Gabriel Diallo and Mitchell Krueger will square off in the quarter of the Chicago Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 11:00 am on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gabriel Diallo who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Gabriel Diallo is the pick to win this match.
Gabriel Diallo -> 1.71
Mitchell Krueger -> 2.03
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Prediction and head to head Gabriel Diallo vs. Mitchell Krueger
This will be the 4th time that Gabriel Diallo and Mitchell Krueger clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Diallo (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Krueger won 7-6(4) 7-6(6) in the qualifications in Houston back in March 2024.
Gabriel Diallo
22 - 16win/loss
87
86
LLWWLWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49-26 | 30-12 | 7-6 | 9-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-28 | 8-11 | 2-2 | 24-10 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 17-6 | 0-0 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-4 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 169, Gabriel got to the quarter after defeating James Kent Trotter 6-4 6-2 and Joao Fonseca 7-6(1) 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Diallo had a good straight sets win against Fonseca (7-61 6-1). During the match, Diallo scored 64 points vs Fonseca’s 44. Diallo was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Diallo struck 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Gabriel Diallo was extremely effective on serve to win 85% (29/34) of his 1st serve and 75% (12/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Gabriel broke Fonseca 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Diallo hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
Diallo has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 61% of his matches (105-66). 8-5 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Diallo has an overall48-29 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.
Diallo’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Canberra Challenger.
Gabriel has an overall 21-16 win-loss record in 2024, 8-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Chicago Challenger
Gabriel has never competed in this tournament before.
Mitchell Krueger
31 - 19win/loss
147
135
LLWLLLLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42-31 | 30-17 | 9-7 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-29 | 15-19 | 4-4 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-28 | 18-15 | 6-5 | 1-6 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-24 | 19-12 | 5-5 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-13 | 14-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 202, the American reached the quarter after beating Arthur Gea 6-4 6-4 and Philip Sekulic 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Sekulic (6-4 6-2). During the match Krueger scored 62 points vs Sekulic’s 47. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about serving, Krueger made 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Mitchell Krueger lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Krueger put 72% of his first serves in, winning 83% (30/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 36% (5/14) on the 2nd serve. Mitchell broke Sekulic 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mitchell hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Indian Wells 1 Challenger where he defeated Brandon Holt in the final 4-6 6-3 6-4 and the Little Rock Challenger where he overcame Yuta Shimizu in the final 6-3 6-4.
Mitchell has a composed 31-18 win-loss record in 2024, 20-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Diallo | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 38 | 38 |
| Pts | 126-93 | 133-111 |
| Total Points | 219 | 244 |
| Winners | 55 | 53 |
| %Winners | 44% | 40% |
Both Diallo and Krueger played 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Diallo and Krueger have played the same amount of sets 4. They also played the same amount of games (38). Diallo scored 55 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The American fired 53 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Diallo | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 8.5 | 4 |
| 1st in | 71/106 | 70/109 |
| %1st in | 67% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 55/71 | 53/70 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 25/35 | 18/39 |
| %2nd pts | 71% | 46% |
Diallo recorded 17 aces (8.5 per match). Krueger managed to score 8 aces (4 per match). Diallo won 77% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 71% of the points. On the other side, Krueger won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Diallo | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 8 |
| Converted | 6/11 | 8/20 |
| % Converted | 55% | 40% |
| Conceded | 0 | 7 |
| Saved | 0 | 4 |
| % Saved | 0% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
Diallo broke his opponents 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. Gabriel pretty solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points. Krueger broke his opponents 8 times with a 40% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.
| Diallo | ||||
| R1 Kent |
R2 Fonseca |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 7-61 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 20 | 38 | |
| pts | 62-49 | 64-44 | 126-93 | |
| Total points | 111 | 108 | 219 | |
| Winners | 26 | 29 | 55 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 45% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 8 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 37/56 | 34/50 | 71/106 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 68% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 26/37 | 29/34 | 55/71 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 85% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/19 | 12/16 | 25/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 75% | 71% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/6 | 6/11 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 50% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Krueger | ||||
| R1 Gea |
R2 Sekulic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 18 | 38 | |
| pts | 71-64 | 62-47 | 133-111 | |
| Total points | 135 | 109 | 244 | |
| Winners | 23 | 30 | 53 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 48% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 7 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 34/59 | 36/50 | 70/109 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 72% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 23/34 | 30/36 | 53/70 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 83% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/25 | 5/14 | 18/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 36% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/10 | 8/20 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2/3 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 67% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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