Hugo Grenier and Learner Tien will square off in the quarter of the Lexington Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 10:00 am on COURT 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Learner Tien who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Learner Tien is the pick to win this match.
Learner Tien -> 1.77
Hugo Grenier -> 1.98
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Prediction and head to head Hugo Grenier vs. Learner Tien
There is no head to head record between Hugo Grenier and Learner Tien since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Hugo Grenier
27 - 23win/loss
156
95
LLWLWLWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-33 | 25-15 | 2-8 | 9-8 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-33 | 15-8 | 7-10 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-35 | 21-14 | 9-10 | 1-8 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-28 | 22-9 | 9-8 | 12-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-16 | 7-2 | 5-9 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 187, Grenier got to the quarter after defeating Aidan Mchugh 2-6 6-4 6-3 and Aidan Mayo 6-3 2-6 6-0.
In the 2nd round, Grenier defeated Mayo (6-3 2-6 6-0). During the match, Grenier scored 84 points vs Mayo’s 71. Grenier was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Grenier bagged 7 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Hugo Grenier lost the serve 3 times and he saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Grenier put 58% of his first serves in, winning 67% (33/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (17/36) on the 2nd serve. Hugo broke Mayo 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Hugo has dropped 2 set in this event to win 52% of the points he played.
Grenier has good record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (362-269). 19-10 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Grenier has an aggregate 201-102 match record in the last years on hard.
The French player best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Granby Challenger.
Hugo has a composed 26-22 win-loss record in 2024, 19-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lexington Challenger
Learner Tien
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 60-12 | 53-8 | 0-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-10 | 20-10 | 0-0 | 10-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 12-11 | 8-5 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 242 (career-high), Tien reached the quarter after defeating Rio Noguchi 6-4 6-1 and Arthur Gea 4-6 7-6(7) 6-0.
In the 2nd round against Gea, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-67 6-0). During the match Tien scored 96 points vs Gea’s 91. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about serving, Tien struck 5 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Learner Tien was exceptionally effective on serve to win 72% (43/60) of his 1st serve and 54% (19/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The American broke Gea 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Learner has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Bloomfield Hills Challenger where he overcame Nishesh Basavareddy in the final 4-6 6-3 6-4.
Learner has an aggregate 34-4 win-loss record in 2024, 34-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Grenier | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 50 | 46 |
| Pts | 174-163 | 164-142 |
| Total Points | 337 | 306 |
| Winners | 61 | 64 |
| %Winners | 35% | 39% |
Both Grenier and Tien played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Hugo Grenier dropped 2 sets, while Learner Tien dropped 1 set. Grenier has played 1 set more than Tien (6 vs 5). Therefore, Grenier played 4 games more than Tien. The French player scored 61 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Learner blasted 64 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Grenier | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 8.5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 98/176 | 89/155 |
| %1st in | 56% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 61/98 | 64/89 |
| %1st pts | 62% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 34/78 | 37/66 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 56% |
Grenier fired 17 aces (8.5 per match). Tien recorded 6 aces (3 per match). Grenier won 62% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Tien won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Grenier | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 8 |
| Converted | 11/26 | 8/18 |
| % Converted | 42% | 44% |
| Conceded | 26 | 15 |
| Saved | 17 | 12 |
| % Saved | 65% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 3 |
Hugo broke his opponents 11 times with a 42% conversion rate. The French player lost his serve 9 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded. Learner broke his opponents 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. Learner conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Grenier | ||||
| R1 Mchugh |
R2 Mayo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 2-6 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 23 | 50 | |
| pts | 90-92 | 84-71 | 174-163 | |
| Total points | 182 | 155 | 337 | |
| Winners | 28 | 33 | 61 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 39% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 10 | 7 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 10 | 7 | 17 | |
| 1st in | 49/91 | 49/85 | 98/176 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 58% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 28/49 | 33/49 | 61/98 | |
| % 1st pts | 57% | 67% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/42 | 17/36 | 34/78 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 47% | 44% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/17 | 5/9 | 11/26 | |
| Converted % | 35% | 56% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 15 | 26 | |
| Saved | 5/11 | 12/15 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 45% | 80% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tien | ||||
| R1 Noguchi |
R2 Gea |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | 4-6 7-67 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 29 | 46 | |
| pts | 68-51 | 96-91 | 164-142 | |
| Total points | 119 | 187 | 306 | |
| Winners | 21 | 43 | 64 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 45% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 29/60 | 60/95 | 89/155 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 63% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 21/29 | 43/60 | 64/89 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/31 | 19/35 | 37/66 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 54% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/11 | 8/18 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 36% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 9 | 15 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 7/9 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 78% | 81% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWLWWWL
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