Bu Yunchaokete and Gabriel Diallo will clash against each other in the final of the Chicago Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 12:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gabriel Diallo who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Gabriel Diallo is the pick to win this match.
Gabriel Diallo -> 1.76
Bu Yunchaokete -> 1.99
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Prediction and head to head Bu Yunchaokete vs. Gabriel Diallo
There is no head to head record between Bu Yunchaokete and Gabriel Diallo since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Bu Yunchaokete
33 - 15win/loss
65
65
LWLWWLWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 51-27 | 40-14 | 3-2 | 7-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 27-15 | 0-0 | 6-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 87-28 | 84-24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-1 |
| 2021 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 147 (career-high), Bu reached the final after beating Michael Zheng 6-4 6-4, Paul Jubb 6-3 6-3, Hugo Grenier 6-2 6-7(9) 6-1 and Learner Tien 6-4 7-5.
In the semifinal, Bu had a good straight sets win against Tien (6-4 7-5). During the match, Yunchaokete scored 76 points vs Tien’s 64. The Chinese was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Yunchaokete scored 5 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Bu Yunchaokete lost the serve once. Furthermore, Yunchaokete put 50% of his first serves in, winning 69% (24/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 66% (23/35) on the 2nd serve. The Chinese broke Tien 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Chinese has dropped 1 set in this competition to win 56% of the points he played.
Yunchaokete has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 70% of his matches (158-69). 28-7 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Yunchaokete has a compiled140-48 match record in the last 5 years on hard.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Wuxi Challenger where he defeated Egor Gerasimov in the final 6-4 6-1 and the Granby Challenger where he beat Terence Atmane in the final 6-3 6-7(7) 6-4.
Bu has a compiled 33-14 win-loss record in 2024, 28-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Chicago Challenger
The Chinese has never competed in this tournament before.
Gabriel Diallo
24 - 16win/loss
87
86
LLWWLWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49-26 | 30-12 | 7-6 | 9-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-28 | 8-11 | 2-2 | 24-10 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 17-6 | 0-0 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-4 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 169, Diallo reached the final after beating James Kent Trotter 6-4 6-2, Joao Fonseca 7-6(1) 6-1, Mitchell Krueger 6-3 6-2 and Jacob Fearnley 6-2 6-3.
In the semifinal, Diallo had a good straight sets win against Fearnley (6-2 6-3). During the match Diallo scored 70 points vs Fearnley’s 50. The Canadian was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Diallo fired 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Gabriel Diallo was very efficient on serve to win 76% (31/41) of his 1st serve and 55% (16/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Canadian broke Fearnley 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Gabriel hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
The Canadian’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Canberra Challenger and the Chicago Challenger.
Gabriel has an overall 23-16 win-loss record in 2024, 10-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Yunchaokete | Diallo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 88 | 72 |
| Pts | 309-247 | 249-181 |
| Total Points | 556 | 430 |
| Winners | 114 | 110 |
| %Winners | 37% | 44% |
Both Yunchaokete and Diallo played 4 matches. At the moment, Bu Yunchaokete lost 1 set while Gabriel Diallo hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Yunchaokete has played 1 set more than Diallo (9 vs 8). Therefore, Yunchaokete played 16 games more than Diallo. Bu scored 114 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The Canadian struck 110 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Yunchaokete | Diallo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 27 | 33 |
| Avg per match | 6.8 | 8.3 |
| 1st in | 153/276 | 142/224 |
| %1st in | 55% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 114/153 | 110/142 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 76/123 | 53/82 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 65% |
Yunchaokete recorded 27 aces (6.8 per match). Diallo bagged 33 aces (8.3 per match). Yunchaokete won 75% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Diallo won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Yunchaokete | Diallo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 12 |
| Converted | 14/31 | 12/23 |
| % Converted | 45% | 52% |
| Conceded | 9 | 3 |
| Saved | 6 | 3 |
| % Saved | 67% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 |
The Chinese broke his opponents 14 times with a 45% conversion rate. Bu conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Canadian broke his opponents 12 times with a 52% conversion rate. Gabriel was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points.
| Yunchaokete | ||||||
| R1 Zheng |
R2 Jubb |
1/4 Grenier |
1/2 Tien |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-2 6-79 6-1 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 18 | 28 | 22 | 88 | |
| pts | 69-57 | 55-38 | 109-88 | 76-64 | 309-247 | |
| Total points | 126 | 93 | 197 | 140 | 556 | |
| Winners | 27 | 21 | 42 | 24 | 114 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 38% | 39% | 32% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 27 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 35/58 | 26/48 | 57/100 | 35/70 | 153/276 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 54% | 57% | 50% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 27/35 | 21/26 | 42/57 | 24/35 | 114/153 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 81% | 74% | 69% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/23 | 13/22 | 25/43 | 23/35 | 76/123 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 59% | 58% | 66% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 14 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 4/6 | 5/11 | 3/9 | 14/31 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 67% | 45% | 33% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2/3 | 2/3 | 0/1 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 67% | 67% | 0% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Diallo | ||||||
| R1 Kent |
R2 Fonseca |
1/4 Krueger |
1/2 Fearnley |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 7-61 6-1 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 20 | 17 | 17 | 72 | |
| pts | 62-49 | 64-44 | 53-38 | 70-50 | 249-181 | |
| Total points | 111 | 108 | 91 | 120 | 430 | |
| Winners | 26 | 29 | 24 | 31 | 110 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 45% | 45% | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 33 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 37/56 | 34/50 | 30/48 | 41/70 | 142/224 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 68% | 63% | 59% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 26/37 | 29/34 | 24/30 | 31/41 | 110/142 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 85% | 80% | 76% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/19 | 12/16 | 12/18 | 16/29 | 53/82 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 75% | 67% | 55% | 65% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/6 | 3/6 | 3/6 | 12/23 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | – | – | – | 100% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (0-0) – H2H and prediction
