Bu Yunchaokete and Hugo Grenier will fight against each other in the quarter of the Chicago Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 6:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Bu Yunchaokete who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Bu Yunchaokete is the pick to win this match.
Bu Yunchaokete -> 1.52
Hugo Grenier -> 2.38

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Prediction and head to head Bu Yunchaokete vs. Hugo Grenier

This will be the 3rd time that Bu Yunchaokete and Hugo Grenier play each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Yunchaokete and Grenier (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Yunchaokete won 6-2 6-1 in the semifinal in the Granby Challenger back in July 2024.

Bu Yunchaokete

Bu Yunchaokete

32 - 14win/loss

Hard
27-7
I Hard
1-2
Clay
3-2
Grass
1-3
Rank
65
High
65
LWLWWLWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 51-27 40-14 3-2 7-8 1-3 0-0
2023 37-23 27-15 0-0 6-4 4-4 0-0
2022 87-28 84-24 0-2 0-1 0-0 3-1
2021 1-2 1-2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 147 (career-high), Yunchaokete reached the quarter after defeating Michael Zheng 6-4 6-4 and Paul Jubb 6-3 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Yunchaokete had a good straight sets win against Jubb (6-3 6-3). During the match, Yunchaokete scored 55 points vs Jubb’s 38. The Chinese was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Regarding the service games, Yunchaokete blasted 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Bu Yunchaokete was quite effective on serve to win 81% (21/26) of his 1st serve and 59% (13/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Bu broke Jubb 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Chinese hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 57% of the points he played.

Yunchaokete has a solid match record in the last 5 years having won 69% of his matches (156-69). 26-7 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Yunchaokete has an overall138-48 win-loss record in the last 5 years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Wuxi Challenger where he overcame Egor Gerasimov in the final 6-4 6-1 and the Granby Challenger where he overcame Terence Atmane in the final 6-3 6-7(7) 6-4.

The Chinese has a composed 31-14 win-loss record in 2024, 26-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Chicago Challenger

The Chinese has never competed in this tournament before.

Chicago Challenger
Yunchaokete's Record

Hugo Grenier

Hugo Grenier

24 - 22win/loss

Hard
17-10
I Hard
2-2
Clay
2-8
Grass
3-2
Rank
155
High
95
LLWLWLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 39-33 25-15 2-8 9-8 3-2 0-0
2023 27-33 15-8 7-10 4-11 1-4 0-0
2022 35-35 21-14 9-10 1-8 4-3 0-0
2021 43-28 22-9 9-8 12-11 0-0 0-0
2020 19-16 7-2 5-9 6-4 0-0 1-1

Ranked no. 194, the French player got to the quarter after beating Bernard Tomic 6-2 6-4 and Nishesh Basavareddy 6-4 6-0.

In the 2nd round, Hugo had a good straight sets win against Basavareddy (6-4 6-0). During the match Grenier scored 59 points vs Basavareddy’s 37. Hugo was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about serving, Grenier managed to score 8 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Hugo Grenier lost the serve once. Furthermore, Grenier put 67% of his first serves in, winning 89% (25/28) of the points behind his 1st serve and 36% (5/14) on the 2nd serve. Grenier broke Basavareddy 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Grenier hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 60% of the points he played.

Grenier’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Granby Challenger.

Grenier has an aggregate 24-21 win-loss record in 2024, 17-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Chicago Challenger
Grenier's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

B.Yunchaokete
H.Grenier
2h:36
2h:36
Time on court​
2h:18
2h:18
1h:07
1h:07
Last match​
1h:08
1h:08
2
2
Match played
2
2
38
38
Games Played​
34
34
4
4
Set played​​
4
4
124
124
Total points​
119
119
62
62
Avg point​
59.5
59.5
48
48
Winners
53
53
24
24
Avg Winners​
26.5
26.5
39%
39%
Ratio winners
45%
45%
-- Serve --
10
10
Aces
14
14
5
5
Avg Aces
7
7
5
5
Double Faults
10
10
2.5
2.5
Avg Double Faults
5
5
48/61
48/61
1st won total​
53/63
53/63
!
79%
79%
1st won %
!
84%
84%
28/45
28/45
2nd won total​
14/34
14/34
!
62%
62%
2nd won %
41%
41%
-- Break Points --
6/11
6/11
BP won
9/12
9/12
3/5.5
3/5.5
Avg BP won
4.5/6
4.5/6
!
55%
55%
Won
!
75%
75%
5
5
Conceded
3
3
2.5
2.5
Avg Conceded
1.5
1.5
1
1
Broken
2
2
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
1
1
4
4
Saved
1
1

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Yunchaokete Grenier
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 38 34
Pts 124-95 119-79
Total Points 219 198
Winners 48 53
%Winners 39% 45%

Both Yunchaokete and Grenier played 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Yunchaokete and Grenier have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Yunchaokete played 4 games more than Grenier. The Chinese scored 48 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Grenier fired 53 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve Yunchaokete Grenier
Aces 10 14
Avg per match 5 7
1st in 61/106 63/97
%1st in 58% 65%
1st pts 48/61 53/63
%1st pts 79% 84%
2nd pts 28/45 14/34
%2nd pts 62% 41%

Yunchaokete fired 10 aces (5 per match). Grenier blasted 14 aces (7 per match). Yunchaokete won 79% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Grenier won 84% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 41% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Yunchaokete Grenier
Won 6 9
Converted 6/11 9/12
% Converted 55% 75%
Conceded 5 3
Saved 4 1
% Saved 80% 33%
Times Broken 1 2

Yunchaokete broke his opponents 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. Yunchaokete surrendered his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Hugo broke his opponents 9 times with a 75% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded.

Yunchaokete
R1
Zheng
R2
Jubb
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 20 18 38
pts 69-57 55-38 124-95
Total points 126 93 219
Winners 27 21 48
%Winners 39% 38% 39%
SERVE
Aces 6 4 10
Double Faults 2 3 5
1st in 35/58 26/48 61/106
% 1st in 60% 54% 58%
1st pts 27/35 21/26 48/61
% 1st pts 77% 81% 79%
2nd pts 15/23 13/22 28/45
% 2nd pts 65% 59% 62%
Breaks
Won 2 4 6
Converted 2/5 4/6 6/11
Converted % 40% 67% 55%
Conceded 2 3 5
Saved 2/2 2/3 4
Saved % 100% 67% 84%
Times Broken 0 1 1
Grenier
R1
Tomic
R2
Basavareddy
Total
Score 6-2 6-4 6-4 6-0
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 18 16 34
pts 60-42 59-37 119-79
Total points 102 96 198
Winners 28 25 53
%Winners 47% 42% 45%
SERVE
Aces 6 8 14
Double Faults 5 5 10
1st in 35/55 28/42 63/97
% 1st in 64% 67% 65%
1st pts 28/35 25/28 53/63
% 1st pts 80% 89% 84%
2nd pts 9/20 5/14 14/34
% 2nd pts 45% 36% 41%
Breaks
Won 4 5 9
Converted 4/6 5/6 9/12
Converted % 67% 83% 75%
Conceded 2 1 3
Saved 1/2 0/1 1
Saved % 50% 0% 25%
Times Broken 1 1 2

Upcoming matches in the draw