Mikhail Kukushkin and August Holmgren will face off in the semifinal of the Porto Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:30 pm on CENTRAL EUPAGO. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mikhail Kukushkin who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mikhail Kukushkin is the pick to win this match.
Mikhail Kukushkin -> 1.65
August Holmgren -> 2.15

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Prediction and head to head Mikhail Kukushkin vs. August Holmgren

There is no head to head record between Mikhail Kukushkin and August Holmgren since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Mikhail Kukushkin

Ranked no. 134, Mikhail reached the semifinal after beating Jie Cui 3-6 6-2 6-1, Joris De Loore 7-6(4) 6-3 and Alex Martinez 6-4 6-1.

In the quarter, The Kazakhstani had a good straight sets win against Martinez (6-4 6-1). During the match, Kukushkin scored 60 points vs Martinez’s 36. Mikhail was exceptionally aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Regarding the service games, Kukushkin scored just 1 ace for the entire match and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults. Mikhail Kukushkin lost the serve once. Furthermore, Kukushkin put 63% of his first serves in, winning 69% (20/29) of the points behind his 1st serve and 71% (12/17) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Martinez 5 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Kukushkin has surrendered 1 set in this event to conquer 57% of the points he played.

Kukushkin has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 53% of his matches (280-246). 17-3 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Kukushkin has a compiled 132-94 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Manama Challenger where he overcame Richard Gasquet in the final 7-6(5) 6-4 and the Tenerife 3 Challenger where he defeated Matteo Gigante in the final 6-2 2-0 ret..

The Kazakhstani has an aggregate 40-20 win-loss record in 2024, 17-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Porto Challenger

Kukushkin has never competed in this tournament before.

August Holmgren

Ranked no. 249, August got to the semifinal after beating Michael Geerts 6-4 1-6 6-3, Timofey Skatov 7-6(6) 7-6(5) and Arthur Reymond 6-2 4-6 6-3.

In the quarter, The Dane defeated Reymond (6-2 4-6 6-3). During the match Holmgren scored 93 points vs Reymond’s 75. Holmgren was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about serving, Holmgren recorded 10 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, August Holmgren was extremely efficient on serve to win 84% (32/38) of his 1st serve and 53% (16/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Holmgren broke Reymond 5 times after converting 31% of his break points (5/16).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Holmgren has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Pozoblanco Challenger where he defeated Antoine Escoffier in the final 3-6 6-3 6-4.

August has a compiled 29-16 win-loss record in 2024, 22-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Kukushkin	Holmgren
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	8
Tot Games	63	79
Pts	210-158	257-238
Total Points	368	495
Winners	86	100
%Winners	41%	39%

Both Kukushkin and Holmgren played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Mikhail Kukushkin conceded 1 set, while August Holmgren lost 2 sets. Kukushkin has played 1 set(s) less than Holmgren (7 vs 8). Therefore, Kukushkin played 16 games less than Holmgren. Kukushkin scored 86 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Dane scored 100 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Kukushkin	Holmgren
Aces	6	22
Avg per match	2	7.3
1st in	120/184	138/236
%1st in	65%	58%
1st pts	86/120	100/138
%1st pts	72%	72%
2nd pts	41/64	54/98
%2nd pts	64%	55%

Kukushkin fired 6 aces (2 per match). Holmgren fired 22 aces (7.3 per match). Kukushkin won 72% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Holmgren won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Kukushkin	Holmgren
Won	12	11
Converted	12/16	11/30
% Converted	75%	37%
Conceded	8	21
Saved	4	13
% Saved	50%	62%
Times Broken	4	8

Kukushkin broke his opponents 12 times with a 75% conversion rate. Mikhail lost his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. August broke his opponents 11 times with a 37% conversion rate. Holmgren conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.

Kukushkin
	R1 Cui	R2 De Loore	1/4 Martinez	Total
Score	3-6 6-2 6-1	7-64 6-3	6-4 6-1
Tot Set	3	2	2	7
Tot Games	24	22	17	63
pts	82-65	68-57	60-36	210-158
Total points	147	125	96	368
Winners	37	29	20	86
%Winners	45%	43%	33%	41%
SERVE
Aces	1	4	1	6
Double Faults	2	0	0	2
1st in	51/73	40/65	29/46	120/184
% 1st in	70%	62%	63%	65%
1st pts	37/51	29/40	20/29	86/120
% 1st pts	73%	73%	69%	72%
2nd pts	11/22	18/25	12/17	41/64
% 2nd pts	50%	72%	71%	64%
Breaks
Won	5	2	5	12
Converted	5/8	2/3	5/5	12/16
Converted %	63%	67%	100%	75%
Conceded	4	3	1	8
Saved	2/4	2/3	0/1	4
Saved %	50%	67%	0%	39%
Times Broken	2	1	1	4

Holmgren
	R1 Geerts	R2 Skatov	1/4 Reymond	Total
Score	6-4 1-6 6-3	7-66 7-65	6-2 4-6 6-3
Tot Set	3	2	3	8
Tot Games	26	26	27	79
pts	79-79	85-84	93-75	257-238
Total points	158	169	168	495
Winners	33	35	32	100
%Winners	42%	41%	34%	39%
SERVE
Aces	6	6	10	22
Double Faults	5	3	4	12
1st in	47/77	53/91	38/68	138/236
% 1st in	61%	58%	56%	58%
1st pts	33/47	35/53	32/38	100/138
% 1st pts	70%	66%	84%	72%
2nd pts	17/30	21/38	16/30	54/98
% 2nd pts	57%	55%	53%	55%
Breaks
Won	3	3	5	11
Converted	3/9	3/5	5/16	11/30
Converted %	33%	60%	31%	37%
Conceded	9	8	4	21
Saved	6/9	5/8	2/4	13
Saved %	67%	63%	50%	60%
Times Broken	3	3	2	8

Tennis Scores in Porto Challenger

• Sander Arends/Luke JohnsonArends/Luke Johnson – Karol Drzewiecki/Piotr MatuszewskiDrzewiecki/Piotr Matuszewski (6-3 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin – August HolmgrenHolmgren (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas – (0-0) – H2H and prediction