Jordan Thompson and Yoshihito Nishioka will square off in the final of the Atlanta Open for the 7^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:00 pm on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jordan Thompson who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jordan Thompson is the pick to win this match.
Jordan Thompson -> 1.68
Yoshihito Nishioka -> 2.19

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Prediction and head to head Jordan Thompson vs. Yoshihito Nishioka

This will be the 7^th time that Jordan Thompson and Yoshihito Nishioka fight against each other. The head to head is 5-1 for Nishioka (see full H2H stats), 4-1 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Nishioka won 7-6(5) 4-6 6-2 in the 1^st round in Paris back in 2023.

Jordan Thompson

Ranked no. 41, Thompson got to the final after beating Unknown Player bye, Harold Mayot 6-2 7-5, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 7-6(5) 4-6 6-3 and Juncheng Shang 6-3 4-6 6-3.

In the semifinal, Thompson defeated Shang (6-3 4-6 6-3). During the match, Thompson scored 97 points vs Shang’s 85. Jordan was extremely aggressive to blast 50 winners.

Regarding the service games, Thompson fired 13 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Jordan Thompson lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Thompson put 75% of his first serves in, winning 78% (50/64) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (10/21) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Shang 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Thompson has lost 2 set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Thompson has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (363-246). 14-7 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Thompson has a composed 206-131 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Los Cabos where he defeated Casper Ruud in the final 6-3 7-6(4).

Thompson has an overall 23-16 win-loss record in 2024, 14-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Atlanta

Yoshihito Nishioka

Ranked no. 86, Yoshihito reached the final after beating Zachary Svajda 7-6(4) 6-3, Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-3 6-4, Frances Tiafoe 7-6(2) 6-2 and Arthur Rinderknech 6-3 4-6 6-4.

In the semifinal, Yoshihito defeated Rinderknech (6-3 4-6 6-4). During the match Nishioka scored 91 points vs Rinderknech’s 88. The Japanese was extremely aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Talking about serving, Nishioka blasted 2 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Yoshihito Nishioka lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Nishioka put 67% of his first serves in, winning 68% (41/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (17/30) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Rinderknech 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Japanese has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Yoshihito’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Atlanta.

Nishioka has an overall 20-17 win-loss record in 2024, 8-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Atlanta

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2016. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Thompson	Nishioka
Match played	3	4
Tot Set	8	9
Tot Games	80	91
Pts	271-230	299-258
Total Points	501	557
Winners	125	135
%Winners	46%	45%

Thompson played 3 matches while Nishioka competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jordan Thompson conceded 2 sets, while Yoshihito Nishioka dropped 1 set. Thompson has played 1 set(s) less than Nishioka (8 vs 9). Therefore, Thompson played 11 games less than Nishioka. Thompson scored 125 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Nishioka fired 135 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Thompson	Nishioka
Aces	43	20
Avg per match	14.3	5
1st in	162/231	180/276
%1st in	70%	65%
1st pts	125/162	135/180
%1st pts	77%	75%
2nd pts	42/69	56/96
%2nd pts	61%	58%

Thompson scored 43 aces (14.3 per match). Nishioka made 20 aces (5 per match). Thompson won 77% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Nishioka won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Thompson	Nishioka
Won	8	11
Converted	8/29	11/27
% Converted	28%	41%
Conceded	6	9
Saved	3	5
% Saved	50%	56%
Times Broken	3	4

Thompson broke his opponents 8 times with a 28% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Nishioka broke his opponents 11 times with a 41% conversion rate. Yoshihito conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded.

Thompson
	R2 Mayot	1/4 Davidovich Fokina	1/2 Shang	Total
Score	6-2 7-5	7-65 4-6 6-3	6-3 4-6 6-3
Tot Set	2	3	3	8
Tot Games	20	32	28	80
pts	66-44	108-101	97-85	271-230
Total points	110	209	182	501
Winners	31	44	50	125
%Winners	47%	41%	52%	46%
SERVE
Aces	9	21	13	43
Double Faults	1	0	1	2
1st in	37/50	61/96	64/85	162/231
% 1st in	74%	64%	75%	70%
1st pts	31/37	44/61	50/64	125/162
% 1st pts	84%	72%	78%	77%
2nd pts	10/13	22/35	10/21	42/69
% 2nd pts	77%	63%	48%	61%
Breaks
Won	3	2	3	8
Converted	3/3	2/14	3/12	8/29
Converted %	100%	14%	25%	28%
Conceded	0	3	3	6
Saved	0/0	1/3	2/3	3
Saved %	–	33%	67%	33%
Times Broken	0	2	1	3

Nishioka
	R1 Svajda	R2 Mcdonald	1/4 Tiafoe	1/2 Rinderknech	Total
Score	7-64 6-3	6-3 6-4	7-62 6-2	6-3 4-6 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	9
Tot Games	22	19	21	29	91
pts	69-59	69-58	70-53	91-88	299-258
Total points	128	127	123	179	557
Winners	35	26	33	41	135
%Winners	51%	38%	47%	45%	45%
SERVE
Aces	9	0	9	2	20
Double Faults	0	1	0	0	1
1st in	44/65	37/63	39/58	60/90	180/276
% 1st in	68%	59%	67%	67%	65%
1st pts	35/44	26/37	33/39	41/60	135/180
% 1st pts	80%	70%	85%	68%	75%
2nd pts	12/21	15/26	12/19	17/30	56/96
% 2nd pts	57%	58%	63%	57%	58%
Breaks
Won	2	3	2	4	11
Converted	2/6	3/7	2/6	4/8	11/27
Converted %	33%	43%	33%	50%	41%
Conceded	1	1	1	6	9
Saved	0/1	0/1	1/1	4/6	5
Saved %	0%	0%	100%	67%	56%
Times Broken	1	1	0	2	4

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (1-5) – H2H and prediction