
Alexander Zverev and Lorenzo Musetti will square off in the quarter of the Olympics for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 2:00 pm on Court Suzanne Lenglen. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Zverev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alexander Zverev is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Zverev -> 1.42
Lorenzo Musetti -> 2.95
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Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Lorenzo Musetti
This will be the 2nd time that Alexander Zverev and Lorenzo Musetti fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Zverev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Zverev won 6-3 1-0 ret. in the 3rd round in Madrid back in 2022.
Alexander Zverev
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 12-4 | 9-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 71-21 | 31-10 | 23-6 | 11-3 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 55-27 | 22-13 | 20-7 | 8-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 29-10 | 9-4 | 17-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2021 | 59-15 | 28-6 | 14-4 | 13-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, the German reached the quarter after defeating Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 6-2 6-2, Tomas Machac 6-3 7-5 and Alexei Popyrin 7-5 6-3.
In the 3rd round, Alexander had a good straight sets win against Popyrin (7-5 6-3). During the match, Zverev scored 72 points vs Popyrin’s 53. The German was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Zverev fired 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Alexander Zverev was pretty efficient on serve to win 84% (27/32) of his 1st serve and 74% (14/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The German broke Popyrin 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The German hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 59% of the points he played.
Zverev has a marvellous win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 70% of his matches (461-194). 23-5 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Zverev has a compiled 157-53 match record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Australia where he beat Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-7(3) 7-6(6) 6-4 and in Rome where he beat Nicolas Jarry in the final 6-4 7-5.
Zverev has an overall 47-13 win-loss record in 2024, 23-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Olympics
Lorenzo Musetti
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 4-2 | 3-2 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 46-30 | 13-12 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16, the Italian got to the quarter after defeating Gael Monfils 6-1 6-4, Mariano Navone 7-6(2) 6-3 and Taylor Fritz 6-4 7-5.
In the 3rd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Fritz (6-4 7-5). During the match Musetti scored 61 points vs Fritz’s 55. Lorenzo was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Musetti recorded 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Lorenzo Musetti was quite effective on serve to win 79% (31/39) of his 1st serve and 53% (10/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Lorenzo broke Fritz 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Musetti’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Cagliari Challenger,the Turin Challenger, London and Umag.
The Italian has an aggregate 35-21 win-loss record in 2024, 16-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Zverev | Musetti |
---|---|---|
Match played | 3 | 3 |
Tot Set | 6 | 6 |
Tot Games | 58 | 61 |
Pts | 211-145 | 207-165 |
Total Points | 356 | 372 |
Winners | 80 | 85 |
%Winners | 38% | 41% |
Both Zverev and Musetti played 3 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Zverev and Musetti have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Zverev played 3 games less than Musetti. Zverev scored 80 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian managed to score 85 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Zverev | Musetti |
---|---|---|
Aces | 25 | 9 |
Avg per match | 8.3 | 3 |
1st in | 99/154 | 114/179 |
%1st in | 64% | 64% |
1st pts | 80/99 | 85/114 |
%1st pts | 81% | 75% |
2nd pts | 36/55 | 37/65 |
%2nd pts | 65% | 57% |
Zverev recorded 25 aces (8.3 per match). Musetti fired 9 aces (3 per match). Zverev won 81% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Musetti won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Zverev | Musetti |
---|---|---|
Won | 11 | 10 |
Converted | 11/22 | 10/19 |
% Converted | 50% | 53% |
Conceded | 4 | 8 |
Saved | 1 | 4 |
% Saved | 25% | 50% |
Times Broken | 3 | 4 |
Alexander broke his opponents 11 times with a 50% conversion rate. The German lost his serve 3 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded. Musetti broke his opponents 10 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
Zverev | |||||
R1 Munar Clar |
R2 Machac |
R3 Popyrin |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-2 6-2 | 6-3 7-5 | 7-5 6-3 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
Tot Games | 16 | 21 | 21 | 58 | |
pts | 68-44 | 71-48 | 72-53 | 211-145 | |
Total points | 112 | 119 | 125 | 356 | |
Winners | 25 | 28 | 27 | 80 | |
%Winners | 37% | 39% | 38% | 38% | |
SERVE | |||||
Aces | 8 | 9 | 8 | 25 | |
Double Faults | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
1st in | 31/46 | 36/57 | 32/51 | 99/154 | |
% 1st in | 67% | 63% | 63% | 64% | |
1st pts | 25/31 | 28/36 | 27/32 | 80/99 | |
% 1st pts | 81% | 78% | 84% | 81% | |
2nd pts | 10/15 | 12/21 | 14/19 | 36/55 | |
% 2nd pts | 67% | 57% | 74% | 65% | |
Breaks | |||||
Won | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11 | |
Converted | 4/10 | 4/7 | 3/5 | 11/22 | |
Converted % | 40% | 57% | 60% | 50% | |
Conceded | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
Saved | 1/1 | 0/2 | 0/1 | 1 | |
Saved % | 100% | 0% | 0% | 33% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Musetti | |||||
R1 Monfils |
R2 Navone |
R3 Fritz |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-1 6-4 | 7-62 6-3 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
Tot Games | 17 | 22 | 22 | 61 | |
pts | 72-48 | 74-62 | 61-55 | 207-165 | |
Total points | 120 | 136 | 116 | 372 | |
Winners | 21 | 33 | 31 | 85 | |
%Winners | 29% | 45% | 51% | 41% | |
SERVE | |||||
Aces | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
1st in | 29/50 | 46/71 | 39/58 | 114/179 | |
% 1st in | 58% | 65% | 67% | 64% | |
1st pts | 21/29 | 33/46 | 31/39 | 85/114 | |
% 1st pts | 72% | 72% | 79% | 75% | |
2nd pts | 15/21 | 12/25 | 10/19 | 37/65 | |
% 2nd pts | 71% | 48% | 53% | 57% | |
Breaks | |||||
Won | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
Converted | 4/11 | 3/4 | 3/4 | 10/19 | |
Converted % | 36% | 75% | 75% | 53% | |
Conceded | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
Saved | 2/3 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 4 | |
Saved % | 67% | 33% | 50% | 50% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Head 2 Head



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- Alexander ZverevZverev – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (2-3) – H2H and prediction
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