Matteo Berrettini and Hugo Gaston will face off in the final of the Generali Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Matteo Berrettini is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.22
Hugo Gaston -> 4.3

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Prediction and head to head Matteo Berrettini vs. Hugo Gaston

This will be the 2^nd time that Matteo Berrettini and Hugo Gaston square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Berrettini (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Berrettini won 3-6 6-3 6-1 in the 1^st round in the Phoenix Challenger back in March 2024.

Matteo Berrettini

Ranked no. 50, Berrettini reached the final after defeating Pavel Kotov 7-6(6) 7-6(5), Alejandro Tabilo 7-6(4) 7-6(5), Nicolas Moreno De Alboran 7-6(5) 6-3 and Yannick Hanfmann 6-4 6-4.

In the semifinal, Berrettini had a good straight sets win against Hanfmann (6-4 6-4). During the match, Berrettini scored 62 points vs Hanfmann’s 53. Matteo was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Regarding the service games, Berrettini bagged 11 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Matteo Berrettini conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 1 break points. Furthermore, Berrettini put 67% of his first serves in, winning 89% (32/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (9/18) on the 2nd serve. Matteo broke Hanfmann twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Berrettini hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Berrettini has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 68% of his matches (318-150). 14-1 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Berrettini has an aggregate 97-39 record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Marrakech where he overcame Roberto Carballes Baena in the final 7-5 6-2 and in Gstaad where he beat Quentin Halys in the final 6-3 6-1.

The Italian has a compiled 24-6 win-loss record in 2024, 14-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Kitzbuhel

Hugo Gaston

Ranked no. 91, Gaston got to the final after defeating Daniel Altmaier 6-4 6-7(5) 6-4, Roberto Carballes Baena 6-2 7-6(5), Sebastian Baez 7-5 5-7 7-6(6) and Facundo Diaz Acosta 6-1 2-0 ret..

In the semifinal against Diaz Acosta, Hugo had a free pass after Diaz Acosta retired on a 6-1 2-0 . scoreline.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Lyon Challenger where he defeated Alexandre Muller in the final 6-2 1-6 6-1.

Hugo has an aggregate 27-21 win-loss record in 2024, 15-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Berrettini	Gaston
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	8	11
Tot Games	94	100
Pts	318-277	351-303
Total Points	595	654
Winners	172	107
%Winners	54%	30%

Both Berrettini and Gaston played 4 matches. At the moment, Hugo Gaston lost 2 sets while Matteo Berrettini hasn’t lost a set so far. Berrettini has played 3 set(s) less than Gaston (8 vs 11). Therefore, Berrettini played 6 games less than Gaston. Matteo scored 172 winners (54% of the total points). On the other side, The French player fired 107 winners (30%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Berrettini	Gaston
Aces	40	13
Avg per match	10	3.3
1st in	202/270	155/325
%1st in	75%	48%
1st pts	172/202	107/155
%1st pts	85%	69%
2nd pts	37/68	107/170
%2nd pts	54%	63%

Berrettini managed to score 40 aces (10 per match). Gaston bagged 13 aces (3.3 per match). Berrettini won 85% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Gaston won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Berrettini	Gaston
Won	5	15
Converted	5/24	15/28
% Converted	21%	54%
Conceded	7	22
Saved	5	15
% Saved	71%	68%
Times Broken	2	7

The Italian broke his opponents 5 times with a 21% conversion rate. Matteo surrendered his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Hugo broke his opponents 15 times with a 54% conversion rate. Gaston conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.

Berrettini
	R1 Kotov	R2 Tabilo	1/4 Moreno De Alboran	1/2 Hanfmann	Total
Score	7-66 7-65	7-64 7-65	7-65 6-3	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	26	26	22	20	94
pts	98-83	79-77	79-64	62-53	318-277
Total points	181	156	143	115	595
Winners	49	49	42	32	172
%Winners	50%	62%	53%	52%	54%
SERVE
Aces	7	15	7	11	40
Double Faults	0	1	3	2	6
1st in	57/71	62/77	47/68	36/54	202/270
% 1st in	80%	81%	69%	67%	75%
1st pts	49/57	49/62	42/47	32/36	172/202
% 1st pts	86%	79%	89%	89%	85%
2nd pts	9/14	8/15	11/21	9/18	37/68
% 2nd pts	64%	53%	52%	50%	54%
Breaks
Won	1	1	1	2	5
Converted	1/5	1/6	1/5	2/8	5/24
Converted %	20%	17%	20%	25%	21%
Conceded	1	2	3	1	7
Saved	0/1	1/2	3/3	1/1	5
Saved %	0%	50%	100%	100%	63%
Times Broken	1	1	0	0	2

Gaston
	R1 Altmaier	R1 Altmaier	R2 Carballes Baena	R2 Carballes Baena	1/4 Baez	1/4 Baez	1/2 Diaz	1/2 Diaz	Total
Score	6-4 6-75 6-4	6-4 6-75 6-4	6-2 7-65	6-2 7-65	7-5 5-7 7-66	7-5 5-7 7-66	6-1 2-0 ret.	6-1 2-0 ret.
Tot Set	3	3	2	2	3	3	2	2	20
Tot Games	33	33	21	21	37	37	9	9	200
pts	105-96	105-96	73-56	73-56	138-138	138-138	35-13	35-13	702-606
Total points	201	201	129	129	276	276	48	48	1308
Winners	29	29	22	22	44	44	12	12	214
%Winners	28%	28%	30%	30%	32%	32%	34%	34%	30%
SERVE
Aces	2	2	5	5	5	5	1	1	26
Double Faults	2	2	2	2	2	2	0	0	12
1st in	42/97	42/97	34/68	34/68	65/138	65/138	14/22	14/22	310/650
% 1st in	43%	43%	50%	50%	47%	47%	64%	64%	48%
1st pts	29/42	29/42	22/34	22/34	44/65	44/65	12/14	12/14	214/310
% 1st pts	69%	69%	65%	65%	68%	68%	86%	86%	69%
2nd pts	37/55	37/55	24/34	24/34	40/73	40/73	6/8	6/8	214/340
% 2nd pts	67%	67%	71%	71%	55%	55%	75%	75%	63%
Breaks
Won	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	4	30
Converted	4/6	4/6	3/6	3/6	4/11	4/11	4/5	4/5	30/56
Converted %	67%	67%	50%	50%	36%	36%	80%	80%	54%
Conceded	2	2	4	4	16	16	0	0	44
Saved	0/2	0/2	3/4	3/4	12/16	12/16	0/0	0/0	30
Saved %	0%	0%	75%	75%	75%	75%	–	–	75%
Times Broken	2	2	1	1	4	4	0	0	14

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Hugo GastonGaston – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (0-1) – H2H and prediction