Uchida |
R2 Draxl |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 7-63 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 25 | 43 | |
| pts | 64-53 | 94-84 | 158-137 | |
| Total points | 117 | 178 | 295 | |
| Winners | 27 | 37 | 64 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 39% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 5 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 36/57 | 55/88 | 91/145 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 27/36 | 37/55 | 64/91 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 67% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/21 | 17/33 | 30/54 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 52% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 5/12 | 8/18 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 42% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 11 | 19 | |
| Saved | 8/8 | 7/11 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 64% | 82% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWWWLW
WWLWLLWWWW Tennis Scores in Lexington Challenger
- Trey Hilderbrand/Alex LawsonHilderbrand/Alex Lawson – Hans Hach Verdugo/Niki Kaliyanda PoonachaHach Verdugo/Niki Kaliyanda Poonacha (6-4 6-76 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong – Micah BraswellBraswell (6-4 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Li TuTu – Emilio NavaNava (7-65 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
