Li Tu and James Kent Trotter will square off in the 2^nd round of the Lexington Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 1:30 pm on STADIUM 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Li Tu who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Li Tu is the pick to win this match.
Li Tu -> 1.74
James Kent Trotter -> 2.02

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Prediction and head to head Li Tu vs. James Kent Trotter

There is no head to head record between Li Tu and James Kent Trotter since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Li Tu

Ranked no. 222, Tu reached the 2^nd round after beating Taha Baadi 1-6 6-2 6-4.

In the 1^st round against Baadi, Li recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-2 6-4). During the match, Tu scored 75 points vs Baadi’s 74. The Australian was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about the service games, Tu struck 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Li Tu lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Tu put 58% of his first serves in, winning 68% (32/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (18/34) on the 2nd serve. Tu broke Baadi 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Tu has a solid match record in the last 5 years having won 65% of his matches (149-82). 15-11 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Tu has a composed106-50 win-loss record in the last 5 years on hard.

Li’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Traralgon.

Li has a compiled 20-17 win-loss record in 2024, 15-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lexington Challenger

James Kent Trotter

Ranked no. 322, James reached the 2^nd round after beating Ozan Baris 6-1 6-4, Yusuke Takahashi 4-6 6-2 6-1 and Tung-Lin Wu 6-3 6-4.

In the 1^st round, James had a good straight sets win against Wu (6-3 6-4). During the match Kent scored 64 points vs Wu’s 56. The Japanese was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.

About the serving games, Kent made 7 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, James Kent Trotter was extremely effective on serve to win 72% (31/43) of his 1st serve and 54% (14/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Kent broke Wu 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

His best result of the year was winning the title the Tyler Challenger where he defeated Brandon Holt in the final 6-2 7-6(3).

Kent has an overall 25-16 win-loss record in 2024, 18-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Tu	Kent
Match played	1	3
Tot Set	3	7
Tot Games	25	61
Pts	75-74	203-164
Total Points	149	367
Winners	32	90
%Winners	43%	44%

Tu played 1 match while Kent competed in 3 matches. Kent started his run from the qualifications while Tu had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Li Tu lost 1 set, while James Kent Trotter dropped 1 set. Tu has played 4 set(s) less than Kent (3 vs 7). Therefore, Tu played 36 games less than Kent. The Australian scored 32 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Kent fired 90 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Tu	Kent
Aces	6	19
Avg per match	6	6.3
1st in	47/81	116/198
%1st in	58%	59%
1st pts	32/47	90/116
%1st pts	68%	78%
2nd pts	18/34	46/82
%2nd pts	53%	56%

Tu recorded 6 aces . Kent scored 19 aces (6.3 per match). Tu won 68% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Kent won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Tu	Kent
Won	3	10
Converted	3/7	10/15
% Converted	43%	67%
Conceded	6	6
Saved	3	4
% Saved	50%	67%
Times Broken	3	2

Li broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Tu surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponents 10 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Tu
	R1 Baadi	Total
Score	1-6 6-2 6-4
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	25	25
pts	75-74	75-74
Total points	149	149
Winners	32	32
%Winners	43%	43%
SERVE
Aces	6	6
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	47/81	47/81
% 1st in	58%	58%
1st pts	32/47	32/47
% 1st pts	68%	68%
2nd pts	18/34	18/34
% 2nd pts	53%	53%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/7	3/7
Converted %	43%	43%
Conceded	6	6
Saved	3/6	3
Saved %	50%	50%
Times Broken	3	3

Kent
	Q1 Baris	Q3 Takahashi	R1 Wu	Total
Score	6-1 6-4	4-6 6-2 6-1	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	2	7
Tot Games	17	25	19	61
pts	58-42	81-66	64-56	203-164
Total points	100	147	120	367
Winners	26	33	31	90
%Winners	45%	41%	48%	44%
SERVE
Aces	3	9	7	19
Double Faults	1	6	5	12
1st in	33/50	40/79	43/69	116/198
% 1st in	66%	51%	62%	59%
1st pts	26/33	33/40	31/43	90/116
% 1st pts	79%	83%	72%	78%
2nd pts	11/17	21/39	14/26	46/82
% 2nd pts	65%	54%	54%	56%
Breaks
Won	3	4	3	10
Converted	3/4	4/4	3/7	10/15
Converted %	75%	100%	43%	67%
Conceded	0	3	3	6
Saved	0/0	2/3	2/3	4
Saved %	–	67%	67%	134%
Times Broken	0	1	1	2

Tennis Scores in Lexington Challenger

• Micah BraswellBraswell – Bernard TomicTomic (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong – Andres AndradeAndrade (4-6 6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Joao FonsecaFonseca – Liam DraxlDraxl (7-6³ 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Li TuTu – James Kent TrotterKent Trotter (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Omni KumarKumar – Emilio NavaNava (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Micah BraswellBraswell – (0-0) – H2H and prediction