Bu Yunchaokete and Gabriel Diallo will clash against each other in the final of the Chicago Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 12:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gabriel Diallo who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Gabriel Diallo is the pick to win this match.
Gabriel Diallo -> 1.76
Bu Yunchaokete -> 1.99

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Prediction and head to head Bu Yunchaokete vs. Gabriel Diallo

There is no head to head record between Bu Yunchaokete and Gabriel Diallo since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Bu Yunchaokete

Ranked no. 147 (career-high), Bu reached the final after beating Michael Zheng 6-4 6-4, Paul Jubb 6-3 6-3, Hugo Grenier 6-2 6-7(9) 6-1 and Learner Tien 6-4 7-5.

In the semifinal, Bu had a good straight sets win against Tien (6-4 7-5). During the match, Yunchaokete scored 76 points vs Tien’s 64. The Chinese was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about the service games, Yunchaokete scored 5 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Bu Yunchaokete lost the serve once. Furthermore, Yunchaokete put 50% of his first serves in, winning 69% (24/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 66% (23/35) on the 2nd serve. The Chinese broke Tien 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Chinese has dropped 1 set in this competition to win 56% of the points he played.

Yunchaokete has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 70% of his matches (158-69). 28-7 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Yunchaokete has a compiled140-48 match record in the last 5 years on hard.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Wuxi Challenger where he defeated Egor Gerasimov in the final 6-4 6-1 and the Granby Challenger where he beat Terence Atmane in the final 6-3 6-7(7) 6-4.

Bu has a compiled 33-14 win-loss record in 2024, 28-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Chicago Challenger

The Chinese has never competed in this tournament before.

Gabriel Diallo

Ranked no. 169, Diallo reached the final after beating James Kent Trotter 6-4 6-2, Joao Fonseca 7-6(1) 6-1, Mitchell Krueger 6-3 6-2 and Jacob Fearnley 6-2 6-3.

In the semifinal, Diallo had a good straight sets win against Fearnley (6-2 6-3). During the match Diallo scored 70 points vs Fearnley’s 50. The Canadian was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.

About the serving games, Diallo fired 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Gabriel Diallo was very efficient on serve to win 76% (31/41) of his 1st serve and 55% (16/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Canadian broke Fearnley 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Gabriel hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

The Canadian’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Canberra Challenger and the Chicago Challenger.

Gabriel has an overall 23-16 win-loss record in 2024, 10-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Yunchaokete	Diallo
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	9	8
Tot Games	88	72
Pts	309-247	249-181
Total Points	556	430
Winners	114	110
%Winners	37%	44%

Both Yunchaokete and Diallo played 4 matches. At the moment, Bu Yunchaokete lost 1 set while Gabriel Diallo hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Yunchaokete has played 1 set more than Diallo (9 vs 8). Therefore, Yunchaokete played 16 games more than Diallo. Bu scored 114 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The Canadian struck 110 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Yunchaokete	Diallo
Aces	27	33
Avg per match	6.8	8.3
1st in	153/276	142/224
%1st in	55%	63%
1st pts	114/153	110/142
%1st pts	75%	77%
2nd pts	76/123	53/82
%2nd pts	62%	65%

Yunchaokete recorded 27 aces (6.8 per match). Diallo bagged 33 aces (8.3 per match). Yunchaokete won 75% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Diallo won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Yunchaokete	Diallo
Won	14	12
Converted	14/31	12/23
% Converted	45%	52%
Conceded	9	3
Saved	6	3
% Saved	67%	100%
Times Broken	3	0

The Chinese broke his opponents 14 times with a 45% conversion rate. Bu conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Canadian broke his opponents 12 times with a 52% conversion rate. Gabriel was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points.

Yunchaokete
	R1 Zheng	R2 Jubb	1/4 Grenier	1/2 Tien	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	6-3 6-3	6-2 6-79 6-1	6-4 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	9
Tot Games	20	18	28	22	88
pts	69-57	55-38	109-88	76-64	309-247
Total points	126	93	197	140	556
Winners	27	21	42	24	114
%Winners	39%	38%	39%	32%	37%
SERVE
Aces	6	4	12	5	27
Double Faults	2	3	3	0	8
1st in	35/58	26/48	57/100	35/70	153/276
% 1st in	60%	54%	57%	50%	55%
1st pts	27/35	21/26	42/57	24/35	114/153
% 1st pts	77%	81%	74%	69%	75%
2nd pts	15/23	13/22	25/43	23/35	76/123
% 2nd pts	65%	59%	58%	66%	62%
Breaks
Won	2	4	5	3	14
Converted	2/5	4/6	5/11	3/9	14/31
Converted %	40%	67%	45%	33%	45%
Conceded	2	3	3	1	9
Saved	2/2	2/3	2/3	0/1	6
Saved %	100%	67%	67%	0%	59%
Times Broken	0	1	1	1	3

Diallo
	R1 Kent	R2 Fonseca	1/4 Krueger	1/2 Fearnley	Total
Score	6-4 6-2	7-61 6-1	6-3 6-2	6-2 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	18	20	17	17	72
pts	62-49	64-44	53-38	70-50	249-181
Total points	111	108	91	120	430
Winners	26	29	24	31	110
%Winners	42%	45%	45%	44%	44%
SERVE
Aces	9	8	8	8	33
Double Faults	3	2	1	2	8
1st in	37/56	34/50	30/48	41/70	142/224
% 1st in	66%	68%	63%	59%	63%
1st pts	26/37	29/34	24/30	31/41	110/142
% 1st pts	70%	85%	80%	76%	77%
2nd pts	13/19	12/16	12/18	16/29	53/82
% 2nd pts	68%	75%	67%	55%	65%
Breaks
Won	3	3	3	3	12
Converted	3/5	3/6	3/6	3/6	12/23
Converted %	60%	50%	50%	50%	52%
Conceded	0	0	0	3	3
Saved	0/0	0/0	0/0	3/3	3
Saved %	–	–	–	100%	25%
Times Broken	0	0	0	0	0

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (0-0) – H2H and prediction