Vilius Gaubas and Federico Arnaboldi will fight against each other in the final of the Verona Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 9:00 pm on VOLVO ARENA. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Federico Arnaboldi who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Federico Arnaboldi is the pick to win this match.
Federico Arnaboldi -> 1.8
Vilius Gaubas -> 1.94

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Prediction and head to head Vilius Gaubas vs. Federico Arnaboldi

There is no head to head record between Vilius Gaubas and Federico Arnaboldi since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Vilius Gaubas

Ranked no. 257 (career-high), Vilius reached the final after defeating Enrico Dalla Valle 4-6 7-5 6-1, Richard Gasquet 7-6(3) 4-6 7-6(6), Hugo Dellien 6-3 1-6 6-3 and Nikoloz Basilashvili 4-6 6-0 7-5.

In the semifinal against Basilashvili, The Lithuanian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-0 7-5). During the match, Gaubas scored 96 points vs Basilashvili’s 81. The Lithuanian was pretty aggressive to blast 50 winners.

Talking about the service games, Gaubas blasted 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Vilius Gaubas lost the serve twice and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Gaubas put 76% of his first serves in, winning 65% (50/77) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the 2nd serve. Gaubas broke Basilashvili 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Gaubas has surrendered 4 set in this competition to win 52% of the points he played.

Gaubas has a solid win-loss record in the last 4 years having won 63% of his matches (117-68). 30-15 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Gaubas has a composed102-52 win-loss record in the last 4 years on clay.

The Lithuanian’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Antalya,M25 Faro and the Rome Challenger.

Vilius has a composed 36-19 win-loss record in 2024, 30-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Verona Challenger

Vilius has never competed in this tournament before.

Federico Arnaboldi

Ranked no. 359 (career-high), Arnaboldi reached the final after beating Kirill Kivattsev 6-3 6-4, Gonzalo Villanueva 6-3 6-2, Petr Nesterov 6-3 6-4, Ugo Blanchet 6-4 2-6 6-0, Gonzalo Bueno 6-2 6-4 and Max Hans Rehberg 6-2 6-1.

In the semifinal, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Hans Rehberg (6-2 6-1). During the match Arnaboldi scored 57 points vs Hans Rehberg’s 34. Arnaboldi was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.

About the serving games, Arnaboldi fired 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Federico Arnaboldi lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Arnaboldi put 68% of his first serves in, winning 69% (22/32) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (7/15) on the 2nd serve. Arnaboldi broke Hans Rehberg 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

Federico’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M15 Opatija and the Modena Challenger.

The Italian has a compiled 35-16 win-loss record in 2024, 35-16 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Gaubas	Arnaboldi
Match played	4	6
Tot Set	12	13
Tot Games	118	112
Pts	379-350	404-306
Total Points	729	710
Winners	184	147
%Winners	49%	36%

Gaubas played 4 matches while Arnaboldi competed in 6 matches. Arnaboldi started his run from the qualifications while Gaubas had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Vilius Gaubas dropped 4 sets, while Federico Arnaboldi conceded 1 set. Gaubas has played 1 set(s) less than Arnaboldi (12 vs 13). However, it’s interesting to notice that Gaubas played 6 games more than Arnaboldi. Vilius scored 184 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Federico bagged 147 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Gaubas	Arnaboldi
Aces	18	15
Avg per match	4.5	2.5
1st in	278/381	203/348
%1st in	73%	58%
1st pts	184/278	147/203
%1st pts	66%	72%
2nd pts	55/103	82/145
%2nd pts	53%	57%

Gaubas fired 18 aces (4.5 per match). Arnaboldi scored 15 aces (2.5 per match). Gaubas won 66% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Arnaboldi won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Gaubas	Arnaboldi
Won	17	26
Converted	17/31	26/51
% Converted	55%	51%
Conceded	35	35
Saved	22	25
% Saved	63%	71%
Times Broken	13	10

Gaubas broke his opponents 17 times with a 55% conversion rate. The Lithuanian conceded his serve 13 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 26 times with a 51% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Gaubas
	R1 Dalla Valle	R2 Gasquet	1/4 Dellien	1/2 Basilashvili	Total
Score	4-6 7-5 6-1	7-63 4-6 7-66	6-3 1-6 6-3	4-6 6-0 7-5
Tot Set	3	3	3	3	12
Tot Games	29	36	25	28	118
pts	83-71	123-117	77-81	96-81	379-350
Total points	154	240	158	177	729
Winners	39	54	41	50	184
%Winners	47%	44%	53%	52%	49%
SERVE
Aces	4	5	1	8	18
Double Faults	1	1	1	1	4
1st in	57/79	81/115	63/86	77/101	278/381
% 1st in	72%	70%	73%	76%	73%
1st pts	39/57	54/81	41/63	50/77	184/278
% 1st pts	68%	67%	65%	65%	66%
2nd pts	14/22	18/34	10/23	13/24	55/103
% 2nd pts	64%	53%	43%	54%	53%
Breaks
Won	5	4	3	5	17
Converted	5/5	4/8	3/8	5/10	17/31
Converted %	100%	50%	38%	50%	55%
Conceded	3	10	10	12	35
Saved	0/3	5/10	7/10	10/12	22
Saved %	0%	50%	70%	83%	51%
Times Broken	3	5	3	2	13

Arnaboldi
	Q1 Kivattsev	Q3 Villanueva	R1 Nesterov	R2 Blanchet	1/4 Bueno	1/2 Hans	Total
Score	6-3 6-4	6-3 6-2	6-3 6-4	6-4 2-6 6-0	6-2 6-4	6-2 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	2	2	13
Tot Games	19	17	19	24	18	15	112
pts	68-49	63-40	65-58	89-84	62-41	57-34	404-306
Total points	117	103	123	173	103	91	710
Winners	26	21	30	31	17	22	147
%Winners	38%	33%	46%	35%	27%	39%	36%
SERVE
Aces	2	4	1	2	2	4	15
Double Faults	0	2	3	1	3	1	10
1st in	30/48	29/49	41/70	49/86	22/48	32/47	203/348
% 1st in	63%	59%	59%	57%	46%	68%	58%
1st pts	26/30	21/29	30/41	31/49	17/22	22/32	147/203
% 1st pts	87%	72%	73%	63%	77%	69%	72%
2nd pts	14/18	15/20	11/29	21/37	14/26	7/15	82/145
% 2nd pts	78%	75%	38%	57%	54%	47%	57%
Breaks
Won	2	4	4	4	6	6	26
Converted	2/10	4/7	4/7	4/10	6/8	6/9	26/51
Converted %	20%	57%	57%	40%	75%	67%	51%
Conceded	0	5	6	13	3	8	35
Saved	0/0	4/5	4/6	11/13	0/3	6/8	25
Saved %	–	80%	67%	85%	0%	75%	77%
Times Broken	0	1	2	2	3	2	10

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Federico ArnaboldiArnaboldi – (0-0) – H2H and prediction