Aryna Sabalenka and Victoria Azarenka will play each other in the quarter of the Mubadala Citi DC Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.33
Victoria Azarenka -> 3.34

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Victoria Azarenka

This will be the 6th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Victoria Azarenka fight against each other. The head to head is 4-1 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard.

The last time that they played, Sabalenka won 6-2 6-4 in the semifinal in Brisbane back in January 2024.

Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka

31 - 9win/loss

Hard
15-4
I Hard
0-0
Clay
15-4
Grass
1-1
Rank
3
High
1
WLWLWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 31-9 15-4 15-4 0-0 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 3, the Belarussian got to the quarter after beating Unknown Player bye and Kamilla Rakhimova 7-5 4-6 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Sabalenka defeated Rakhimova (7-5 4-6 6-4). During the match, Sabalenka scored 114 points vs Rakhimova’s 110. The Belarussian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sabalenka recorded 13 aces and she was not very consistent on her 2nd serve to score 14 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve 3 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 50% of her first serves in, winning 75% (41/55) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (26/54) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Rakhimova 4 times after converting 24% of her break points (4/17).

Sabalenka has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 68% of her matches (349-163). 15-4 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sabalenka has a composed204-89 match record in the last 9 years on hard.

Her best result of the current year was conquering the title at the Australian Open where she defeated Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2.

The Belarussian has an aggregate 31-9 win-loss record in 2024, 15-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Washington

Washington
Sabalenka's Record

Victoria Azarenka

Victoria Azarenka

26 - 11win/loss

Hard
16-6
I Hard
0-0
Clay
7-4
Grass
3-1
Rank
20
High
1
WWLWWWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 26-11 16-6 7-4 0-0 3-1 0-0
2023 23-19 17-13 2-3 0-0 4-3 0-0
2022 24-13 18-9 6-3 0-1 0-0 0-0
2021 28-9 18-6 4-1 0-0 6-2 0-0
2020 18-6 11-3 4-2 3-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 20, the Belarussian got to the quarter after beating Hailey Baptiste 7-6(6) 7-6(3) and Yafan Wang 6-1 6-7(5) 6-3.

In the 2nd round, The Belarussian defeated Wang (6-1 6-75 6-3). During the match Azarenka scored 111 points vs Wang’s 90. Victoria was extremely aggressive to blast 41 winners.

About the serving games, Azarenka bagged 6 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Victoria Azarenka lost the serve 4 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Azarenka put 60% of her first serves in, winning 69% (41/59) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (17/39) on the 2nd serve. Azarenka broke Wang 7 times after converting 41% of her break points (7/17).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Azarenka has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.

The Belarussian’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Brisbane, Miami and Berlin.

The Belarussian has an aggregate 26-11 win-loss record in 2024, 16-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Washington

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2022. See her history.

Washington
Azarenka's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Sabalenka
V.Azarenka
2h:46
2h:46
Time on court​
!
5h:01
5h:01
!
2h:46
2h:46
Last match​
!
2h:38
2h:38
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
32
32
Games Played​
55
55
3
3
Set played​​
5
5
114
114
Total points​
198
198
114
114
Avg point​
99
99
41
41
Winners
82
82
41
41
Avg Winners​
41
41
36%
36%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
13
13
Aces
8
8
!
13
13
Avg Aces
4
4
14
14
Double Faults
11
11
!
14
14
Avg Double Faults
!
5.5
5.5
41/55
41/55
1st won total​
82/117
82/117
!
75%
75%
1st won %
70%
70%
26/54
26/54
2nd won total​
34/76
34/76
48%
48%
2nd won %
45%
45%
-- Break Points --
4/17
4/17
BP won
9/21
9/21
4/17
4/17
Avg BP won
4.5/10.5
4.5/10.5
!
24%
24%
Won
43%
43%
12
12
Conceded
19
19
12
12
Avg Conceded
9.5
9.5
3
3
Broken
6
6
3
3
Avg Broken
3
3
9
9
Saved
13
13

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sabalenka Azarenka
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 3 5
Tot Games 32 55
Pts 114-110 198-178
Total Points 224 376
Winners 41 82
%Winners 36% 41%

Sabalenka played 1 match while Azarenka competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Aryna Sabalenka surrendered 1 set, while Victoria Azarenka lost 1 set. Sabalenka has played 2 set(s) less than Azarenka (3 vs 5). Therefore, Sabalenka played 23 games less than Azarenka. Sabalenka scored 41 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Victoria fired 82 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sabalenka Azarenka
Aces 13 8
Avg per match 13 4
1st in 55/109 117/193
%1st in 50% 61%
1st pts 41/55 82/117
%1st pts 75% 70%
2nd pts 26/54 34/76
%2nd pts 48% 45%

Sabalenka blasted 13 aces . Azarenka fired 8 aces (4 per match). Sabalenka won 75% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Azarenka won 70% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sabalenka Azarenka
Won 4 9
Converted 4/17 9/21
% Converted 24% 43%
Conceded 12 19
Saved 9 13
% Saved 75% 68%
Times Broken 3 6

Aryna broke her opponent 4 times with a 24% conversion rate. Sabalenka lost her serve 3 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. Victoria broke her opponents 9 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Belarussian conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
R2
Rakhimova
Total
Score 7-5 4-6 6-4
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 32 32
pts 114-110 114-110
Total points 224 224
Winners 41 41
%Winners 36% 36%
SERVE
Aces 13 13
Double Faults 14 14
1st in 55/109 55/109
% 1st in 50% 50%
1st pts 41/55 41/55
% 1st pts 75% 75%
2nd pts 26/54 26/54
% 2nd pts 48% 48%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/17 4/17
Converted % 24% 24%
Conceded 12 12
Saved 9/12 9
Saved % 75% 75%
Times Broken 3 3
Azarenka
R1
Baptiste
R2
Wang
Total
Score 7-66 7-63 6-1 6-75 6-3
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 26 29 55
pts 87-88 111-90 198-178
Total points 175 201 376
Winners 41 41 82
%Winners 47% 37% 41%
SERVE
Aces 2 6 8
Double Faults 3 8 11
1st in 58/95 59/98 117/193
% 1st in 61% 60% 61%
1st pts 41/58 41/59 82/117
% 1st pts 71% 69% 70%
2nd pts 17/37 17/39 34/76
% 2nd pts 46% 44% 45%
Breaks
Won 2 7 9
Converted 2/4 7/17 9/21
Converted % 50% 41% 43%
Conceded 8 11 19
Saved 6/8 7/11 13
Saved % 75% 64% 139%
Times Broken 2 4 6

Tennis Scores in Washington

Upcoming matches in the draw