Jacob Fearnley and Brandon Holt will play each other in the quarter of the Chicago Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 12:00 pm on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jacob Fearnley who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jacob Fearnley is the pick to win this match.
Jacob Fearnley -> 1.55
Brandon Holt -> 2.31
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Prediction and head to head Jacob Fearnley vs. Brandon Holt
There is no head to head record between Jacob Fearnley and Brandon Holt since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Jacob Fearnley
21 - 3win/loss
225
225
WWWWLWLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-3 | 4-0 | 0-0 | 8-0 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 17-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 225 (career-high), Jacob reached the quarter after beating Cooper Williams 6-1 7-6(8), Antoine Bellier 4-6 6-3 6-0, Li Tu 6-4 6-3 and Terence Atmane 6-2 1-6 7-6(3).
In the 2nd round, Jacob defeated Atmane (6-2 1-6 7-63). During the match, Fearnley scored 86 points vs Atmane’s 85. Jacob was very aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Regarding the service games, Fearnley was unable to score even 1 ace and he committed only 5 double faults. Jacob Fearnley lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Fearnley put 62% of his first serves in, winning 73% (38/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (15/32) on the 2nd serve. Jacob broke Atmane 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brit started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has surrendered 2 set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Fearnley has a fantastic record in the last 4 years having won 79% of his matches (49-13). 4-0 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Fearnley has an aggregate14-4 win-loss record in the last 4 years on hard.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Nottingham 2 Challenger where he overcame Charles Broom in the final 4-6 6-4 6-3.
Jacob has an aggregate 21-3 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Chicago Challenger
Jacob has never competed in this tournament before.
Brandon Holt
32 - 18win/loss
238
180
WWLLWWLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32-18 | 31-16 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-24 | 14-16 | 1-2 | 7-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 52-21 | 48-17 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-5 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 238, Brandon got to the quarter after defeating Andrew Fenty 6-1 7-6(4) and Marc Polmans 6-4 7-6(4).
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Polmans (6-4 7-64). During the match Holt scored 76 points vs Polmans’s 73. Holt was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about serving, Holt made 4 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Brandon Holt lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Holt put 67% of his first serves in, winning 68% (32/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Polmans 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The American’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Indian Wells 1 Challenger,M25 Bakersfield and the Tyler Challenger.
Brandon has an overall 32-18 win-loss record in 2024, 31-16 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Fearnley | Holt |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 92 | 43 |
| Pts | 304-260 | 157-134 |
| Total Points | 564 | 291 |
| Winners | 139 | 67 |
| %Winners | 46% | 43% |
Fearnley played 4 matches while Holt competed in 2 matches. Fearnley started his run from the qualifications while Holt had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Jacob Fearnley lost 2 sets while Brandon Holt hasn’t dropped a set so far. Fearnley has played 6 sets more than Holt (10 vs 4). Therefore, Fearnley played 49 games more than Holt. The Brit scored 139 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Holt struck 67 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Fearnley | Holt |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 176/275 | 96/138 |
| %1st in | 64% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 139/176 | 67/96 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 45/99 | 20/42 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 48% |
Fearnley managed to score 14 aces (3.5 per match). Holt made 5 aces (2.5 per match). Fearnley won 79% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Holt won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Fearnley | Holt |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 8 |
| Converted | 15/29 | 8/18 |
| % Converted | 52% | 44% |
| Conceded | 17 | 8 |
| Saved | 10 | 4 |
| % Saved | 59% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 4 |
Fearnley broke his opponents 15 times with a 52% conversion rate. Jacob conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded. Holt broke his opponents 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Fearnley | ||||||
| Q1 Williams |
Q3 Bellier |
R1 Tu |
R2 Atmane |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-68 | 4-6 6-3 6-0 | 6-4 6-3 | 6-2 1-6 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 25 | 19 | 28 | 92 | |
| pts | 79-64 | 82-65 | 57-46 | 86-85 | 304-260 | |
| Total points | 143 | 147 | 103 | 171 | 564 | |
| Winners | 37 | 40 | 24 | 38 | 139 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 49% | 42% | 44% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21 | |
| 1st in | 41/71 | 51/73 | 32/47 | 52/84 | 176/275 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 70% | 68% | 62% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 37/41 | 40/51 | 24/32 | 38/52 | 139/176 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 78% | 75% | 73% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/30 | 10/22 | 8/15 | 15/32 | 45/99 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 45% | 53% | 47% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 5/9 | 4/6 | 3/7 | 15/29 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 56% | 67% | 43% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 17 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 3/5 | 0/1 | 2/5 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 60% | 0% | 40% | 46% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | |
| Holt | ||||||
| R1 Fenty |
R2 Polmans |
Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-64 | 6-4 7-64 | ||||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Tot Games | 20 | 23 | 43 | |||
| pts | 81-61 | 76-73 | 157-134 | |||
| Total points | 142 | 149 | 291 | |||
| Winners | 35 | 32 | 67 | |||
| %Winners | 43% | 42% | 43% | |||
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 4 | 5 | |||
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 1st in | 49/68 | 47/70 | 96/138 | |||
| % 1st in | 72% | 67% | 70% | |||
| 1st pts | 35/49 | 32/47 | 67/96 | |||
| % 1st pts | 71% | 68% | 70% | |||
| 2nd pts | 6/19 | 14/23 | 20/42 | |||
| % 2nd pts | 32% | 61% | 48% | |||
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |||
| Converted | 5/10 | 3/8 | 8/18 | |||
| Converted % | 50% | 38% | 44% | |||
| Conceded | 6 | 2 | 8 | |||
| Saved | 4/6 | 0/2 | 4 | |||
| Saved % | 67% | 0% | 17% | |||
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
Head 2 Head
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