Lorenzo Musetti and Francisco Cerundolo will square off in the final of the Plava Laguna Croatia Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 8:00 pm on GORAN IVANISEVIC STADION. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.63
Francisco Cerundolo -> 2.28
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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Francisco Cerundolo
This will be the 3rd time that Lorenzo Musetti and Francisco Cerundolo square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Musetti (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Musetti won 6-3 7-6(3) in the semifinal in Hamburg back in 2022.
Highlights Lorenzo Musetti vs Francisco Cerundolo – Hamburg 23-July-2022
Lorenzo Musetti
32 - 21win/loss
17
15
LLLWWLLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-30 | 13-12 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 30-15 | 6-4 | 20-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 17, Musetti got to the final after defeating Marco Trungelliti 6-4 6-3, Dusan Lajovic 5-7 6-3 6-0 and Jakub Mensik 6-4 6-1.
In the semifinal, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Mensik (6-4 6-1). During the match, Musetti scored 54 points vs Mensik’s 33. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Regarding the service games, Musetti scored just 1 ace for the entire match and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Lorenzo Musetti was very efficient on serve to win 76% (19/25) of his 1st serve and 59% (10/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Mensik 5 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Musetti has dropped 1 set in this event to win 57% of the points he played.
Musetti has a winning win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 58% of his matches (206-151). 13-8 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Musetti has a compiled114-64 win-loss record in the last 7 years on clay.
Musetti’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Cagliari Challenger,the Turin Challenger and London.
Lorenzo has an overall 32-20 win-loss record in 2024, 13-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Umag
Francisco Cerundolo
22 - 20win/loss
30
19
WLWLWWLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35-31 | 5-10 | 21-13 | 9-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-26 | 10-10 | 19-12 | 4-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-28 | 7-8 | 25-10 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 44-24 | 3-2 | 39-21 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 36-11 | 5-0 | 31-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 37, Cerundolo reached the final after beating Unknown Player bye, Matej Dodig 6-3 6-4, Lorenzo Sonego 6-4 2-6 7-6(2) and Andrey Rublev 7-6(6) 6-4.
In the semifinal, Francisco had a good straight sets win against Rublev (7-66 6-4). During the match Cerundolo scored 82 points vs Rublev’s 71. The Argentine was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.
About the serving games, Cerundolo scored 4 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Francisco Cerundolo was very effective on serve to win 79% (34/43) of his 1st serve and 53% (19/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Cerundolo broke Rublev twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Cerundolo has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The Argentine’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Rio de Janeiro and Umag.
The Argentine has a composed 21-20 win-loss record in 2024, 18-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Musetti | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 63 | 73 |
| Pts | 230-175 | 243-212 |
| Total Points | 405 | 455 |
| Winners | 89 | 112 |
| %Winners | 39% | 46% |
Both Musetti and Cerundolo played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Lorenzo Musetti conceded 1 set, while Francisco Cerundolo surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Musetti and Cerundolo have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Musetti played 10 games less than Cerundolo. The Italian scored 89 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Cerundolo bagged 112 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Musetti | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 1.3 | 2 |
| 1st in | 125/182 | 142/223 |
| %1st in | 69% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 89/125 | 112/142 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 32/57 | 47/81 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 58% |
Musetti fired 4 aces (1.3 per match). Cerundolo made 6 aces (2 per match). Musetti won 71% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Cerundolo won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Musetti | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 5 |
| Converted | 15/33 | 5/16 |
| % Converted | 45% | 31% |
| Conceded | 8 | 12 |
| Saved | 4 | 9 |
| % Saved | 50% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 |
Lorenzo broke his opponents 15 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Italian lost his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Argentine broke his opponents 5 times with a 31% conversion rate. Cerundolo conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Musetti | |||||
| R2 Trungelliti |
1/4 Lajovic |
1/2 Mensik |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 5-7 6-3 6-0 | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 27 | 17 | 63 | |
| pts | 78-61 | 98-81 | 54-33 | 230-175 | |
| Total points | 139 | 179 | 87 | 405 | |
| Winners | 27 | 43 | 19 | 89 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 44% | 35% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 34/50 | 66/90 | 25/42 | 125/182 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 73% | 60% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 27/34 | 43/66 | 19/25 | 89/125 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 65% | 76% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/16 | 14/24 | 10/17 | 32/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 58% | 59% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 6/17 | 5/5 | 15/33 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 35% | 100% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2/4 | 0/1 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 50% | 0% | 39% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| Cerundolo | |||||
| R2 Dodig |
1/4 Sonego |
1/2 Rublev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 2-6 7-62 | 7-66 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 31 | 23 | 73 | |
| pts | 70-49 | 91-92 | 82-71 | 243-212 | |
| Total points | 119 | 183 | 153 | 455 | |
| Winners | 28 | 50 | 34 | 112 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 55% | 41% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 31/49 | 68/95 | 43/79 | 142/223 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 72% | 54% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 28/31 | 50/68 | 34/43 | 112/142 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 74% | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/18 | 16/27 | 19/36 | 47/81 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 59% | 53% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/10 | 1/1 | 2/5 | 5/16 | |
| Converted % | 20% | 100% | 40% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 4/6 | 5/6 | 9 | |
| Saved % | – | 67% | 83% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWWLLWLW
WLWLWWLLWW Tennis Scores in Umag
- Guido Andreozzi/Miguel-Angel Reyes-VarelaAndreozzi/Miguel-Angel Reyes-Varela – Manuel Guinard/Gregoire JacqGuinard/Gregoire Jacq (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-2) – H2H and prediction
