Daniil Medvedev and Felix Auger-Aliassime will play each other in the 3rd round of the Olympics for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 4:00 pm on Court Simonne Mathieu. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.49
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 2.625
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime
This will be the 8th time that Daniil Medvedev and Felix Auger-Aliassime play each other. The head to head is 7-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Medvedev won 6-3 6-4 6-3 in the 3rd round in at the Australian Open back in January 2024.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Felix Auger-Aliassime – Australian Open 20-January-2024
Daniil Medvedev
35 - 11win/loss
5
1
LWLLLWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-10 | 14-4 | 0-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, Daniil got to the 3rd round after defeating Rinky Hijikata 6-2 6-1 and Sebastian Ofner 6-2 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Ofner (6-2 6-2). During the match, Medvedev scored 63 points vs Ofner’s 41. Daniil was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about the service games, Medvedev bagged 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Daniil Medvedev was pretty efficient on serve to win 73% (27/37) of his 1st serve and 78% (7/9) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Russian broke Ofner 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Daniil hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to win 63% of the points he played.
Medvedev has a fantastic match record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (499-197). 11-4 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has a composed 68-43 match record in the last years on clay.
Daniil’s best result of the current season was getting to the final at the Australian Open and Indian Wells.
Medvedev has an aggregate 35-10 win-loss record in 2024, 11-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Olympics
Felix Auger-Aliassime
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-25 | 6-10 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-19 | 13-13 | 1-3 | 9-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 60-27 | 14-9 | 11-7 | 31-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-24 | 19-10 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, Auger-Aliassime reached the 3rd round after beating Marcos Giron 6-1 6-4 and Maximilian Marterer 6-0 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Felix had a good straight sets win against Marterer (6-0 6-1). During the match Auger-Aliassime scored 57 points vs Marterer’s 30. Auger-Aliassime was exceptionally aggressive to blast 17 winners.
About the serving games, Auger-Aliassime made 7 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Felix Auger-Aliassime was very effective on serve to win 85% (17/20) of his 1st serve and 59% (10/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Felix broke Marterer 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Canadian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 65% of the points he played.
The Canadian’s best result of the current year was getting to the final Madrid.
Felix has a composed 23-16 win-loss record in 2024, 15-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 30 |
| Pts | 120-71 | 117-64 |
| Total Points | 191 | 181 |
| Winners | 46 | 41 |
| %Winners | 38% | 35% |
Both Medvedev and Auger-Aliassime played 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Medvedev and Auger-Aliassime have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Medvedev played 1 game more than Auger-Aliassime. Daniil scored 46 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Auger-Aliassime bagged 41 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 4.5 | 8.5 |
| 1st in | 62/87 | 45/77 |
| %1st in | 71% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 46/62 | 41/45 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 91% |
| 2nd pts | 15/23 | 23/32 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 72% |
Medvedev scored 9 aces (4.5 per match). Auger-Aliassime made 17 aces (8.5 per match). Medvedev won 74% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Auger-Aliassime won 91% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 72% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 9 |
| Converted | 10/17 | 9/18 |
| % Converted | 59% | 50% |
| Conceded | 4 | 0 |
| Saved | 3 | 0 |
| % Saved | 75% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
Medvedev broke his opponents 10 times with a 59% conversion rate. The Russian surrendered his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. The Canadian broke his opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. Felix was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Medvedev | ||||
| R1 Hijikata |
R2 Ofner |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 16 | 31 | |
| pts | 57-30 | 63-41 | 120-71 | |
| Total points | 87 | 104 | 191 | |
| Winners | 19 | 27 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 43% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 25/41 | 37/46 | 62/87 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 80% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 19/25 | 27/37 | 46/62 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 73% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | 7/9 | 15/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 78% | 65% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 4/7 | 10/17 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 57% | 59% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 2/2 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Auger-Aliassime | ||||
| R1 Giron |
R2 Marterer |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-0 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 13 | 30 | |
| pts | 60-34 | 57-30 | 117-64 | |
| Total points | 94 | 87 | 181 | |
| Winners | 24 | 17 | 41 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 30% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 10 | 7 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 25/40 | 20/37 | 45/77 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 54% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 24/25 | 17/20 | 41/45 | |
| % 1st pts | 96% | 85% | 91% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/15 | 10/17 | 23/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 87% | 59% | 72% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 6/12 | 9/18 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
WL Tennis Scores in Paris
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Tomas MachacMachac (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (w/o) – See score progression
- Austin Krajicek/Rajeev RamKrajicek/Rajeev Ram – Thiago Moura Monteiro/Thiago Seyboth WildMoura Monteiro/Thiago Seyboth Wild (6-4 7-63) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Mariano NavoneNavone (7-62 6-3) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Jack DraperDraper (6-73 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Jakub MensikMensik (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Maximilian MartererMarterer (6-0 6-1) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Carlos Alcaraz/Rafael NadalAlcaraz/Rafael Nadal – Tallon Griekspoor/Wesley KoolhofGriekspoor/Wesley Koolhof (6-4 6-72 10-2) – See score progression
- Dominik Koepfer/Jan-Lennard StruffKoepfer/Jan-Lennard Struff – Nuno Borges/Francisco CabralBorges/Francisco Cabral (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Daniel Evans/Andy MurrayEvans/Andy Murray – Sander Gille/Joran VliegenGille/Joran Vliegen (6-3 6-78 11-9) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Rafael NadalNadal (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Dominik KoepferKoepfer – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (3-6 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-1 7-63) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Benjamin HassanHassan (6-2 3-6 7-63) – See score progression
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-0 7-61) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Daniel EvansEvans (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Ugo HumbertHumbert (7-5 6-75 7-5) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Andrea VavassoriVavassori (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Dominik KoepferKoepfer (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Tommy PaulPaul (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-7) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (2-2) – H2H and prediction
