Jacob Fearnley and Brandon Holt will play each other in the quarter of the Chicago Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 12:00 pm on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jacob Fearnley who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jacob Fearnley is the pick to win this match.
Jacob Fearnley -> 1.55
Brandon Holt -> 2.31

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Prediction and head to head Jacob Fearnley vs. Brandon Holt

There is no head to head record between Jacob Fearnley and Brandon Holt since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Jacob Fearnley

Jacob Fearnley

22 - 3win/loss

Hard
5-0
I Hard
8-0
Grass
9-3
Rank
99
High
89
LWWLWWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 45-9 10-2 0-0 26-4 9-3 0-0
2023 17-4 0-0 0-0 16-2 1-2 0-0
2022 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 225 (career-high), Jacob reached the quarter after beating Cooper Williams 6-1 7-6(8), Antoine Bellier 4-6 6-3 6-0, Li Tu 6-4 6-3 and Terence Atmane 6-2 1-6 7-6(3).

In the 2nd round, Jacob defeated Atmane (6-2 1-6 7-63). During the match, Fearnley scored 86 points vs Atmane’s 85. Jacob was very aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Regarding the service games, Fearnley was unable to score even 1 ace and he committed only 5 double faults. Jacob Fearnley lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Fearnley put 62% of his first serves in, winning 73% (38/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (15/32) on the 2nd serve. Jacob broke Atmane 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Brit started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has surrendered 2 set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Fearnley has a fantastic record in the last 4 years having won 79% of his matches (49-13). 4-0 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Fearnley has an aggregate14-4 win-loss record in the last 4 years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Nottingham 2 Challenger where he overcame Charles Broom in the final 4-6 6-4 6-3.

Jacob has an aggregate 21-3 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Chicago Challenger

Jacob has never competed in this tournament before.

Chicago Challenger
Fearnley's Record

Brandon Holt

Brandon Holt

32 - 19win/loss

Hard
31-17
I Hard
0-1
Clay
1-1
Rank
198
High
180
LWLWLWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 43-31 37-24 1-1 5-6 0-0 0-0
2023 22-24 14-16 1-2 7-5 0-1 0-0
2022 52-21 48-17 0-0 3-3 1-1 0-0
2021 3-6 2-4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 8-5 8-5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 238, Brandon got to the quarter after defeating Andrew Fenty 6-1 7-6(4) and Marc Polmans 6-4 7-6(4).

In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Polmans (6-4 7-64). During the match Holt scored 76 points vs Polmans’s 73. Holt was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about serving, Holt made 4 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Brandon Holt lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Holt put 67% of his first serves in, winning 68% (32/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Polmans 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

The American’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Indian Wells 1 Challenger,M25 Bakersfield and the Tyler Challenger.

Brandon has an overall 32-18 win-loss record in 2024, 31-16 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Chicago Challenger
Holt's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Fearnley
B.Holt
!
6h:18
6h:18
Time on court​
3h:41
3h:41
1h:55
1h:55
Last match​
1h:54
1h:54
!
4
4
Match played
2
2
92
92
Games Played​
43
43
10
10
Set played​​
4
4
304
304
Total points​
157
157
76
76
Avg point​
78.5
78.5
139
139
Winners
67
67
34.8
34.8
Avg Winners​
33.5
33.5
46%
46%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
14
14
Aces
5
5
3.5
3.5
Avg Aces
2.5
2.5
21
21
Double Faults
0
0
!
5.3
5.3
Avg Double Faults
0
0
139/176
139/176
1st won total​
67/96
67/96
!
79%
79%
1st won %
70%
70%
45/99
45/99
2nd won total​
20/42
20/42
45%
45%
2nd won %
48%
48%
-- Break Points --
15/29
15/29
BP won
8/18
8/18
3.8/7.3
3.8/7.3
Avg BP won
4/9
4/9
!
52%
52%
Won
44%
44%
17
17
Conceded
8
8
4.3
4.3
Avg Conceded
4
4
7
7
Broken
4
4
1.8
1.8
Avg Broken
2
2
10
10
Saved
4
4

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Fearnley Holt
Match played 4 2
Tot Set 10 4
Tot Games 92 43
Pts 304-260 157-134
Total Points 564 291
Winners 139 67
%Winners 46% 43%

Fearnley played 4 matches while Holt competed in 2 matches. Fearnley started his run from the qualifications while Holt had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Jacob Fearnley lost 2 sets while Brandon Holt hasn’t dropped a set so far. Fearnley has played 6 sets more than Holt (10 vs 4). Therefore, Fearnley played 49 games more than Holt. The Brit scored 139 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Holt struck 67 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Fearnley Holt
Aces 14 5
Avg per match 3.5 2.5
1st in 176/275 96/138
%1st in 64% 70%
1st pts 139/176 67/96
%1st pts 79% 70%
2nd pts 45/99 20/42
%2nd pts 45% 48%

Fearnley managed to score 14 aces (3.5 per match). Holt made 5 aces (2.5 per match). Fearnley won 79% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Holt won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Fearnley Holt
Won 15 8
Converted 15/29 8/18
% Converted 52% 44%
Conceded 17 8
Saved 10 4
% Saved 59% 50%
Times Broken 7 4

Fearnley broke his opponents 15 times with a 52% conversion rate. Jacob conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded. Holt broke his opponents 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Fearnley
Q1
Williams
Q3
Bellier
R1
Tu
R2
Atmane
Total
Score 6-1 7-68 4-6 6-3 6-0 6-4 6-3 6-2 1-6 7-63
Tot Set 2 3 2 3 10
Tot Games 20 25 19 28 92
pts 79-64 82-65 57-46 86-85 304-260
Total points 143 147 103 171 564
Winners 37 40 24 38 139
%Winners 47% 49% 42% 44% 46%
SERVE
Aces 7 5 2 0 14
Double Faults 8 5 3 5 21
1st in 41/71 51/73 32/47 52/84 176/275
% 1st in 58% 70% 68% 62% 64%
1st pts 37/41 40/51 24/32 38/52 139/176
% 1st pts 90% 78% 75% 73% 79%
2nd pts 12/30 10/22 8/15 15/32 45/99
% 2nd pts 40% 45% 53% 47% 45%
Breaks
Won 3 5 4 3 15
Converted 3/7 5/9 4/6 3/7 15/29
Converted % 43% 56% 67% 43% 52%
Conceded 6 5 1 5 17
Saved 5/6 3/5 0/1 2/5 10
Saved % 83% 60% 0% 40% 46%
Times Broken 1 2 1 3 7
Holt
R1
Fenty
R2
Polmans
Total
Score 6-1 7-64 6-4 7-64
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 20 23 43
pts 81-61 76-73 157-134
Total points 142 149 291
Winners 35 32 67
%Winners 43% 42% 43%
SERVE
Aces 1 4 5
Double Faults 0 0 0
1st in 49/68 47/70 96/138
% 1st in 72% 67% 70%
1st pts 35/49 32/47 67/96
% 1st pts 71% 68% 70%
2nd pts 6/19 14/23 20/42
% 2nd pts 32% 61% 48%
Breaks
Won 5 3 8
Converted 5/10 3/8 8/18
Converted % 50% 38% 44%
Conceded 6 2 8
Saved 4/6 0/2 4
Saved % 67% 0% 17%
Times Broken 2 2 4

Upcoming matches in the draw