Marta Kostyuk and Donna Vekic will clash against each other in the quarter of the Olympics for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 6:00 pm on Court Philippe Chatrier. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Donna Vekic who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Donna Vekic is the pick to win this match.
Donna Vekic -> 1.75
Marta Kostyuk -> 2.12
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Prediction and head to head Marta Kostyuk vs. Donna Vekic
This will be the 2nd time that Marta Kostyuk and Donna Vekic face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Vekic (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Vekic won 7-5 6-4 in the 2nd round in at the French Open back in May 2024.
Marta Kostyuk
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 34-22 | 24-14 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-22 | 22-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-20 | 18-11 | 3-4 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-17 | 8-9 | 10-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, Kostyuk reached the quarter after beating Lulu Sun 6-4 6-3, Clara Burel 7-6(3) 6-2 and Maria Sakkari 4-6 7-6(5) 6-4.
In the 3rd round against Sakkari, Kostyuk recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-65 6-4). During the match, Kostyuk scored 115 points vs Sakkari’s 110. The Ukrainian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kostyuk couldn’t to score even 1 ace during the encounter and she was not very solid on her 2nd serve to score 13 double faults. Marta Kostyuk lost the serve 10 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kostyuk put 68% of her first serves in, winning 55% (36/66) of the points behind her 1st serve and 23% (7/31) on the 2nd serve. Marta broke Sakkari 10 times after converting 53% of her break points (10/19).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kostyuk has conceded 1 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points she played.
Kostyuk has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 63% of her matches (209-121). 8-4 on clay in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kostyuk has an overall72-36 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.
Marta’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in San Diego and Stuttgart.
Marta has an overall 25-13 win-loss record in 2024, 8-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Olympics
The Ukrainian has never competed in this tournament before.
Donna Vekic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-20 | 12-10 | 8-5 | 2-1 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-20 | 16-9 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-20 | 10-9 | 9-6 | 2-1 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-16 | 10-12 | 0-1 | 5-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21, Donna reached the quarter after defeating Lucia Bronzetti 6-2 7-5, Bianca Vanessa Andreescu 6-3 6-4 and Cori Gauff 7-6(7) 6-2.
In the 3rd round, The Croatian had a good straight sets win against Gauff (7-67 6-2). During the match Vekic scored 80 points vs Gauff’s 65. Donna was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.
About the serving games, Vekic managed to score 5 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Donna Vekic lost the serve twice and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Vekic put 54% of her first serves in, winning 76% (32/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (15/33) on the 2nd serve. Vekic broke Gauff 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Donna hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Donna’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Bad Homburg.
Vekic has a composed 25-15 win-loss record in 2024, 6-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kostyuk | Vekic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 73 | 60 |
| Pts | 282-247 | 235-186 |
| Total Points | 529 | 421 |
| Winners | 95 | 74 |
| %Winners | 34% | 31% |
Both Kostyuk and Vekic played 3 matches. At the moment, Marta Kostyuk conceded 1 set while Donna Vekic hasn’t conceded a set so far. Kostyuk has played 1 set more than Vekic (7 vs 6). Therefore, Kostyuk played 13 games more than Vekic. Marta scored 95 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Vekic made 74 winners (31%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kostyuk | Vekic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 3 |
| 1st in | 157/244 | 110/216 |
| %1st in | 64% | 51% |
| 1st pts | 95/157 | 74/110 |
| %1st pts | 61% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 33/87 | 50/99 |
| %2nd pts | 38% | 51% |
Kostyuk fired 3 aces (1 per match). Vekic struck 9 aces (3 per match). Kostyuk won 61% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 38% of the points. On the other side, Vekic won 67% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kostyuk | Vekic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 20 | 17 |
| Converted | 20/40 | 17/35 |
| % Converted | 50% | 49% |
| Conceded | 29 | 22 |
| Saved | 13 | 13 |
| % Saved | 45% | 59% |
| Times Broken | 16 | 9 |
The Ukrainian broke her opponents 20 times with a 50% conversion rate. Kostyuk lost her serve 16 times and she saved 45% of the break points that she conceded. The Croatian broke her opponents 17 times with a 49% conversion rate. Vekic conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 59% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kostyuk | |||||
| R1 Sun |
R2 Burel |
R3 Sakkari |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 7-63 6-2 | 4-6 7-65 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 21 | 33 | 73 | |
| pts | 68-52 | 99-85 | 115-110 | 282-247 | |
| Total points | 120 | 184 | 225 | 529 | |
| Winners | 21 | 38 | 36 | 95 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 38% | 31% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | 13 | 27 | |
| 1st in | 28/55 | 63/92 | 66/97 | 157/244 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 68% | 68% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 21/28 | 38/63 | 36/66 | 95/157 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 60% | 55% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/27 | 13/29 | 7/31 | 33/87 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 45% | 23% | 38% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | 20 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/11 | 10/19 | 20/40 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 45% | 53% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 10 | 12 | 29 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 7/10 | 2/12 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 70% | 17% | 48% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 10 | 16 | |
| Vekic | |||||
| R1 Bronzetti |
R2 Andreescu |
R3 Gauff |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-5 | 6-3 6-4 | 7-67 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 19 | 21 | 60 | |
| pts | 78-56 | 77-65 | 80-65 | 235-186 | |
| Total points | 134 | 142 | 145 | 421 | |
| Winners | 19 | 23 | 32 | 74 | |
| %Winners | 24% | 30% | 40% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 29/62 | 39/76 | 42/78 | 110/216 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 51% | 54% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 19/29 | 23/39 | 32/42 | 74/110 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 59% | 76% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/33 | 17/33 | 15/33 | 50/99 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 52% | 45% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 7 | 4 | 17 | |
| Converted | 6/16 | 7/13 | 4/6 | 17/35 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 54% | 67% | 49% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 10 | 9 | 22 | |
| Saved | 0/3 | 6/10 | 7/9 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 60% | 78% | 46% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
LL
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (6-1) – H2H and prediction
- Angelique KerberKerber – Qinwen ZhengZheng (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Anna SchmiedlovaSchmiedlova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Donna VekicVekic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
