Maria Sakkari and Marta Kostyuk will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Olympics for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 2:00 pm on COURT 7. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Maria Sakkari who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Maria Sakkari is the pick to win this match.
Maria Sakkari -> 1.48
Marta Kostyuk -> 2.66

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Prediction and head to head Maria Sakkari vs. Marta Kostyuk

This will be the 4th time that Maria Sakkari and Marta Kostyuk fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Sakkari (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they played, Kostyuk won 0-6 7-5 6-2 in the 1st round in at the Wimbledon back in 2023.

Highlights Marta Kostyuk vs Maria Sakkari – Wimbledon 05-July-2023

Maria Sakkari

Maria Sakkari

25 - 15win/loss

Hard
12-6
I Hard
0-0
Clay
11-6
Grass
2-3
Rank
32
High
3
LLWWLWWLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 25-16 12-7 11-6 0-0 2-3 0-0
2023 38-25 26-17 5-4 3-1 4-3 0-0
2022 40-23 21-12 8-5 4-2 7-4 0-0
2021 38-20 23-13 9-4 5-2 1-1 0-0
2020 20-11 12-7 2-2 6-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 8, Sakkari got to the 3rd round after beating Danka Kovinic 6-0 6-1 and Yue Yuan 6-2 6-1.

In the 2nd round, The Greek had a good straight sets win against Yuan (6-2 6-1). During the match, Sakkari scored 53 points vs Yuan’s 29. The Greek was quite aggressive to blast 15 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sakkari bagged 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Maria Sakkari was extremely effective on serve to win 79% (15/19) of her 1st serve and 68% (13/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Maria broke Yuan 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Maria hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 68% of the points she played.

Sakkari has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 60% of her matches (346-226). 11-5 on clay in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sakkari has a composed 122-73 match record in the last years on clay.

Maria’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Indian Wells.

Sakkari has an overall 25-14 win-loss record in 2024, 11-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Olympics

Paris
Sakkari's Record

Marta Kostyuk

Marta Kostyuk

25 - 13win/loss

Hard
15-6
I Hard
0-0
Clay
8-4
Grass
2-3
Rank
18
High
16
LWLLWWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 34-20 24-12 8-5 0-0 2-3 0-0
2023 26-22 22-16 2-4 0-0 2-2 0-0
2022 28-20 18-11 3-4 4-3 3-2 0-0
2021 25-17 8-9 10-4 3-1 4-3 0-0
2020 27-12 16-6 7-3 4-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 19, Kostyuk reached the 3rd round after beating Lulu Sun 6-4 6-3 and Clara Burel 7-6(3) 6-2.

In the 2nd round, The Ukrainian had a good straight sets win against Burel (7-63 6-2). During the match Kostyuk scored 99 points vs Burel’s 85. Kostyuk was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.

About the serving games, Kostyuk couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 7 double faults. Marta Kostyuk lost the serve 3 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Kostyuk put 68% of her first serves in, winning 60% (38/63) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (13/29) on the 2nd serve. Kostyuk broke Burel 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Ukrainian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

Marta’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in San Diego and Stuttgart.

The Ukrainian has a compiled 24-13 win-loss record in 2024, 7-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Paris
Kostyuk's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

M.Sakkari
M.Kostyuk
2h:04
2h:04
Time on court​
!
3h:26
3h:26
1h:06
1h:06
Last match​
!
2h:03
2h:03
2
2
Match played
2
2
28
28
Games Played​
40
40
4
4
Set played​​
4
4
107
107
Total points​
167
167
53.5
53.5
Avg point​
83.5
83.5
36
36
Winners
59
59
18
18
Avg Winners​
29.5
29.5
34%
34%
Ratio winners
35%
35%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
3
3
3
3
Avg Aces
1.5
1.5
6
6
Double Faults
14
14
3
3
Avg Double Faults
!
7
7
36/46
36/46
1st won total​
59/91
59/91
!
78%
78%
1st won %
65%
65%
21/35
21/35
2nd won total​
26/56
26/56
60%
60%
2nd won %
46%
46%
-- Break Points --
11/19
11/19
BP won
10/21
10/21
5.5/9.5
5.5/9.5
Avg BP won
5/10.5
5/10.5
!
58%
58%
Won
48%
48%
7
7
Conceded
17
17
3.5
3.5
Avg Conceded
8.5
8.5
3
3
Broken
6
6
1.5
1.5
Avg Broken
3
3
4
4
Saved
11
11

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sakkari Kostyuk
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 28 40
Pts 107-50 167-137
Total Points 157 304
Winners 36 59
%Winners 34% 35%

Both Sakkari and Kostyuk played 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sakkari and Kostyuk have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Sakkari played 12 games less than Kostyuk. Maria scored 36 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Kostyuk bagged 59 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sakkari Kostyuk
Aces 6 3
Avg per match 3 1.5
1st in 46/83 91/147
%1st in 55% 62%
1st pts 36/46 59/91
%1st pts 78% 65%
2nd pts 21/35 26/56
%2nd pts 60% 46%

Sakkari made 6 aces (3 per match). Kostyuk bagged 3 aces (1.5 per match). Sakkari won 78% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Kostyuk won 65% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sakkari Kostyuk
Won 11 10
Converted 11/19 10/21
% Converted 58% 48%
Conceded 7 17
Saved 4 11
% Saved 57% 65%
Times Broken 3 6

Sakkari broke her opponents 11 times with a 58% conversion rate. Sakkari dropped her serve 3 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded. Marta broke her opponents 10 times with a 48% conversion rate. Marta conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 65% of the break points that she conceded.

Sakkari
R1
Kovinic
R2
Yuan
Total
Score 6-0 6-1 6-2 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 13 15 28
pts 54-21 53-29 107-50
Total points 75 82 157
Winners 21 15 36
%Winners 39% 28% 34%
SERVE
Aces 2 4 6
Double Faults 4 2 6
1st in 27/43 19/40 46/83
% 1st in 63% 48% 55%
1st pts 21/27 15/19 36/46
% 1st pts 78% 79% 78%
2nd pts 8/16 13/19 21/35
% 2nd pts 50% 68% 60%
Breaks
Won 6 5 11
Converted 6/10 5/9 11/19
Converted % 60% 56% 58%
Conceded 5 2 7
Saved 4/5 0/2 4
Saved % 80% 0% 40%
Times Broken 1 2 3
Kostyuk
R1
Sun
R2
Burel
Total
Score 6-4 6-3 7-63 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 19 21 40
pts 68-52 99-85 167-137
Total points 120 184 304
Winners 21 38 59
%Winners 31% 38% 35%
SERVE
Aces 3 0 3
Double Faults 7 7 14
1st in 28/55 63/92 91/147
% 1st in 51% 68% 62%
1st pts 21/28 38/63 59/91
% 1st pts 75% 60% 65%
2nd pts 13/27 13/29 26/56
% 2nd pts 48% 45% 46%
Breaks
Won 5 5 10
Converted 5/10 5/11 10/21
Converted % 50% 45% 48%
Conceded 7 10 17
Saved 4/7 7/10 11
Saved % 57% 70% 64%
Times Broken 3 3 6

Tennis Scores in Paris

Upcoming matches in the draw