Carlos Alcaraz and Felix Auger-Aliassime will play each other in the semifinal of the Olympics for the 7^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:30 pm on Court Philippe Chatrier. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.142
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 6

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime

This will be the 7^th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Felix Auger-Aliassime fight against each other. The head to head is 3-3 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they played, Alcaraz won 6-3 6-3 6-1 in the 4^th round in at the French Open back in June 2024.

Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassime – French Open 02-June-2024

Carlos Alcaraz

Ranked no. 3, the Spaniard got to the semifinal after beating Hady Habib 6-3 6-1, Tallon Griekspoor 6-1 7-6(3), Roman Safiullin 6-4 6-2 and Tommy Paul 6-3 7-6(7).

In the quarter, Alcaraz had a good straight sets win against Paul (6-3 7-6⁷). During the match, Alcaraz scored 76 points vs Paul’s 71. Alcaraz was quite aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Regarding the service games, Alcaraz recorded 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Carlos Alcaraz was very efficient on serve to win 71% (42/59) of his 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Carlos broke Paul twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Alcaraz has a fantastic match record in the last 7 years having won 80% of his matches (270-69). 16-3 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alcaraz has a composed140-34 match record in the last 7 years on clay.

His best result of the year was conquering the title in Indian Wells where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(5) 6-1 and at the French Open where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 2-6 5-7 6-1 6-2 and at the Wimbledon where he defeated Novak Djokovic in the final 6-2 6-2 7-6(4).

Carlos has a compiled 37-6 win-loss record in 2024, 16-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Olympics

The Spaniard has never competed in this tournament before.

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Ranked no. 19, Felix reached the semifinal after beating Marcos Giron 6-1 6-4

, Maximilian Marterer 6-0 6-1, Daniil Medvedev 6-3 7-6(5) and Casper Ruud 6-4 6-7(8) 6-3.

In the quarter, The Canadian defeated Ruud (6-4 6-7⁸ 6-3). During the match Auger-Aliassime scored 105 points vs Ruud’s 94. The Canadian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 47 winners.

About the serving games, Auger-Aliassime struck 14 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Felix Auger-Aliassime was exceptionally effective on serve to win 82% (47/57) of his 1st serve and 59% (19/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Felix broke Ruud 3 times after converting 19% of his break points (3/16).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Canadian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

The Canadian’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Madrid.

Felix has a composed 25-16 win-loss record in 2024, 17-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Alcaraz	Auger-Aliassime
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	8	9
Tot Games	76	84
Pts	276-214	295-217
Total Points	490	512
Winners	123	126
%Winners	45%	43%

Both Alcaraz and Auger-Aliassime played 4 matches. At the moment, Felix Auger-Aliassime conceded 1 set while Carlos Alcaraz hasn’t conceded a set so far. Alcaraz has played 1 set(s) less than Auger-Aliassime (8 vs 9). Therefore, Alcaraz played 8 games less than Auger-Aliassime. Carlos scored 123 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Auger-Aliassime recorded 126 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Alcaraz	Auger-Aliassime
Aces	21	40
Avg per match	5.3	10
1st in	169/242	145/228
%1st in	70%	64%
1st pts	123/169	126/145
%1st pts	73%	87%
2nd pts	46/73	52/83
%2nd pts	63%	63%

Alcaraz bagged 21 aces (5.3 per match). Auger-Aliassime bagged 40 aces (10 per match). Alcaraz won 73% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Auger-Aliassime won 87% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Alcaraz	Auger-Aliassime
Won	12	13
Converted	12/29	13/38
% Converted	41%	34%
Conceded	12	1
Saved	10	0
% Saved	83%	0%
Times Broken	2	1

Carlos broke his opponents 12 times with a 41% conversion rate. Carlos dropped his serve twice and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. The Canadian broke his opponents 13 times with a 34% conversion rate. Felix conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
	R1 Habib	R2 Griekspoor	R3 Safiullin	1/4 Paul	Total
Score	6-3 6-1	6-1 7-63	6-4 6-2	6-3 7-67
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	16	20	18	22	76
pts	68-42	71-57	61-44	76-71	276-214
Total points	110	128	105	147	490
Winners	26	31	24	42	123
%Winners	38%	44%	39%	55%	45%
SERVE
Aces	5	5	5	6	21
Double Faults	2	1	0	2	5
1st in	33/47	47/69	30/47	59/79	169/242
% 1st in	70%	68%	64%	75%	70%
1st pts	26/33	31/47	24/30	42/59	123/169
% 1st pts	79%	66%	80%	71%	73%
2nd pts	10/14	17/22	8/17	11/20	46/73
% 2nd pts	71%	77%	47%	55%	63%
Breaks
Won	4	2	4	2	12
Converted	4/13	2/3	4/8	2/5	12/29
Converted %	31%	67%	50%	40%	41%
Conceded	4	2	1	5	12
Saved	4/4	2/2	0/1	4/5	10
Saved %	100%	100%	0%	80%	70%
Times Broken	0	0	1	1	2

Auger-Aliassime
	R1 Giron	R2 Marterer	R3 Medvedev	1/4 Ruud	Total
Score	6-1 6-4	6-0 6-1	6-3 7-65	6-4 6-78 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	9
Tot Games	17	13	22	32	84
pts	60-34	57-30	73-59	105-94	295-217
Total points	94	87	132	199	512
Winners	24	17	38	47	126
%Winners	40%	30%	52%	45%	43%
SERVE
Aces	10	7	9	14	40
Double Faults	0	4	2	4	10
1st in	25/40	20/37	43/62	57/89	145/228
% 1st in	63%	54%	69%	64%	64%
1st pts	24/25	17/20	38/43	47/57	126/145
% 1st pts	96%	85%	88%	82%	87%
2nd pts	13/15	10/17	10/19	19/32	52/83
% 2nd pts	87%	59%	53%	59%	63%
Breaks
Won	3	6	1	3	13
Converted	3/6	6/12	1/4	3/16	13/38
Converted %	50%	50%	25%	19%	34%
Conceded	0	0	0	1	1
Saved	0/0	0/0	0/0	0/1	0
Saved %	–	–	–	0%	0%
Times Broken	0	0	0	1	1

Tennis Scores in Paris

• Austin Krajicek/Rajeev RamKrajicek/Rajeev Ram – Tomas Machac/Adam PavlasekMachac/Adam Pavlasek (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-1) – H2H and prediction
• Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (3-3) – H2H and prediction