Casper Ruud and Francisco Cerundolo will face off in the 3rd round of the Olympics for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 6:00 pm on Court Simonne Mathieu. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.363
Francisco Cerundolo -> 3.14
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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Francisco Cerundolo
This will be the 6th time that Casper Ruud and Francisco Cerundolo play each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Cerundolo (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Cerundolo won 7-5 6-4 in the 2nd round in Paris back in 2023.
Casper Ruud
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-25 | 21-9 | 24-7 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 12-12 | 22-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-22 | 18-8 | 25-7 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 57-17 | 16-6 | 28-5 | 11-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, the Norwegian got to the 3rd round after beating Taro Daniel 7-5 6-1 and Andrea Vavassori 4-6 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round against Vavassori, Casper recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-3). During the match, Ruud scored 90 points vs Vavassori’s 74. Casper was exceptionally aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ruud recorded 2 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults. Overall, Casper Ruud was extremely efficient on serve to win 79% (46/58) of his 1st serve and 70% (14/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Ruud broke Vavassori twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Norwegian has dropped 1 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Ruud has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 66% of his matches (395-205). 23-6 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ruud has an overall 235-101 record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Barcelona where he beat Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 7-5 6-3 and in Geneva where he overcame Tomas Machac in the final 7-5 6-3.
The Norwegian has an overall 42-12 win-loss record in 2024, 23-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Olympics
Ruud has never competed in this tournament before.
Francisco Cerundolo
24 - 21win/loss
30
19
WLWLWWLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35-31 | 5-10 | 21-13 | 9-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-26 | 10-10 | 19-12 | 4-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-28 | 7-8 | 25-10 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 44-24 | 3-2 | 39-21 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 36-11 | 5-0 | 31-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 26, Francisco got to the 3rd round after defeating Tomas Barrios Vera 6-2 6-1 and Ugo Humbert 7-5 6-7(5) 7-5.
In the 2nd round, The Argentine defeated Humbert (7-5 6-75 7-5). During the match Cerundolo scored 114 points vs Humbert’s 99. The Argentine was pretty aggressive to blast 56 winners.
About the serving games, Cerundolo fired 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Francisco Cerundolo was very effective on serve to win 77% (56/73) of his 1st serve and 70% (19/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Francisco broke Humbert 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Cerundolo has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in Umag where he defeated Lorenzo Musetti in the final 2-6 6-4 7-6(5).
The Argentine has a compiled 24-20 win-loss record in 2024, 21-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ruud | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 48 | 52 |
| Pts | 162-126 | 178-140 |
| Total Points | 288 | 318 |
| Winners | 72 | 76 |
| %Winners | 44% | 43% |
Both Ruud and Cerundolo played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Casper Ruud dropped 1 set, while Francisco Cerundolo dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Ruud and Cerundolo have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Ruud played 4 games less than Cerundolo. The Norwegian scored 72 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Argentine bagged 76 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ruud | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 93/137 | 99/145 |
| %1st in | 68% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 72/93 | 76/99 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 29/44 | 26/43 |
| %2nd pts | 66% | 60% |
Ruud recorded 10 aces (5 per match). Cerundolo struck 6 aces (3 per match). Ruud won 77% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Cerundolo won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ruud | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 10 |
| Converted | 6/13 | 10/20 |
| % Converted | 46% | 50% |
| Conceded | 3 | 7 |
| Saved | 1 | 4 |
| % Saved | 33% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
Ruud broke his opponents 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Norwegian surrendered his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. The Argentine broke his opponents 10 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ruud | ||||
| R1 Daniel |
R2 Vavassori |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-1 | 4-6 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 29 | 48 | |
| pts | 72-52 | 90-74 | 162-126 | |
| Total points | 124 | 164 | 288 | |
| Winners | 26 | 46 | 72 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 51% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 2 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 35/59 | 58/78 | 93/137 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 74% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 26/35 | 46/58 | 72/93 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 79% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/24 | 14/20 | 29/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 70% | 66% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 2/7 | 6/13 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 29% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 50% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Cerundolo | ||||
| R1 Tomas Barrios Vera |
R2 Humbert |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 7-5 6-75 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 37 | 52 | |
| pts | 64-41 | 114-99 | 178-140 | |
| Total points | 105 | 213 | 318 | |
| Winners | 20 | 56 | 76 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 49% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 26/42 | 73/103 | 99/145 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 71% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 20/26 | 56/73 | 76/99 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/16 | 19/27 | 26/43 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 70% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 3 | 10 | |
| Converted | 7/16 | 3/4 | 10/20 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 75% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2/3 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 67% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WW
Tennis Scores in Paris
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Tomas MachacMachac (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (w/o) – See score progression
- Austin Krajicek/Rajeev RamKrajicek/Rajeev Ram – Thiago Moura Monteiro/Thiago Seyboth WildMoura Monteiro/Thiago Seyboth Wild (6-4 7-63) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Mariano NavoneNavone (7-62 6-3) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Jack DraperDraper (6-73 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Jakub MensikMensik (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Maximilian MartererMarterer (6-0 6-1) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Carlos Alcaraz/Rafael NadalAlcaraz/Rafael Nadal – Tallon Griekspoor/Wesley KoolhofGriekspoor/Wesley Koolhof (6-4 6-72 10-2) – See score progression
- Dominik Koepfer/Jan-Lennard StruffKoepfer/Jan-Lennard Struff – Nuno Borges/Francisco CabralBorges/Francisco Cabral (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Daniel Evans/Andy MurrayEvans/Andy Murray – Sander Gille/Joran VliegenGille/Joran Vliegen (6-3 6-78 11-9) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Andrea VavassoriVavassori (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Rafael NadalNadal (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Dominik KoepferKoepfer – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (3-6 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-1 7-63) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Benjamin HassanHassan (6-2 3-6 7-63) – See score progression
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-0 7-61) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Daniel EvansEvans (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Ugo HumbertHumbert (7-5 6-75 7-5) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Dominik KoepferKoepfer (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Tommy PaulPaul (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-7) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (2-2) – H2H and prediction
