Gabriel Diallo and Jacob Fearnley will play each other in the semifinal of the Chicago Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jacob Fearnley who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jacob Fearnley is the pick to win this match.
Jacob Fearnley -> 1.86
Gabriel Diallo -> 1.86

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Prediction and head to head Gabriel Diallo vs. Jacob Fearnley

There is no head to head record between Gabriel Diallo and Jacob Fearnley since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Gabriel Diallo

Ranked no. 169, Diallo reached the semifinal after beating James Kent Trotter 6-4 6-2, Joao Fonseca 7-6(1) 6-1 and Mitchell Krueger 6-3 6-2.

In the quarter, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against Krueger (6-3 6-2). During the match, Diallo scored 53 points vs Krueger’s 38. The Canadian was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Regarding the service games, Diallo scored 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Gabriel Diallo was pretty effective on serve to win 80% (24/30) of his 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Canadian broke Krueger 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Gabriel hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to conquer 58% of the points he played.

Diallo has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 62% of his matches (106-66). 9-5 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Diallo has a composed49-29 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.

Gabriel’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Canberra Challenger.

Diallo has an overall 22-16 win-loss record in 2024, 9-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Chicago Challenger

The Canadian has never competed in this tournament before.

Jacob Fearnley

Ranked no. 225 (career-high), Jacob reached the semifinal after beating Cooper Williams 6-1 7-6(8), Antoine Bellier 4-6 6-3 6-0, Li Tu 6-4 6-3, Terence Atmane 6-2 1-6 7-6(3) and Brandon Holt 6-3 6-2.

In the quarter, Jacob had a good straight sets win against Holt (6-3 6-2). During the match Fearnley scored 58 points vs Holt’s 42. The Brit was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about serving, Fearnley scored 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Jacob Fearnley lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Fearnley put 56% of his first serves in, winning 86% (24/28) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. Fearnley was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Holt 4 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jacob started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was conquering the title the Nottingham 2 Challenger where he defeated Charles Broom in the final 4-6 6-4 6-3.

Jacob has a composed 22-3 win-loss record in 2024, 5-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Diallo	Fearnley
Match played	3	5
Tot Set	6	12
Tot Games	55	109
Pts	179-131	362-302
Total Points	310	664
Winners	79	163
%Winners	44%	45%

Diallo played 3 matches while Fearnley competed in 5 matches. Fearnley started his run from the qualifications while Diallo had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Jacob Fearnley lost 2 sets while Gabriel Diallo hasn’t dropped a set so far. Diallo has played 6 set(s) less than Fearnley (6 vs 12). Therefore, Diallo played 54 games less than Fearnley. Diallo scored 79 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Jacob managed to score 163 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Diallo	Fearnley
Aces	25	18
Avg per match	8.3	3.6
1st in	101/154	204/325
%1st in	66%	63%
1st pts	79/101	163/204
%1st pts	78%	80%
2nd pts	37/53	56/121
%2nd pts	70%	46%

Diallo fired 25 aces (8.3 per match). Fearnley made 18 aces (3.6 per match). Diallo won 78% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 70% of the points. On the other side, Fearnley won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Diallo	Fearnley
Won	9	19
Converted	9/17	19/33
% Converted	53%	58%
Conceded	0	19
Saved	0	11
% Saved	0%	58%
Times Broken	0	8

The Canadian broke his opponents 9 times with a 53% conversion rate. Gabriel pretty effective on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 0 break points. Jacob broke his opponents 19 times with a 58% conversion rate. Fearnley conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded.

Diallo
	R1 Kent	R2 Fonseca	1/4 Krueger	Total
Score	6-4 6-2	7-61 6-1	6-3 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	18	20	17	55
pts	62-49	64-44	53-38	179-131
Total points	111	108	91	310
Winners	26	29	24	79
%Winners	42%	45%	45%	44%
SERVE
Aces	9	8	8	25
Double Faults	3	2	1	6
1st in	37/56	34/50	30/48	101/154
% 1st in	66%	68%	63%	66%
1st pts	26/37	29/34	24/30	79/101
% 1st pts	70%	85%	80%	78%
2nd pts	13/19	12/16	12/18	37/53
% 2nd pts	68%	75%	67%	70%
Breaks
Won	3	3	3	9
Converted	3/5	3/6	3/6	9/17
Converted %	60%	50%	50%	53%
Conceded	0	0	0	0
Saved	0/0	0/0	0/0	0
Saved %	–	–	–	0%
Times Broken	0	0	0	0

Fearnley
	Q1 Williams	Q3 Bellier	R1 Tu	R2 Atmane	1/4 Holt	Total
Score	6-1 7-68	4-6 6-3 6-0	6-4 6-3	6-2 1-6 7-63	6-3 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	2	3	2	12
Tot Games	20	25	19	28	17	109
pts	79-64	82-65	57-46	86-85	58-42	362-302
Total points	143	147	103	171	100	664
Winners	37	40	24	38	24	163
%Winners	47%	49%	42%	44%	41%	45%
SERVE
Aces	7	5	2	0	4	18
Double Faults	8	5	3	5	3	24
1st in	41/71	51/73	32/47	52/84	28/50	204/325
% 1st in	58%	70%	68%	62%	56%	63%
1st pts	37/41	40/51	24/32	38/52	24/28	163/204
% 1st pts	90%	78%	75%	73%	86%	80%
2nd pts	12/30	10/22	8/15	15/32	11/22	56/121
% 2nd pts	40%	45%	53%	47%	50%	46%
Breaks
Won	3	5	4	3	4	19
Converted	3/7	5/9	4/6	3/7	4/4	19/33
Converted %	43%	56%	67%	43%	100%	58%
Conceded	6	5	1	5	2	19
Saved	5/6	3/5	0/1	2/5	1/2	11
Saved %	83%	60%	0%	40%	50%	78%
Times Broken	1	2	1	3	1	8

Tennis Scores in Chicago Challenger

• Mac Kiger/Benjamin SigouinKiger/Benjamin Sigouin – Charles Broom/Jacob FearnleyBroom/Jacob Fearnley (2-6 6-3 12-10) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Gabriel DialloDiallo (0-0) – H2H and prediction